One year out from the 2020 election, the contours of the eventual vote, both demographically and in the Electoral College, seem clear—but the paths both parties may eventually choose to successfully harness these tangible trends remain in flux.
Voters Across Party Lines Support Clean Slate Legislation
Voters overwhelmingly support clean slate legislation to automatically seal records for nonviolent crimes and marijuana possession. Support also crosses party and demographic lines for legalization of marijuana.
The economy is not producing access to a good, stable middle-class life for people who do not go to college. On prudential and ethical grounds, progressives must do more to create decent job opportunities and secure family situations for all working people facing difficult economic conditions not within their control.
Simulations indicate that the most successful route for minimizing future representation gaps lies in equalizing registration and turnout rates across races.
Decades of immigration have altered the racial and ethnic makeup of the United States, and it is today’s children who will be the vanguards of this new, diverse America.
The demographics of the United States are projected to become much more diverse in the coming decades and will have significant effects on presidential elections in 2016 and beyond. This report estimates those effects under a variety of different scenarios.
This report examines the upcoming 2016 election through a comprehensive analysis and projection of demographic and electoral trends nationally and in 12 battleground states.
