Introduction and summary
The past 25 years have brought momentous growth in online services. Should the United States wish to continue such dynamism online for the next quarter century, attention from Congress is required. Decades have passed without major legislation for internet companies. In that time, a handful of companies have come to control access to major areas of online commerce and economic activity.1 Significant evidence has amassed showing the largest companies are abusing their positions to punish rivals, thwart would-be competitors, entrench existing holdings, and leverage their power to win in new markets.2 The Center for American Progress has previously raised these kinds of digital platform behaviors as cause for concern and called for new privacy, regulatory, consumer protection, and antitrust policies.3 Given the centrality of these digital platforms to economic prosperity and Americans’ everyday lives, anti-competitive behaviors in online commerce represent a wide-ranging threat that should be addressed.4
This report assesses two bipartisan proposals to tackle digital gatekeepers’ conduct of most concern: Sens. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) and Chuck Grassley’s (R-IA) American Innovation and Choice Online Act (S. 2992, henceforth American Innovation) and Sens. Richard Blumenthal (D-CT) and Marsha Blackburn’s (R-TN) Open App Markets Act (S. 2710, henceforth Open App Markets).5 These bills propose rules that would prohibit critical digital platforms from arbitrary discrimination against competitors; restrain economically harmful promotion of platforms’ own products over those of competitors (self-preferencing); and ensure consumers have access to competitive, functional app ecosystems.
As these two bills are likely to come to the Senate floor in summer 2022, this report details the latest version of each bill followed by a discussion assessing the potential benefits and limitations of the current proposals.6 Future updates may address those bills likely to be acted upon by the House of Representatives in the 117th Congress. Weighing the net outcomes, this report concludes these bills are substantive, worthwhile steps in delivering benefits for consumers and curbing serious economic abuse from the largest players. CAP has previously expressed its support for the proposals, and recent changes to address concerns have only made the bills stronger.7 Sustainably addressing the range of issues posed by online services over time will require dedicated legislation on issues such as privacy and increased tech regulatory capacity, but these proposals are important steps to combat some of the most pressing areas of economic abuse.8 By purposefully targeting the anti-competitive practices of most concern, the bills offer the United States a means to materially improve consumer choice in the near term and create a more dynamic online economy in the long term. The Center for American Progress endorses the American Innovation and Choice Online Act and the Open App Markets Act. CAP urges Congress to take meaningful action to enhance consumer choice and competition online by passing these bipartisan bills into law this summer.
The Center for American Progress endorses the American Innovation and Choice Online Act and the Open App Markets Act. CAP urges Congress to take meaningful action to enhance consumer choice and competition online by passing these bipartisan bills into law this summer.
Background: The current legislative landscape
American Innovation and Open App Markets are the result of dedicated investigations and consultation with a wide range of stakeholders over the past several years. At the beginning of 2022, the Senate Judiciary Committee passed out both bills with strong bipartisan votes.9 Reports indicate that Sen. Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-NY) has committed to bringing the bills to the floor in summer 2022.10 A bipartisan Senate floor vote in favor of these bills would almost certainly place their House companion bills, one of which has already cleared the House Judiciary Committee, on the House floor this year.11 The Biden administration has signaled its support for the bills,12 with a strong letter of endorsement from the Department of Justice,13 a White House convening of American business owners who support the provisions,14 and a statement of support from Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo.15 Along with the opportunity presented by the conference committee on the USICA/COMPETES bipartisan innovation bills,16 American Innovation and Open App Markets represent a rare bipartisan pathway for the 117th Congress to address challenges to American competitiveness.
CAP has written previously about a significant threat to economic prosperity: America’s competition problem.17 The market concentration in digital industries is a particular danger to equitable and sustainable growth both in the United States and globally. Digital gatekeepers have unprecedented ability to create, understand, and manipulate these markets—particularly given that online commerce plays out in digital environments that they build, monitor, and maintain.18 Platforms have the economic incentive, detailed data, and historic amounts of stockpiled cash to shape digital markets in their favor.19 Given the importance of digital platform commerce to the American economy—be it e-commerce, mobile applications, or other software—abuses such as anti-competitive self-preferencing can and do have wide-ranging effects on commerce and consumers. American Innovation and Open App Markets aim to limit the largest platforms’ ability to manipulate these markets to their benefit. The following analysis is based on the latest version of each bill: the manager’s amendment to American Innovation, released in late May, and the version of Open App Markets that passed out of the Senate Judiciary Committee in early 2022.20 As with any legislation, there may be further changes as the bills make their way to the Senate floor.
The American Innovation and Choice Online Act
American Innovation (S. 2992) seeks to advance a principal issue of economic fairness online. It contends that gatekeeper digital platform companies should not be able to give themselves an advantage over other commercial competitors (including smaller businesses) trying to compete with them if it harms competition, nor should companies be able to arbitrarily discriminate among businesses that rely on their platform.21 Self-preferencing and discrimination in these ways undermine competition, deter investment and innovation in areas with dominant gatekeepers, deprive businesses of opportunity, and deprive consumers of real choice.22 American Innovation prohibits a number of unfair, discriminatory behaviors for covered platforms,23 giving competitors a chance to innovate and a fair shot at providing new choices to the American people. New services from dominant platforms should compete and succeed with consumers on their commercial merits—not simply because they can leverage their gatekeeper position to close the door on competitors and extend the reach of first-party services.24
American Innovation would apply to the major business lines of the largest gatekeeping internet companies. The legislation would pertain to those online platforms that act as critical trading partners, have more than 50 million monthly active U.S. users or 1 billion worldwide users, more than 100,000 active U.S. business users, and record net annual sales or market capitalization of more than $550 billion—among other qualifications.25 Products or business lines from Amazon, Apple, Google, Facebook, Microsoft, TikTok, and others will be covered.26 The legislation’s criteria to determine a covered online platform, well-researched following numerous Senate hearings, address those platforms that control key chokepoints of digital markets and on which self-preferencing and discriminatory behavior create the most damage to competition. The bill covers only a handful of business lines from a few companies now, but its criteria are drafted in such a way that they would apply consistently to any future online platforms that gain similar market power.
The Open App Markets Act
Open App Markets (S. 2710) aims to eliminate anti-competitive conduct by app store operators and open application markets to encourage greater user choice and competition. Under the bill, app stores with more than 50 million U.S. users27 would have to allow third-party app developers to interoperate28 with mobile operating systems, including in ways that compete directly with first-party applications. Open App Markets would require dominant companies to allow for alternate payment options29 and app installs30 while also removing the restrictions around favorable pricing31 and limiting developer communications with users.32 Covered companies that run qualifying large app stores33 consist of both players in the international mobile phone duopoly—Apple’s App Store and Google’s Play store—and other large application markets such as Microsoft’s Windows app store.34 These criteria would also cover app stores that become sufficiently large in the future.
Modernizing antitrust laws benefits Americans
If enacted, the American Innovation and Choice Online Act and the Open App Markets Act will mark a major step forward in restoring competitive markets. The bills would help unlock the potential of Americans to grow successful businesses and build an economy that is more prosperous, equitable, and innovative. They would likewise remove barriers to functional consumer services and introduce competitive incentives for improved quality, innovation, and competitive prices for American consumers.
The bills can lower costs and increase choice for the American people
The bills can immediately remove barriers that cause significant inconveniences between popular services on covered platforms,35 which millions of Americans use daily to shop, socialize, and surf. New rules will take away confusion in some cases and lower costs in others. Over time, these bills will reduce costs and increase choices for consumers. For example, they would give American consumers access to the benefits that many Apple and Google smartphone users outside the United States already enjoy through specially negotiated requirements from other global antitrust regulators.36
- People will enjoy cost savings on mobile digital services: The Apple/Google mobile smartphone duopoly imposes high costs for mobile applications to sell via mobile app stores. These fees, in turn, are passed on in the form of higher costs to consumers.37 Reintroducing competition in app stores,38 removing competitive pricing restrictions,39 and giving developers more selling options40 will generate more competitive markets for digital applications—ultimately producing lower costs for the services Americans use daily.
- People would likely enjoy e-commerce cost savings: Amazon’s market power in e-commerce has given it the power to charge high costs for sellers, which are passed on to consumers. A recent analysis from the Institute for Local Self-Reliance found that, “Using a variety of fees, Amazon now pockets a 34 percent cut of the revenue earned by independent sellers on its site … That’s up from 30 percent in 2018, and 19 percent in 2014.”41 These costs are passed onto consumers in the form of higher prices for goods bought on Amazon. In the near term, the bills prohibit rules that would force sellers to use extra services in order to compete effectively on the platform.42 In the long term, the bills will introduce greater competition online. Both may reduce high platform fees that get passed on to American consumers.
- People will have more options to purchase digital goods from their phones: Americans interested in subscribing to popular online services using their mobile phones often do not have that option. App providers restrict sign-ups on mobile because they find the required fees too high to justify (sometimes referred to as an app store “tax”43). For example, today, the option to subscribe to Spotify is not enabled within Spotify mobile applications because of the high cost of digital purchases on the Apple and Android mobile operating systems. American Innovation and Open App Markets would allow for alternative payment options that remove these inconvenient barriers.44
- People will have more choices when it comes to convenience, privacy, and safety: Americans will have greater choice and control over the digital environments they use every day. People who use mobile phones would be able to select their preferred default mapping application instead of encountering unexpected user experience obstacles such as being forced to manually copy and paste addresses between apps.45 People who value their privacy would be able to remove insecure mobile applications and choose more privacy-sensitive services.46 Greater choice can enable Americans with different safety needs and interests to customize their digital environments more appropriately, while maintaining everyone’s ability to continue using the services they currently enjoy.
- Developers can be honest with people about functionality restrictions: Popular consumer applications would be able to explain restrictions on their smartphone apps—behaving more consistently with consumer expectations. For example, there are millions of Amazon Kindle owners who can read the Kindle eBooks they’ve purchased on their iPhone app—yet they cannot purchase Kindle eBooks through the iPhone app because Amazon has chosen not to enable this feature due to the high price charged by app stores for digital purchases. Amazon cannot even explain in its Kindle iPhone app that the only way to purchase Kindle eBooks on the iPhone is via the Amazon.com website accessed on a mobile web browser due to communications restrictions from Apple.47 Open App Markets would remove restrictions on explaining alternatives to mobile app users.48 This would immediately allow Amazon to explain in its iPhone app how to purchase Kindle eBooks on an iPhone.
- Online mobile gaming could finally be unlocked for billions of gaming fans across the world: Restrictions from the app stores have prevented the world’s most popular games from being utilized by the world’s most ubiquitous computing devices. This has held back the development of more robust mobile streaming game services. Open App Markets49 would allow Epic Games’ popular Fortnite game to return to Apple’s App Store; Fortnite pursued recent antitrust litigation against Apple on these issues, with a mixed ruling for both sides in district court that both Apple and Epic are appealing.50 It would also help ensure that the popular metaverse Roblox could continue to remain on Apple’s App Store if Apple were to suddenly classify it a game instead of “an experience”; Roblox recently supported Apple over Fortnite in their ongoing litigation.51 Finally, it would allow competitive development of the next generation of streaming mobile games without the extensive restrictions currently imposed on development.52
- People can enjoy the benefits of innovation and quality improvement incentivized by real competition: By introducing greater competition with major consumer technology services and between the platforms that would be covered by American Innovation, Congress can ensure that Americans see real innovation within the consumer technology services they use every day. Experts have noted that a lack of competition discourages innovation,53 and as CAP has previously written, “centralization of research and development (R&D) resources at dominant [technology] firms may additionally result in selective or reduced innovation.”54 These bills will help open markets for new competitors who may introduce novel, cost-saving, and quality-enhancing services. Enhanced competitive pressure can spur improvements and innovations within the services people already love. More equitable competition on covered platforms and within app stores can ensure that specialty services have a fair shot at bringing their offerings to market and reaching consumers who need them. Rules that ensure fair competition online increase the ability of tech companies to continue delivering innovations to Americans—and ensure ongoing competitive incentives to do so.
The bills create new protections for U.S. small and medium-sized businesses
Today, small and medium-sized businesses have little choice but to build, sell, advertise, or operate on monopolistic online platforms; they are essential for many business operations.55 The bills would ensure that, as controllers of the major U.S. digital platforms, companies do not abuse their positions to prevent small and medium-sized businesses from competing. Such new protections and rights mean that online businesses and services providers will have access to online infrastructure on equal terms with competitors, including businesses operated by the platforms. The bills provide an improved chance at growing a business that is not undermined by anti-competitive actions from the platforms on which they rely to reach consumers.56 For the very largest online platforms, American Innovation and Open App Markets would change the laws to ensure that:
- Companies can no longer design algorithms to favor their own products: The bills end an e-commerce or search platform’s ability to juice its ranking, search, review systems, and design to favor its own products over those of competitors.57 This will level the playing field for other businesses and ensure that consumers are getting a clearer picture of their options.
- Companies can no longer prevent smaller businesses from communicating with customers: The bills provide new protections to small businesses online to ensure they can access data58 and contact consumers when they do business on major platforms.59 It also prevents platform companies from using those data and insights to unfairly compete against them.60
- Companies can no longer impose “pay to play” restrictions for businesses on major platforms: The bills prevent big companies from requiring that businesses pay to play—buy extra goods and services just to have a chance of succeeding on the platform61 or use companies’ proprietary payment processor systems.62
Such new protections mean that online businesses and service providers can have an improved chance at growing their business because the platforms will operate on a level playing field, no longer creating arbitrary obstacles to disadvantage them or extract rents from them.
Even Big Tech will experience benefits from these protections
Industry lobbyists have driven much of the public conversation about restrictions on Big Tech. Yet the ways in which even these companies will enjoy benefits under these bills have been overlooked. Large online platforms must also navigate their services through the anti-competitive restrictions of other gatekeeper online platforms—for example, how Google is dependent on the Apple App Store for the distribution of the Google Maps application for iPhones. These bills would provide protections for everyone on the covered platforms, including affected business lines of the other covered entities.63 These include, for example, gains for Apple’s new streaming service, Apple TV+, which recently reduced functionality of its Android TV app, likely because it did not want to pay the app tax to Google (which mirrors the percentage Apple takes from apps on its platform).64 The Open App Markets Act would give Apple a chance to increase the functionality of its app on the Android TV platform or communicate about alternatives. Similarly, as noted above, the full functionality to buy Amazon Kindle eBooks would likely become available via the Kindle mobile apps on iPhone and Android, which would increase sales of Kindle eBooks.
To date, those few companies affected by these bills have focused on the potential negative effects while remaining silent on the tremendous benefits—and profits—their products would gain from increased access and protection for other covered platforms. The exception is Microsoft, which has announced its voluntary compliance with many of the rules laid out in Open App Markets. Brad Smith, Microsoft’s president, has tweeted in support of the bill.65 Consumers too would significantly benefit from additional competition among Big Tech companies.
U.S. companies will enjoy more equal footing, delivering greater benefits to consumers
Many of the practices that American Innovation and Open App Markets would require or allow are already available to other large gatekeeper online platforms through special deals. Similarly, many of the benefits these bills would deliver to consumers are already being rolled out to people elsewhere in the world via regulatory or legal requirements.
For example, some large gatekeeper companies have been able to negotiate special exceptions to app store pricing for some of their apps,66 which remain opaque or unavailable to most other apps.67 Legal proceedings have forced companies to make some concessions, such as removing the restriction on communicating with users outside an app through services such as email, while leaving restrictions on communicating in-app in place.68 Open App Markets would remove restrictions on legitimate business communications.69
In parallel, the increasing regulatory pressure in other countries has also forced significant changes on app stores in South Korea, the Netherlands, and elsewhere.70 Soon, the nearly 450 million people in the European Union stand to gain from passage of the Digital Markets Act (DMA) and the Digital Services Act (DSA), which will affect the covered platforms in the two Senate bills and are further described below.71 The proposals in American Innovation and Open App Markets would guarantee that Americans enjoy similar benefits to those already negotiated by some other regulators, such as prohibiting restrictions that limit consumers and businesses from using alternative payment processors on covered platforms and in app stores.72 Companies are already building the capabilities to comply with these changes, proving it can be done. U.S. consumers and businesses deserve access to these benefits as well.
The bills ensure America does not cede technology policy leadership to the EU
The European Union is advancing sweeping new laws to regulate online services with the DMA and the DSA.73 Those two acts introduce rules for, respectively, very large online platforms and digital services more broadly, covering anti-competitive behavior, transparency, interoperability, online content, deceptive design, targeted advertising, and more. The European Union came to provisional political agreements on both proposals in early 2022. The European Parliament and Council are expected to pass the proposals later this year, after which additional details on EU enforcement will be crafted and unveiled.74
Though the European proposals tackle a broader swath of issues, American Innovation and Open App Markets grapple with some similar problems. These include balancing concerns between competition and privacy, curbing self-preferencing, making app stores fairer, enabling interoperability, and effectively addressing novel harms to competition. Similarly, American Innovation tasks the Department of Justice and the Federal Trade Commission with drafting new enforcement guidelines to identify behaviors that the agencies will treat as violations of the statute.75
Regulators on both sides of the Atlantic could soon be grappling with novel and difficult enforcement questions whose answers will affect the messaging, e-commerce, mobile, search, social media, and internet services Americans use every day. Guidance that touches on the enforcement of competition rules that affect data-sharing and interoperability will be consequential for popular consumer services.
If Congress passes these bills, very large online platforms, including mobile app stores, will be complying with similar but potentially distinct U.S. and European laws in the next few years. The development of the U.S. enforcement guidelines and the ongoing EU rulemaking provides the United States and the European Union an important opportunity to work together to conceive and harmonize some aspects of their respective approaches. This could establish rights-respecting approaches to eliminating self-preferencing, banning discrimination on large online platforms, and making app stores fairer. In particular, sufficiently considered guidance is needed to advance the dual goals around competition and privacy. Weak enforcement from either body risks harming both. Instead, what is need is thoughtful, effective bilateral enforcement that balances these goals.
If Congress fails to pass the bills into law, the United States will continue to cede regulatory leadership in this space to the European Union and as a result have little leverage to advocate for U.S. interests or values—leaving American consumers and companies on the sidelines to be regulated by Brussels. Regulation of the large, global technology platforms is overdue. But the experiences of U.S. consumers on these platforms could soon be fundamentally altered by EU requirements in which they have no say. Though the bills now working their way through Congress stop far short of establishing the needed rulemaking capacity for sustainable governance of digital markets in the United States, allowing Europe to proceed without any parallel progress would be a mistake.
Understanding the bills’ potential risks and areas of concern
A range of questions and concerns have been raised in the course of deliberation on these proposals. Questions about the bills’ definitions and how they may affect privacy, national security, content moderation, and litigation risk have all rightly been a part of both the public conversation and the drafting process. While much of this scrutiny has been in good faith, incorrect and misleading claims about the bills’ implications have also been advanced. For American Innovation, the bill’s authors have accommodated feedback on concerns regularly, including their tweaks at the bill’s markup and the recent late May release of an updated manager’s amendment addressing some of the concerns highlighted below.76 The following section tackles each area of concern in turn. It assesses the benefits and risks of the potential consequences in each area, walks through issues raised, and, where necessary, explores the dissonance between the bills’ likely effects and incorrect industry claims.
Concerns over the definition of covered platforms
Some commentators have criticized the definition of covered platforms in the American Innovation and Choice Online Act77 for “arbitrarily defined requirements,” for applying only to certain large technology companies, for not applying to all online platforms, and for only affecting U.S. companies.78
The definition of “covered platform” in the act79 is anything but arbitrary. It is built off research from more than 10 Senate Judiciary Antitrust subcommittee hearings that included information on competition in app stores, home technologies such as smart speakers, big data, and the impact of consolidation and monopoly power on innovation.80 These Senate hearings followed an extensive 18-month investigation on competition in digital markets from the House Judiciary Committee81 and are further informed by parallel work and investigations by government agencies in the United Kingdom, European Union, Australia, Germany, and others.82 These government investigations mirrored numerous academic works from recent years that aimed to identify the common characteristics of and competition issues in digital markets.83
The definition of “covered platform” in American Innovation is a functional one that does not target size alone.84 Furthermore, the “covered platform” designation applies only to specific business lines that qualify as a covered platform, rather than all the business lines of a company that owns a qualifying covered platform. Being a big platform with many users alone does not make an online platform a covered platform; instead, it is designed to apply only to the covered platforms with immense gatekeeping power, which American Innovation calls “critical trading partners.”85 As CAP has written previously, these digital gatekeepers pose a unique risk:86
Looking solely at economic outcomes does not fully capture the risks posed by digital gatekeepers. Very large digital gatekeepers are systemically important, as their actions have major implications for the U.S. economy, society, and security. Similar to systemically important financial institutions, they pose widespread risks given their status as functionally essential and ubiquitous informational infrastructure. Abusive behavior toward consumers, potential competitors, or corporate negligence on a range of critical public interest issues—such as cybersecurity, data privacy, discrimination, political advertising, content moderation, and site reliability—can generate cascading social harms and significant economic costs. Americans want, and regulators should provide, oversight over digital gatekeepers that have the potential to cause massive harm.
The power of digital gatekeepers over smaller online platforms is why self-preferencing on those online platforms is so powerful and anti-competitive. American Innovation’s restrictions on self-preferencing on covered platforms that are critical trading partners correctly addresses the places where the greatest harm can be leveraged on the most people, harm that smaller online platforms who are not critical trading partners cannot impose. For example, in 2019, reporter Kashmir Hill attempted to intentionally block five of the largest online companies from her internet usage, all of which would be covered platforms under American Innovation, and found it nearly impossible.87
Smaller online platforms may also require future legislation to establish rules of the road for all platform commerce. CAP has previously raised the need for such rules in its work proposing a new regulatory framework for all online services.88
While many of the online platforms that would be designated as covered platforms in American Innovation are U.S. companies, the criteria would include companies with more than 1 billion worldwide monthly active users, which would include Chinese-owned TikTok and potentially other foreign-owned online platforms.89
These tests will apply not just to today’s gatekeepers but also to any new platforms that might amass critical gatekeeping power in the future. Given fairer conditions to compete, some small and medium-sized business might find increased success and grow into qualifying as covered platforms. This is a feature, not a bug, of American Innovation. It embodies the principle that any digital platform that amasses gatekeeper power cannot be allowed to tilt the playing field through self-preferencing, today or in the future. As the United States continues to tackle the striking lack of regulation that has enabled predatory practices to flourish online, starting with and prioritizing rules for the largest platforms in order to tackle the most widespread economic harms is a sensible strategy.
Important considerations around privacy and security
Questions have been raised about whether the bills strike the right balance around privacy, security, and competition.90 Some have argued that the bills’ focus on economic provisions inherently demotes privacy to a secondary consideration.91 It has been suggested that, under various provisions of the new bills, privacy rules requiring that platforms apply specifically to third-party vendors, developers, or advertisers may be at risk if they are also found to harm competition.92 The bills have grappled with this risk, however, by exempting potentially anti-competitive actions that are necessary measures for privacy and security through affirmative defenses.93 Platforms still have wide latitude to make privacy and security improvements on their platforms as they see fit. But even actions that may have anti-competitive effects are explicitly allowed if they enhance consumer privacy, safety, or security94 and meet the bills’ qualifications around being reasonably tailored and reasonably necessary,95 among other factors.
For example, a January 2022 blog post from Google President of Global Affairs Kent Walker criticizes an unnamed “Senate bill.”96 While the post does not identify specific bills, the timing and language of the blog post coincides with American Innovation’s markup hearing in the Senate Judiciary Committee.97 Walker writes, “[The bill] still includes all the provisions that hamper our ability to offer security by default on our platforms, exposing people to phishing attacks, malware and spammy content.”98 The blog post does not seem to acknowledge the significant affirmative defenses granted to protect privacy, safety, or security under American Innovation or why those affirmative defense provisions would be insufficient to allow Google to continue providing these services. Follow-up from Google after the release of the latest update to American Innovation in late May reiterated many of the points from the blog post but provided few additional details.99 It is difficult to assess further from these comments, though CAP welcomes further analysis for discussion.
By putting the standard at “material harm to competition,” the bar to successful litigation under American Innovation is high.100 But should platforms need to invoke an affirmative defense against such a challenge under either bill, some debate has occurred around whether the varied standards to invoke affirmative defenses around privacy and security are too high.101
In a letter to the Senate Judiciary Committee, Apple raised a concern around affirmative defenses specifically, noting, “Apple would have to prove the protections were ‘necessary,’ ‘narrowly tailored,’ and that no less restrictive protections were available. This is a nearly insurmountable test, especially when applied after-the-fact as an affirmative defense.”102 In its letter, Apple supports requiring privacy and security protections to “be non-pretextual and reasonably tailored to protect consumers.”103
In a March letter to Sens. Klobuchar and Grassley, the Center for Democracy and Technology (CDT) echoed concerns around invoking the affirmative defenses, noting, “The bill recognizes these risks, and explicitly provides an affirmative defense for steps a platform might undertake to protect users’ privacy and security. But the hurdles to invoke this defense are more substantial than need be to further the bill’s pro-competitive purpose.”104 In particular, CDT raised concerns about the term “narrowly tailored” as part of the “strict scrutiny” test and made recommendations that include removing “narrowly tailored” and shifting the burden on “nonpretextual.”105
In late May, after consultation with key stakeholders including other senators, industry, and civil society, Sen. Klobuchar’s office released an updated manager’s amendment for American Innovation.106 It made changes to further clarify the affirmative defenses by removing “pre-textual” along with changing “narrowly tailored” to “reasonably tailored.”107 These changes represent a thoughtful balancing to allow for covered platforms to take appropriate actions to protect safety, privacy, and security. The bills’ narrow tailoring to very large online platforms ensures such burdens are not inappropriately borne by smaller businesses.
It is also important to remember that American Innovation can only be enforced by the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ), Federal Trade Commission (FTC), and state attorneys general,108 which means business users complaining about privacy, safety, or security measures would need to convince one of those government law enforcement agencies to take up the case for them in federal district court.109
The FTC and DOJ can further ensure that privacy-protective actions are exempted by elaborating in the enforcement guidelines that American Innovation instructs them to issue.110 The FTC, as America’s de facto privacy regulator (in the absence of a general federal privacy law or rules), can bring its expertise in both competition and privacy to the crafting of these guidelines. It is directed to “define the term data for the purpose of implementing and enforcing this Act.”111 The FTC is well-positioned, for example, to identify what kinds of business user data might be appropriate to restrict business user access to112 on the grounds of privacy, safety, or security.113
It is impossible to fully adjudicate arguments about uncertainty in the courts for a proposed law. It is important to note that if litigation is brought under either American Innovation or Open App Markets, it will result in the eventual development of a body of case law that will help provide clarity for current and future covered platforms, resulting in fewer of these open questions.
Industry has argued against the Open App Markets Act specifically by suggesting that giving consumers choice of other app store providers undermines security.114 Such a concern holds that giving consumers choice among app stores may heighten security risks, such as malware, should consumers choose third-party stores or developers with poor security vetting.115 Concerns about malware or other security vulnerabilities should be taken seriously. However, one has to look no further than another popular Apple product to see that marginal increases in avenues for consumers to pursue risky behaviors can be managed: Mac users can download software from anywhere online they choose, not only from Apple, and Apple’s strong security features continue to offer significant protection to users in that environment.
While available data suggest somewhat higher levels of malware in Android (where downloading outside the designated app store is already allowed)116 and Macs relative to iOS,117 it is not necessarily the case that maintaining the competitive status quo is the best way to reduce security vulnerabilities. Competitive pressure can and should improve security offerings. Consumers will still be able to stick to the Apple App Store if that’s what they trust. But opening the markets can also enable specialty app curation to flourish—allowing app marketplaces that specifically focus on security, children’s safety and development, American small businesses, independent developers, or other areas of special interest to consumers to emerge. And nothing would stop Apple, for example, from offering superior security protections of their marketplaces and cautioning users against alternatives.
These bills primarily affect security and privacy by reintroducing much-needed competitive pressure. Over time, more competitive markets can provide incentives and opportunities for greater innovation, which can result in the development of more secure and better privacy-preserving technologies.118 Protecting Americans’ cybersecurity is a dynamic process; allowing digital gatekeepers to maintain control of key arteries in the absence of competitive pressure to improve security offerings misses opportunities to stay ahead.
Ultimately, Congress must address the broader landscape of concerns around privacy and security by finally advancing much-needed federal privacy legislation and additional cybersecurity regulations. CAP supports a comprehensive privacy bill that includes robust civil rights protections, without which there is little way to ensure that Americans’ rights are protected online.119
Concerns around national security
Some national security experts and technology sector industry groups have argued the new antitrust bills put American national security at risk.120 These critiques have suggested that regulating anti-competitive behavior by U.S. tech giants may hamper their ability to compete globally or hinder cybersecurity. Other national security leaders have supported the bills and argued that they will help the American economy and support consumers without those purported downsides.121
Looking at the discussion specifically around American Innovation, a recurring concern has been whether removing anti-competitive data restrictions and allowing commercial data-sharing would enable the Chinese government or other foreign governments to access data about Americans.122 The provision in question, Section 3(a)(7), states that it would be unlawful for a covered platform to:
materially restrict or impede a business user from accessing data generated on the covered platform by the activities of the business user, or through an interaction of a covered platform user with the products or services of the business user, such as by establishing contractual or technical restrictions that prevent the portability by the business user to other systems or applications of the data of the business user.
Critics have claimed this provision would “require large U.S. technology companies to disclose user data to competitors—including those that are foreign-controlled.”123 As Google’s president of global affairs wrote about a Senate bill that the authors presume to be American Innovation, “it says nothing about provisions that could require sharing data with countless other bad actors and foreign companies.” (The presumption is that this blog post refers to American innovation, given that it was posted before the Senate Judiciary committee markup of American Innovation and is updated to reference “an amendment to the Senate bill” that mirrors the manager’s amendment introduced and adopted ahead of the markup of American Innovation.)124
Some have interpreted related provisions around interoperability in American Innovation125 to suggest that “requiring non-discriminatory access for all ‘business users’ (broadly defined to include foreign rivals) on U.S. digital platforms would provide an open door for foreign adversaries to gain access to the software and hardware of American technology companies.”126 Others have claimed that with interoperability “there is a significant risk that companies receiving ported data would turn the data over to foreign government authorities or use them for other nefarious purposes.”127
These critiques of American Innovation are deeply misleading. The data covered are clearly only a business user’s own data: that which it has generated during its business activities on a covered platform.128 It is not a requirement that a major platform must hand over all the data it has about its users to any business users on the platform. This is simply a requirement that a business have access to data from its own usage of the platform to conduct business with its customers—the same kind of data a business might generate and have access to in any other sphere of commerce. Assuming an inability of businesses to access, export, and save their own business data while covered platforms can access that same data and use it to their competitive advantage is unreasonable.
Upon closer examination, many of the documents published highlighting national security criticisms are focused on provisions from the six antitrust bills that passed out of the House Judiciary Committee in 2021.129 Only one of the House bills—HR. 3816, the American Choice and Innovation Online Act130—has a Senate companion bill that has passed out of the Senate Judiciary Committee, the similarly named S. 2992 (the American Innovation and Choice Online Act), which is analyzed here.131 Even specific criticisms of American Innovation or Open App Markets are often intermixed with criticisms of the House bills, which makes analyzing some of these charges very difficult, as they are simply not applicable to the two Senate bills that are the focus of this report. This can create challenges in deciphering specific criticism of the two senate bills; CAP flags for the reader’s context.
Sens. Klobuchar and Grassley have made numerous good-faith attempts to minimize risks to national security in American Innovation, even within the limited scope of data described above. For example, an amendment from Sen. John Cornyn (R-TX) was incorporated during the markup of American Innovation to address concerns around national security risks,132 including specific language to prevent data-sharing with the Chinese government.133 Accordingly, the definition of “business user” allows for covered platforms to deny any requests from any business user who is a clear national security risk or “foreign adversary.”134 American Innovation defines “business user” as “a person that uses or is likely to use a covered platform for the advertising, sale, or provision of products or services.”135 This definition is necessarily broad and would have to include “foreign rivals” because almost all foreign businesses operating online do business with covered platforms under American Innovation given their incredible reach. But the claim that it “would provide an open door for foreign adversaries”136 ignores that the act’s definition of “business user” specifically names and excludes “foreign adversaries,” stating that a business user “does not include a person that—(i) is a clear national security risk; or (ii) is controlled by the Government of the People’s Republic of China or the government of another foreign adversary.”137 This means that covered platforms outright do not have to give access to or comply with requests from any business user who is a clear national security risk. In addition, to address specific concerns raised around the nondiscriminatory interoperability provision, the most recent manager’s amendment to American Innovation allows for additional coverage of cybersecurity measures by adding “except where such access would lead to a significant cybersecurity risk.”138
American Innovation’s affirmative defenses allow a covered platform to limit the data accessed by any business user, not just those who might be controlled by a foreign government, to “protect safety, user privacy, the security of non-public data, or the security of the covered platform,” even if it materially harms competition.139 The bill also instructs the FTC to “define the term data for the purpose of implementing and enforcing this Act,”140 which is likely to identify certain kinds of data, such as personally identifiable information that would not otherwise be available to a business user, could be withheld by a covered platform from all business users based on privacy, safety, and security. Drawing on its privacy experience, the FTC can further ensure clarity around protecting privacy rights as it issues enforcement guidance, working with the Department of Justice, which itself brings national security expertise.141
Because these data are the company’s own business data, most or all are already held by the company and already at risk of being seized by a foreign government with jurisdiction. If critics’ arguments about foreign government data access142 are to be carried out to their logical conclusion, it appears critics are arguing that foreign companies should not be allowed to do business with U.S. covered platforms at all: If risk of foreign government access to business data of foreign companies on U.S. platforms is too great, then the risks critics are concerned about already exist. Negligible additional risk is created by the bills. A position that foreign companies—many of whom also have little choice but to use major U.S. covered platforms—should not be allowed to do business on U.S. platforms seems misguided. As noted above, where there are particular security concerns about foreign governments’ access, American Innovation specifically includes numerous provisions that thoroughly address concerns around national security risks, foreign adversaries, or foreign governments143 and provide ample defenses around privacy, safety, and security.144
Finally, should a foreign company wish to object to denial of data access for some reason other than the various affirmative defenses and protections outlined above, it would have almost no legal recourse. The lack of a private right of action under American Innovation means that a foreign company that feels aggrieved would need to convince the DOJ, the FTC, or a state attorney general145 to file suit on its behalf in U.S. federal district court,146 a highly unlikely occurrence.
For its part, the term “business user” only appears in Open App Markets once, in a section that clearly states, “Nothing in this Act may be construed—(6) to require a covered company to interoperate or share data with persons or business users that—(A) are on any list maintained by the Federal Government by which entities are identified as limited or prohibited from engaging in economic transactions as part of United States sanctions or export control regimes; or (B) have been identified by the Federal Government as national security, intelligence, or law enforcement risks.” As the text states, this is not an open door to foreign adversaries.147 Further, Open App Markets allows for app stores to take actions, even those generally prohibited by the bill “for an action that is (A) necessary to achieve user privacy, security, or digital safety.”148 Finally, the bill does not allow a lawsuit to be brought by “[a] developer of an app that is owned by, or under the control of, a foreign state.”149
Other claims that these bills will affect national security suggested they would “break up large U.S. technology companies” or “prohibit large U.S. technology companies from engaging in significant new acquisitions or investments” in a way that hindered U.S. competitiveness.150 These are a mix of hyperbolic and misleading claims based on earlier versions of the five House bills. They are also simply not applicable to the two bills likely to make their way to the Senate floor in summer 2022.
National security criticisms of the bills fall short under closer examination. But the potential benefits to U.S. national security are worth considering. While software and online services have grown to be a major leading industry for the United States, anti-competitive behavior by today’s gatekeeper platform operators threatens that dynamism and poses real national security risks.151 Major platforms maintain a vacuum of competitive pressure in part through the self-preferencing and discriminatory practices that are prohibited by the bills. The lack of competition and real challengers in major areas of online commerce results in stagnation, loss of innovation, and lack of U.S. economic growth in key online markets. Preventing platform providers from abusing their dominance to thwart potential competitors can help restore the competitive pressure that is required if the United States hopes to continue as a global leader in technology.152
For example, consider that the only recent competition in the consumer social media space has come from China, in the form of TikTok. TikTok perfected itself in the Chinese market, protected from U.S. tech monopolies.153 The only reason it was able to compete with U.S. tech monopolies was because it had already perfected its algorithm and had billions of dollars in cash reserves to pay other platform monopolies for online advertising to gather installs on mobile phones.154 These are conditions today that no U.S. startup can hope to replicate. This is shown clearly by the data. Despite the incentive of high rates of return, the United States has failed to produce a new competitor to dominant online platforms, ceding the opportunity to companies from countries such as China. The United States should be doing all it can to create dynamic new American apps that can compete with the TikToks of today and tomorrow that do not need billions of dollars in cash reserves to buy their way into app installs on smartphones. America should not be protecting companies that have failed to succeed even after leveraging self-preferencing on their own gatekeeper platforms.155 American Innovation is, in this sense, aptly named: Creating a level playing field online will help maintain the dynamic, competitive U.S. markets that are a major source of economic and global power.
Evaluating the risk of litigation around content moderation
Concerns have been raised about the potential impact on “content moderation” on the covered platforms in each of the bills—both the potential for increased litigation by disgruntled business users against whom platforms take action and the potential “chilling effect” of enforcing terms of service in the face of increased legal risk.156 Importantly, however, both bills preserve platforms’ ability to enforce their terms of service.157 Neither bill creates restrictions on content moderation writ large.
Nonetheless, observers have questioned whether a disgruntled business user or individual who wishes to twist these rules to advance a content-based grievance could succeed. Specifically under scrutiny is Section 3(a)(3) of American Innovation, which makes it unlawful for a covered platform to “discriminate in the application or enforcement of the terms of service of the covered platform among similarly situated business users in a manner that would materially harm competition.”158 This provision aims to address critical concerns about businesses using terms-of-service enforcement as a cudgel against business users with whom they have grievances or from whom they face potential competitive threats. Experts suggest that platforms would turn to these tactics once their abilities to directly self-preference and discriminate are banned by Section 3(a)(1) and 3(a)(2) of the bill. In a recent blog post on the Senate antitrust bills, Public Knowledge described the importance of Section 3(a)(3) in American Innovation and provided examples:159
The bans on self-preferencing in the rest of the bill are key to fair competition on the platform, but 3(a)(3) is key to fair competition against the platform. We want to make sure that these platforms actually face competition that could unseat them from their gatekeeper status. That kind of competition might come from a company that they compete directly against on their own platform, or it might not.
Drawing on a history of anti-competitive platform conduct in the style of selective enforcement of platform rules, drafters have included this provision as a general purpose bulwark against what could be the next wave of anti-competitive conduct.
A complainant hoping to use 3(a)(3) to address content moderation concerns would be required to overcome high process and evidentiary bars. A complainant would need to convince federal or state enforcement160 to take up such a content moderation action, which is the only path to court under American Innovation, then that law enforcement agency would need to prove in a federal district court161 that it: 1) resulted in discriminatory enforcement of its terms of services;162 and 2) resulted in material harm to competition broadly,163 not just the individual bringing suit. Should a platform invoke an affirmative defense, the court would also need to find it was not necessary to protect safety, privacy, or security or to comply with the law.164
To illustrate the type of case that raises concern, consider the removal of conspiracy theorist Alex Jones from his YouTube channel.165 YouTube currently enjoys First Amendment protections to moderate its private platform as it sees fit, including by removing Jones. Should Jones wish to get around these protections by arguing terms-of-service enforcement discrimination that resulted in material harm to competition under the bill, he would first have to persuade the DOJ, FTC, or a state attorney general to take up his case, as there is no private right to action in American Innovation, and Open Apps Markets does not apply here. The government would then need to prove in federal court that YouTube did not merely apply its terms of service in banning Jones, but that it applied the terms of service in a discriminatory fashion among “similarly situated business users.” In other words, the complainant must prove that Jones was treated differently than other YouTube users similarly violating the terms. Further, it would need to show that discriminatory application of the terms of service resulted in material harm to competition in the marketplace. It is highly unlikely that such an effect could be shown, since YouTube earned revenue from Jones’ videos, and operations of competing platforms were not harmed by the ban. However, even if a court were convinced the ban produced competitive harm, enforcing the terms of service would be protected if a platform demonstrated it was reasonably necessary to prevent a violation of the law, protect safety, or protect the security of the covered platform. Given Jones’ long history attacking victims of a school shooting and spreading false cures for COVID-19, among other outrages, these actions should fall squarely in the category of YouTube’s ability to take action to protect the safety or security of its users.166
Even if aggrieved parties convince federal or state antitrust enforcers to pervert reasonable competition rules to make unreasonable content moderation claims, it seems highly unlikely that federal courts would find these attempts to have merit. Similarly, it seems unlikely that complainants would be able to construct sufficient evidence to meet the bills’ standards. The risk that these claims will succeed in federal court is low, but it is admittedly not zero; there has been an increase in ideologically motivated rulings. In recent years, ideologically motivated litigation has occasionally found success in federal courts—which themselves have become more ideological in nature—even when serious legal scholars have found cases without legal merit.167 Again, the risk that such cases will succeed seems low given the bill’s construction, though there are concerns about the precedents that could be set should the cases succeed at the district court and be appealed through the federal judicial system. However, it should not be substantially riskier than the numerous litigation risks these covered platforms already face. As Yelp’s general counsel Aaron Schur recently noted: “[American Innovation] would not expose companies to any significant new legal risk based on their content moderation practices. That’s particularly important because it means companies would not be disincentivized to prevent their platforms’ misuse.”168 Drafters have taken steps to minimize the abusability of these rules. It is an untenable position for Congress to stop legislating in the face of any potential misuse of the law.
Similar concerns have been raised about a nondiscrimination provision in Open App Markets.169 Section 3(e) of the act reads: “A covered company shall not provide unequal treatment of Apps in an App Store through unreasonably preferencing or ranking the Apps of the Covered Company or any of its business partners over those of other Apps in organic search results.”170 Some have suggested that, given the broad definition of “business partner” and the open-ended definition of “unreasonably preferencing,” aggrieved developers would be able to take issue with a variety of practices employed by a covered platform against most major tech companies.171 Indeed, Open App Markets offers a private right of action (though limited)172 for developers173 in addition to enforcement by state and federal bodies.174 Some have raised the question of whether this construction needlessly invites litigation. The argument goes that it enables complainants to point to any number of other app developers (especially providers of popular services, who are likely in some kind of business relationship with Apple or Google and on which an example of any kind of content moderation presence or absence can be found) that have similar problems but where equivalent action was not taken.175 However, Section 3(e)’s title, “self-preferencing in search,” clearly limits means of unreasonably preferencing as described in Section 3(e)(2) to a finite universe of in-search operations. Thus, even though Section 3(e)(2)(A) specifies what “unreasonably preferencing” includes and leaves some room for further interpretation, rather than giving a precise definition of each possible action, the universe of operations here is of smaller scope than some critics appear to be concerned about. It seems unlikely that a developer aggrieved over content moderation decisions—such as removal from the store—could successfully use this provision about unreasonable preferencing of first-party or business partner services within app store searches to launch the type of claims that could have any real merit in court.
Finally, recent laws passed by Texas and Florida limit content moderation on social media platforms.176 These laws are in various stages of litigation before two different circuit courts, and it is increasingly possible that the U.S. Supreme Court will address the issue of online content moderation in the near future.177 Should either of these laws be allowed to stand by the Supreme Court, it is certainly difficult to imagine a state attorney general choosing to use a provision in these antitrust laws for a purpose they were not intended for, instead of working with the state legislature for more direct changes and challenges to content moderation on social media platforms.
Evaluating the potential for a chilling effect on content moderation
The second concern raised is that this added litigation risk may have a chilling effect on platforms’ content moderation and enforcement of terms of service.178 Here, observers have raised the possibility that companies will weaken their enforcement of terms of service to avoid any potential lawsuits, however unlikely they are to succeed, from complainants who wish to advance content moderation grievances.179 Scrutiny around these potential effects is merited. Content moderation practices long supported by CAP180 have consistently found a gap between content moderation promises and enforcement, especially on the largest social media platforms.181
There are two primary arguments raised about the potential chilling of content moderation, the first around enforcement decisions on social media platforms and the second around enforcement actions on apps in app stores.
Social media platforms have long made the argument that functional content moderation is a competitive advantage. The social media platforms that would be affected by American Innovation are primarily funded by advertising and have heavily touted their efforts around “brand safety” to their advertisers, marketing it as a core feature of their advertising products.182 Social media platforms have repeatedly insisted that their content moderation efforts make them a safe place for advertisers to spend money.
For example, during the 2020 #StopHateForProfit advertiser boycott of Facebook, civil and digital rights groups pressured advertisers to stop their ads for a period time to object to Facebook’s inadequate content moderation.183 This led the company now known as Meta to argue that “Facebook Does Not Benefit from Hate” and that its content moderation polices are critical because “[b]illions of people use Facebook and Instagram because they have good experiences—they don’t want to see hateful content, our advertisers don’t want to see it, and we don’t want to see it. There is no incentive for us to do anything but remove it.”184
Facebook and YouTube are advertiser-supported platforms and nearly all of their revenue comes from advertisers—that is, advertisers who demand content moderation. If social media platforms were to chill their content moderation due to the potential litigation risk of a government agency succeeding in federal court in using antitrust laws in unintended ways, then the real implications of nonenforcement would seem to impose far greater economic cost to advertiser-supported platforms than the marginal litigation risk.
It is also important to note that not a single company that manages a social media platform that would be covered under American Innovation has stated publicly that it will be forced to reduce individual content moderation due to potential litigation risk.
While social media platforms have one form of content moderation, app stores have a different form of content moderation that could be affected by American Innovation or Open App Markets. There is concern that these bills could cause app stores to hesitate in removing apps for content moderation reasons.185
An oft-cited situation in this debate is that of Parler, a social media app popular with right-wing users that was removed from the Apple iOS App Store and the Google Play store shortly after the January 6 attacks on the Capitol due to inadequate content moderation policies.186 Critics have argued that these bills’ potential additional litigation risk may make Apple or Google less likely to remove an app such as Parler in the future. However, it is important to note that concerns about Parler’s content and lack of moderation were raised in the months before the January 6 attack (including by Parler itself) but did not result in any actions by the app stores that have been made public.187 Today, Parler has returned to the App Store with moderation policies that meet the App Store requirements but which many experts still consider to be inadequate.188 It is difficult to know if Parler’s removal from the App Store for lack of moderation is a common occurrence or a rare one, as Apple does not break down categories, such as lack of adequate moderation, in its public releases about the App Store, though it does provide broad categories of data on apps rejected.189
In this sense, Parler is a flawed example to highlight, as the app now exists again in the App Store, with many critics arguing that Parler operates in only a marginally more responsible position than it did prior to January 6.190 As discussed, it wouldn’t be eligible for litigation under Open App Markets; the action taken here was on a terms-of-service violation, and Parler doesn’t appear to have grounds as a self-preferencing in search issue. As discussed, litigation under American Innovation would require a federal or state law enforcement agency to take up the case and clear the high bars around discriminatory enforcement, material harm to competition, and not being necessary to protect safety, security, or comply with the law.
It’s important to ensure that laws targeted at competition or privacy issues do not inadvertently undermine other areas of public interest such as improved content moderation. However, in these cases, the litigation pathways offered by the bills seem highly unlikely to generate the broad chilling of speech or moderation that would harm freedom of expression and challenge the financial self-interest of the platforms to moderate content, especially if they are advertiser-supported platforms. American Innovation’s Section 3(a)(3) certainly does not “effectively ban content moderation”191 as some hyperbolic critics charge, which is a wildly inaccurate way to describe the small risk that a government enforcement agency may attempt to abuse unrelated provisions to address content moderation concerns and that a series of courts could then rule in its favor.
A greater diversity of businesses facing real competition will offer consumers more choice in moderation approaches. Such competition can get away from the monoculture of today’s search and social media services, making the information ecosystem more resilient to informational manipulation and threats. It may also catalyze further and much-needed improvements in content moderation practices and technologies.
Ultimately, the likely effects of these bills on content moderation, security, and privacy are positive ones: introducing competitive pressure that may result in an improvement of the status quo. These bills provide further incentives to get it right on the issues people care about most.
Ultimately, the likely effects of these bills on content moderation, security, and privacy are positive ones: introducing competitive pressure that may result in an improvement of the status quo. These bills provide further incentives to get it right on the issues people care about most.
The American Innovation and Choice Act and the Open App Markets Act put forth reasonable proposals to alleviate some of the most economically harmful behaviors of extremely large digital platforms. These bills do not solve every single problem associated with online services, nor should that be the bar by which any piece of legislation for a swath of issues so broad be judged. As the legislative process continues, the authors of the bills continue to hear from stakeholders and may make further tweaks to address concerns. CAP applauds any efforts to improve legislation, but none of the current concerns are significant enough to outweigh the considerable benefits of the bills. Both bills contribute to a necessary modernization of U.S. antitrust laws. In weighing the spectrum of the bills’ potential impacts, CAP concludes that they are likely to protect American consumers, small businesses, and innovation online. CAP endorses the American Innovation and Choice Online Act and the Open App Markets Act and urges Congress take meaningful action to enhance consumer choice and competition online by passing these bipartisan bills into law this summer.
The authors would like to thank CAP colleagues Marc Jarsulic, Ben Olinsky, Erin Mahon, Lauren Laford, and Ashleigh Maciolek for their contributions to the development of this report, as well as Alex Harman, Sumit Sharma, Matthew Kent, and Charlotte Slaiman for their thoughtful comments.