Progressive Studies Program

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The Path to 270 in 2020 Report

The Path to 270 in 2020

One year out from the 2020 election, the contours of the eventual vote, both demographically and in the Electoral College, seem clear—but the paths both parties may eventually choose to successfully harness these tangible trends remain in flux.

Ruy Teixeira, John Halpin

Voter Trends in 2016 Report

Voter Trends in 2016

CAP’s comprehensive new analysis of 2016 turnout and voting patterns reveals important and surprising results about what happened in the election.

Rob Griffin, Ruy Teixeira, John Halpin

Toward a Marshall Plan for America Report

Toward a Marshall Plan for America

The economy is not producing access to a good, stable middle-class life for people who do not go to college. On prudential and ethical grounds, progressives must do more to create decent job opportunities and secure family situations for all working people facing difficult economic conditions not within their control.

Neera Tanden, Carmel Martin, Marc Jarsulic, 6 More Brendan Duke, Ben Olinsky, Melissa Boteach, John Halpin, Ruy Teixeira, Rob Griffin

States of Change Report

States of Change

Simulations indicate that the most successful route for minimizing future representation gaps lies in equalizing registration and turnout rates across races.

Rob Griffin, William H. Frey, Ruy Teixeira

The Path to 270 in 2016, Revisited Report

The Path to 270 in 2016, Revisited

Will fundamentals trump the candidates in determining the election outcome—or vice versa?

Ruy Teixeira, John Halpin, Rob Griffin

America’s Electoral Future Report
Acrowd of people walk during the morning rush hour in New York, 2010. (AP/Mark Lennihan)

America’s Electoral Future

The demographics of the United States are projected to become much more diverse in the coming decades and will have significant effects on presidential elections in 2016 and beyond. This report estimates those effects under a variety of different scenarios.

William H. Frey, Ruy Teixeira, Rob Griffin

The Path to 270 in 2016 Report
A voting booth in a community center, November 2004. (AP/Julia Cumes)

The Path to 270 in 2016

This report examines the upcoming 2016 election through a comprehensive analysis and projection of demographic and electoral trends nationally and in 12 battleground states.

Ruy Teixeira, John Halpin, Rob Griffin

States of Change Report
The demographics of the United States are projected to become much more diverse in the coming decades and will have significant effects on the nation's voting electorate in all 50 states.

States of Change

The demographics of the United States are projected to become much more diverse in the coming decades and will have significant effects on the nation's voting electorate in all 50 states.

Ruy Teixeira, William H. Frey, Rob Griffin

The Path to 270 Revisited Report
The 2012 presidential race is now a choice between two competing visions of American society and governance—one that promotes an active role for government in advancing individual opportunity, economic security, and national prosperity; and one that embraces personal responsibility, market forces, and limited government as a means for achieving growth and greater freedom. (AP/Ted S. Warren)

The Path to 270 Revisited

The complex mix of demographics, economics, and ideology makes the already-close presidential race even more vigorously contested.

Ruy Teixeira, John Halpin

The Path to 270 Report

The Path to 270

Ruy Teixeira and John Halpin explain how the shifting demographic balance of the American electorate, and the objective reality and voter perception of the economy in key battleground states will both play huge roles in determining the 2012 presidential election.

John Halpin, Ruy Teixeira

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