Northern Syria Security Dynamics and the Refugee Crisis
Ensuring stability in northern Syria will require international engagement that balances humanitarian concerns with the moral hazard created by Turkey’s occupation.
Turkey
Flashpoints in U.S.-Turkey Relations in 2021
Turkey’s pursuit of strategic autonomy should be met with firm transactionalism by the Biden administration, and while this stance is unlikely to change President Erdoğan’s unilateral approach, it could help preserve certain institutional ties.
The Turkish Diaspora in Europe
Polling shows that members of Europe’s Turkish and Turkish-Kurdish diaspora value their separate identity; nevertheless, they welcome the opportunities and freedom of life in Europe, even in the face of lingering discrimination.
The First 100 Days: Toward a More Sustainable and Values-Based National Security Approach
An actionable plan for the next administration’s progressive national security agenda.
Interactive: The First 100 Days
This interactive database features nearly 250 recommendations that the next administration can advance, adopt, and implement within the first 100 days to set the country on a path toward a more progressive national security approach.
Turkey’s President Erdoğan Is Losing Ground at Home
Generational change and shifting attitudes in conservative Turkey could bring fragmentation of the dominant right-wing bloc and, potentially, a new political alignment—prospects that will continue to shape President Erdoğan’s actions at home and abroad.
Turkey’s Changing Media Landscape
Government censorship is rapidly reshaping how Turks get their news, with major implications for Turkish foreign policy, political polarization, and Erdoğan’s rule.
Turkish Conservatives’ Loyalty to Erdoğan and Views on Potential Successors
While President Erdoğan’s support is not boundless, no potential successor currently appears able to hold together the diverse conservative constituency that dominates Turkish politics.
Trump’s Syria Shambles
President Trump’s withdrawal from Syria has thrown the region into chaos, shattered American credibility, and uncovered deep problems with U.S. policy toward Turkey.
The State of the Turkish-Kurdish Conflict
The benefits of rapprochement between the Turkish government and Kurdish militants are clear, but hopes for an easing of tensions rest on shaky political ground.
Responding to Turkey’s Purchase of Russia’s S-400 Missile System
If Ankara moves forward with the purchase of Russia’s air defense system, the United States should begin downgrading security ties with Turkey.
Turkey’s Refugee Dilemma
Despite Turkish leaders’ frequent insistence that Syrian refugees will return home, privately, they seem to be preparing for the likelihood that most will remain permanently.
A Snapshot of Turkish Public Opinion Toward the European Union
Turkish public opinion is hostile toward the European Union and may limit the potential of Ankara’s recent attempts to reset relations with the Euro bloc.
What Turkey’s Political Changes Mean for U.S.-Turkish Relations
The United States should take a harder line with Turkey and begin to prepare for the potential implications of Erdoğan’s aggressive nationalism.
Erdoğan Not Assured of First-Round Victory
A major new poll ahead of Turkish elections shows sharp divisions among Turks about the president’s tenure and the vulnerability of Erdoğan and the government on the economy.