Preserving and Strengthening the U.S.-Mexico Relationship
In this article
This report contains a correction.
Introduction and summary
The United States and Mexico share far more than a 1,989-mile border.1 The two countries share a deep, complex history. This history is marked by ups and downs; by war and cooperation; by competition and collaboration; by the movement—northbound and southbound—of millions of people across a shared border in search of a better future; by a trickle of trade and today’s flow of more than $1.5 billion of goods and services crossing the border every day.*
As the new U.S. administration transitions from rhetoric to reality and from campaigning to governing, it will inherit a U.S.-Mexico relationship in perhaps the best shape it has ever been. But it will also inherit a relationship threatened by President Donald Trump’s repeated vilification of Mexico and Mexicans.
If that vilification becomes official U.S. policy, it will harm the United States—at home, throughout the Americas, and around the globe—because of the profound transformations that have unfolded over the past 30 years in Mexico and in the bilateral relationship itself.
Today’s U.S.-Mexico economic relationship, for example, dwarfs where the relationship stood fewer than 25 years ago. U.S. exports to Mexico increased from $41 billion in 1993 to more than $240 billion in 2014, an increase of 478 percent. Imports from Mexico increased from $39.9 billion in 1993 to $294.2 billion in 2014, an increase of 637 percent.2
U.S. trade with Mexico is not just larger than its trade with all but two countries in the world—China and Canada—but it is also qualitatively different. Complex, cross-border supply chains have become the norm in a growing number of industries. More than 40 percent of the value added in Mexican exports to the United States is of U.S. origin, in stark contrast with the 24 percent in Canadian exports to the United States—second highest—and the less than 4 percent in Chinese exports to the United States.3 Mexico ranks second among U.S. export markets and is the third-leading supplier of U.S. imports. In 2015, total trade amounted to $531.1 billion.4
In addition, in 2015, the largest share of business travelers and tourists to the United States were Mexicans—around 27 percent of the total—at 20.4 million people; Canadians were second with 13.4 million visitors.5 Mexico accounts for more visits than the United Kingdom, Japan, Germany, Brazil, China, and France combined,6 making up a large share of a tourist industry that accounts for 1.1 million jobs and $28.4 billion in wages in the United States.7
During the past 30 years, migration between the United States and Mexico has similarly undergone a profound change. While the 1990s and the opening decade of this century saw record migration from Mexico to the United States,8 net migration from Mexico to the United States has been negative since 2009.9 At the same time, the number of Americans living in Mexico has steadily increased and now exceeds 1 million, making it the largest U.S. expatriate community in the world.10 In fact, there are fewer than 20 U.S. cities with populations larger than the number of Americans—700,000 individuals—who currently live in Mexico City.11
This period of transformation has also witnessed a remarkable evolution in U.S.-Mexico security cooperation—an evolution that has clearly benefited U.S. national interests. For much of the 1980s and 1990s, U.S. and Mexican law enforcement officials viewed one another with deep suspicion, and cooperation was rare. The Mérida Initiative,12 originally formulated by former U.S. President George W. Bush and former Mexican President Felipe Calderón, opened the door to a new era of security cooperation that deepened throughout former U.S. President Barack Obama’s eight years in office.13
During these past three decades, Mexico has also emerged to play an increasingly important role on the global stage as a bridge between developing and developed economies—a role that has helped advance U.S. and align hemispheric interests on issues as diverse as global financial and economic policy, climate change, and U.N. peacekeeping.
In short, the U.S.-Mexico relationship is a far cry from the simplistic caricature that often dominates public mentions of Mexico in the United States.
As the relationship passes through a critical crossroads with the change of administration in the United States—and with the 2018 Mexican presidential elections looming on the horizon—it is essential that policymakers in the Trump administration look beyond the caricature and pursue an agenda that advances U.S. interests by, among other things:
- Tackling migration jointly with Mexico
- Building productive border infrastructure, not walls, together
- Embracing Mexico’s global ambition
But the dynamism and complexity of the U.S.-Mexico relationship means that other actors beyond the new U.S. administration must also engage to preserve and deepen the relationship. Ties with Mexico are too vital and touch too many aspects of daily life in both countries to be left solely in the hands of the U.S. executive branch. Instead, the U.S. Congress, state and local elected officials, and civil society actors need to expand their engagement at this critical juncture by:
- Engaging with elected Mexican counterparts, particularly beyond national capitals
- Encouraging deeper understanding among younger Americans and their Mexicans peers
- Connecting civil society to advance transparency, accountability, and the rule of law in Mexico
The coming months will determine whether the basic arc of the U.S.-Mexico relationship toward greater cooperation and benefit for Americans and Mexicans will continue or if nativism and nationalism will drive a wedge between the United States and Mexico. Following the recommendations laid out below would help keep the relationship on a constructive trajectory for the benefit of hundreds of millions of people in the United States, Mexico, and beyond.
Recommendations for the new U.S. administration
To not upend decades of progress, it is essential that the new U.S. administration immediately appreciate the real dynamics at the heart of the U.S.-Mexico relationship and embrace a cooperation-based agenda built on a recognition that people-to-people ties are the backbone of the most consequential U.S. bilateral relationship in the world.
To avoid cratering this important link, the Trump administration must, first and foremost, recognize that Mexico and Mexicans cannot be vilified or scapegoated as a substitute for broader public policy failures that have left too many U.S. workers exposed to the negative effects of globalization and automatization.14 Such vilification is entirely wrong. Instead, the United States needs to deepen its relationship with Mexico. Doing so would advance U.S. interests across the board.
Thankfully, the development of a constructive and interest-driven U.S.-Mexico agenda is not difficult so long as those shaping the conversation remember that actions by either country on any given topic have consequences across countless other issue areas. In short, it is hopelessly naive to believe that pursuing nativist-inspired policies on migration or border security will not blow apart the broader U.S.-Mexico relationship and wipe away its benefits from countless Americans and Mexicans.
Tackle migration together
The surest way to dismantle the positive U.S.-Mexico bilateral relationship would be to declare war on the 5.8 million unauthorized Mexican nationals living in the United States,15 many of whom are productive members of U.S. society and have been during more than two decades. No country could reasonably be expected to maintain a positive working relationship across a wide range of issues with another country that has set out to execute a policy of mass deportation targeting its nationals; it would be politically immature to think Mexico could or would be different.
It is thus essential that the United States engage on issues of migration in a responsible, thoughtful way with Mexico.
The United States and Mexico share a long, complex history in terms of migration and efforts to coordinate policy and action in this regard. Since the beginning of the 20th century, migration patterns between the United States and Mexico have gone through three main phases: limited migration flows before World War II; U.S.-Mexico-sponsored guest worker flows after World War II; and unauthorized flows of migration into the United States after 1965 until eight years ago.16 U.S. immigration policy responses within this time period notably included implementation of the Bracero Program from 1942 to 1964 and the legalization program of the Immigration Reform and Control Act, or IRCA, of 1986, as well as a significant ramp-up in border security infrastructure and personnel from the early 1990s to the present.17
The single-most important migration-related step that the Trump administration could take to positively affect the United States, Mexico, and the U.S.-Mexico relationship would be to bring the U.S. immigration system into the 21st century through enactment of comprehensive immigration reform. Although such action seems exceedingly unlikely given the vitriolic approach taken by President Trump toward Mexican migrants in the United States during his campaign, the United States and Mexico face a set of migration-related challenges that will neither wait for reform to take hold nor be wholly addressed by such reform.
Chief among these is migration through Mexico to the United States by refugees and migrants from elsewhere. Since 2009, net migration from Mexico to the United States has been negative—that is, more Mexicans have returned or been deported to Mexico from the United States than have entered the United States from Mexico.18 This is a marked departure from the 20 proceeding years that saw a significant influx of Mexicans to the United States.19 The reasons for the changed migration pattern are varied and include demographic changes in Mexico as its population rapidly ages,20 as well as increased deportations from the United States.21
Despite these new migratory dynamics, Mexico remains the most critical partner on migration-related issues. During fiscal year 2014, the number of unauthorized non-Mexican migrants—especially from Asia and Central America—increased by 325,000, from 5 million people in 2009 to more than 5.3 million in 2014—mainly crossing illegally at the southwest border.22
Migration from Central America, in particular, was driven by families and unaccompanied minors fleeing spiking violence in the countries of the Northern Triangle of Central America—El Salvador, Guatemala, and Honduras. In 2015, as Mexico fell short in addressing legitimate asylum claims from Central Americans, it turned back to countries of origin approximately 176,726 Central Americans who had entered Mexico without permission and absorbed another approximately 50,000 Central Americans.23
Neither dynamic is sustainable over any extended period of time and must be addressed in a collaborative manner that addresses the root causes fueling migration from the Northern Triangle countries and preserves the rights of asylum seekers, builds up Mexico’s capacity to identify and care for bona fide refugees, and does not trample on the due process rights of individuals in the United States or elsewhere.
In addition to Central Americans seeking to enter the United States via Mexico, others from the region—most notably, Haitians and Cubans—similarly seek to use the U.S.-Mexico border as a point of entry. Since October 2015, more than 5,000 Haitians without visas have tried to cross the San Ysidro port of entry into San Diego.24 In 2015, meanwhile, the majority of Cubans who entered the United States through irregular means—28,371—came through the U.S. Border Patrol’s Laredo Sector in Texas from Mexico.25 Both Haitians and Cubans engage in arduous and dangerous journeys that often first take them to countries in South America—primarily Brazil in the case of Haitians and primarily Ecuador in the case of Cubans—before heading across land to and through Central America and Mexico. These flows have been a source of growing friction in and among countries along the journey north.26
With continued flows of Central American refugees and the challenges presented by Haitian and Cuban migration, there is an urgent need for enhanced bilateral migration cooperation—cooperation that would serve the interests of both the United States and Mexico and do so in a way that is true to shared values and principles.
The kind of cooperation required to tackle a challenge of this magnitude, of course, is extremely unlikely to come unless the Trump administration accepts reality and radically departs from the tone and substance of statements made to date on border- and immigration-related policy. Mexico is highly unlikely to cooperate under threat of mass deportation of its nationals and the erection of a Berlin Wall-style construction project on its border.27
To that end, the new administration should:
- Work with Congress to enact common-sense immigration reform that provides a pathway to citizenship for the current unauthorized population; places a premium on family reunification; and establishes a rational worker system which, among other things, would align the need for workers in the United States with the availability of legal visas for these workers to use.
- Partner with Mexico, whose participation is crucial for the effort’s hemispheric legitimacy, to launch a regional diplomatic effort to bring together countries of the Americas to address increasingly unsustainable migratory flows. Such an effort, among other actions, should aim to end visa-free travel policies in a number of South American countries that have become stopping points on a migratory chain that is putting increasing pressure on Mexico and countries in Central America.
- Work with the U.N. High Commissioner for Refugees to provide technical support to Mexico as it ramps up its ability to provide enhanced refugee processing and protection for those entering Mexico—particularly those from the Northern Triangle.28
- Work with Mexico to help address the root causes of Central American migration, particularly migration flowing from the Northern Triangle countries, as a result of criminal violence and a lack of sustainable economic development.29
Prioritize border infrastructure, not walls
Maintaining a positive, cooperative relationship with Mexico will also require the Trump administration to address border infrastructure—however, not in the way the Trump team has did during the presidential campaign, with its exclusive focus on the tragically misguided and insulting notion of building a “big, fat, beautiful wall” between the United States and Mexico.30 Building such a wall would not only be a fiscal31 and environmental disaster,32 it would also be an affront to our core values as Americans, and it would make the United States less safe by undermining vital Mexican cooperation—starting with security and migration cooperation. Not only is Mexico not a threat to the United States, but it is also an essential ally in providing homeland security. Insisting on a border wall would change that dynamic.
Nevertheless, the United States should invest in infrastructure along its southwest border with Mexico. In fact, enhanced border infrastructure investment is long overdue and is vital to strengthening the U.S. relationship with Mexico. And it is something that should be done in cooperation with Mexico so that both countries pay for improvements to roads, bridges, and ports of entry, which can contribute to equitable economic growth and citizens’ security in both countries.
Since the early 1990s, legitimate transborder traffic between the United States and Mexico has increased dramatically. Today, more than $1.5 billion in bilateral trade crosses the U.S.-Mexico border on any given day, along with the legal crossings of approximately 1 million people.33 Given the magnitude of daily transborder traffic along the border, people in the region who live a binational existence and commute for work, school, shopping, entertainment, medical treatments, and to visit friends and family experience significant wait times in both directions. It is not uncommon for people to wait more than an hour to travel a few miles across the border—mainly due to lack of infrastructure, technology, and border staffing.34
Wait times are a symptom of deeper problems. Insufficient infrastructure undercuts the global competitiveness of products that the United States and Mexico build together. Insufficient border infrastructure also makes it harder to weed out illegal activity at the border by lumping together legitimate goods and travelers with those seeking to enter the United States without permission or to smuggle illegal goods into the United States.
Some progress has been made in recent years to improve border infrastructure. For example, the San Ysidro port of entry—the busiest land port in the Western Hemisphere—is currently undergoing a $741 million, multiyear expansion.35 In December 2015, San Diego and Tijuana opened a privately funded pedestrian bridge that connects U.S. passengers directly to the Tijuana General Abelardo L. Rodriguez International Airport terminal.36 And in 2016, the United States and Mexico opened the first new railway bridge between the two countries in 100 years at the Brownsville-Matamoros port of entry.37
Progress has also been made in better coordinating border infrastructure projects through the U.S.-Mexico 21st Century Border Bilateral Executive Steering Committee, or ESC—the primary forum for U.S. senior policymakers to meet with their Mexican counterparts and devise strategies to coordinate border facilitation and security.38 It is indispensable that coordination on border infrastructure programs include strong cooperation not only between the U.S. and Mexican federal governments but also among state and local governments, the business community, and private citizens who are the ultimate users of border infrastructure.
Building 21st century border infrastructure also requires adequate investment from federal, state, and private economic actors on both sides of the border. In addition to expressly incorporating border infrastructure projects into any national infrastructure initiative, there is at least one other potential funding mechanism—a reformed North American Development Bank, or NADBank—that would draw on funds from not just the United States, but also from Mexico and perhaps Canada. Originally focused on wastewater treatment projects along the border when it was first created in 1994, NADBank has expanded its efforts to support environmental infrastructure and sustainable economic development and transportation infrastructure.39
NADBank’s 20-year presence in the border region has given it distinct advantages. Through its own capital, it can help lower the cost of financing for local and state governments; can provide technical assistance to help subnational governments structure and pool projects in ways that improve their access to financial markets; and is well-positioned to coordinate and lead the type of binational analysis of supply chain and vehicle traffic flows that could provide the framework for individual project analyses.40
Because enhanced border infrastructure will go a long way toward ensuring that the U.S.-Mexico relationship remains a positive and constructive one benefiting hundreds of millions of people on both sides of our shared border, the new administration should:
- Abandon the reckless—and ultimately self-defeating—notion of building a border wall as the center piece of its bilateral agenda with Mexico
- Expressly incorporate and prioritize investment in border infrastructure—at both the southwestern and northern borders—in any national infrastructure proposal to enhance U.S. global competitiveness and homeland security
- Reform NADBank’s charter and, together with both Mexico and Canada, expand its capital base to allow it to catalyze additional private-sector investment in border infrastructure projects41
- Reaffirm the United States’ commitment to coordinating border infrastructure development with Mexico through the U.S.-Mexico 21st Century Bilateral ESC
Embrace a global Mexico
Cooperation on migration and border facilitation and security are essential steps in the path forward in the U.S.-Mexico relationship, but they are insufficient to maximize the opportunities present in the U.S.-Mexico relationship to advance core U.S. national interests.
To achieve the maximum benefits of the relationship, the United States must engage across the full policy spectrum with Mexico.
Throughout much of its postindependence history, Mexico was an inward-looking country and in many ways closed off from much of the rest of the world under its import substitution industrialization trade and economic policy. Recent decades have brought dramatic, accelerating change as Mexico has opened itself to the world, which provides real opportunities for both the United States and Mexico to pursue shared interests bilaterally, regionally, and globally—if, of course, the United States does not prompt a nationalist reaction from Mexico by pursuing misguided border, immigration, and trade-related policies.
During the past three decades, Mexico has opened itself economically, culturally, and politically. The North American Free Trade Agreement, or NAFTA, marked a significant opening of much, but not all, of the Mexican economy to international competition for the first time. It also marked the beginning of a more fundamental opening that has quickened in recent years. That acceleration saw Mexico formalize an additional 13 trade agreements42 and then unilaterally reduce tariffs to zero across a wide range of imported goods and services in January 2009.43 As a result, today, Mexico—together with the United States and Canada—is deeply enmeshed in some of the world’s most integrated supply chains and industrial design and production platforms.
Mexico’s opening to the world has also seen it join the Pacific Alliance,44 a trade-plus agreement among Mexico, Colombia, Chile, and Peru that since its 2012 inception has been the most innovative and effective commercial integration effort in the Americas in decades, if not ever. It has also seen Mexico open key holdout segments of its economy to both domestic and international competition—most notably, the energy and telecommunications sectors—through the historic, structural reforms achieved by current President Enrique Peña Nieto in the opening months of his presidency.45
Mexico’s economic opening has also been accompanied by political openings with far-reaching implications for the U.S.-Mexico relationship.
At home, Mexico is today a consolidating democracy. The peaceful, democratic transfer of power across party lines has become the norm in Mexico at the local, state, and federal levels. This political pluralism is a critical element for Mexico’s long-term stability and prosperity even if Mexico still faces some very real pains in its democratic consolidation.
In the global arena, as Mexico has become more engaged, it has come to straddle a number of divides. Not only is Mexico part of both North America and Latin America—economically and politically—it occupies a unique space among the world’s developed and developing economies. It is a member of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, as well as a critical member of key international economic forums such as the G-20 and the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum, but it often approaches international economic and financial issues from a developing country perspective. During the 2008–2009 global financial crisis, for example, it was the first country to utilize the International Monetary Fund’s emergency standby mechanism to weather a severe economic slowdown.46
Mexico has also become far more engaged on a wide range of global issues. For example, it has played a vital role in global climate negotiations. In 2014, in a major departure, it also declared its willingness to engage in U.N. peacekeeping operations,47 something it had long resisted. It has actively participated in global nonproliferation activities, including working with the United States to safely replace Mexico’s research reactor with a new low-enriched uranium-fueled reactor in support of its nuclear energy development.48 In addition, Mexico was a key participant in a September 2016 U.N. summit on the global refugee crisis.49
Against this backdrop, a key element of building the kind of strategic partnership that befits the importance and intensity of the U.S.-Mexico relationship, the new administration should take a number of steps to affirmatively embrace Mexico’s growing global insertion and leverage it to advance shared interests.
To that end, the Trump administration should:
- Abandon its misguided rhetoric and policy proposals premised on the notion that Mexico and Mexicans represent a threat to the United States and to U.S. national and homeland security interests
- Reaffirm commitment to engaging Mexican counterparts on a full spectrum of global issues by promptly convening the High Level Economic Dialogue, launched in 2013,50 and by rekindling and convening the High-Level Consultative Group, which convened annually between 2008 and 2013,51 to bring counterparts in both governments together to review the broad issue set that defines the bilateral relationship
- Regularly engage with Mexican officials—at the presidential and Cabinet levels—on the full spectrum of global issues that the two countries will face in the coming years, including global economic and financial management, climate change, and global security issues, to name just a few
Recommendations for Congress, state and local elected officials, and civil society actors
One of the distinct aspects of the U.S.-Mexico relationship is that it touches the daily lives of nearly all Americans in a way that no other bilateral relationship does. As a result, it is imperative that elected officials at all levels of government gain a firsthand understanding of Mexico and of the U.S.-Mexico relationship. It is equally important that the relationship not be left solely in the hands of elected officials, no matter at what level of government, but that a broad range of civil society actors engages counterparts to share experiences and to leverage connectivity that exists between the two societies.
The deepest ties between the United States and Mexico are at the people-to-people level. There are 57 million Latinos in the United States, who represent 18 percent of the overall U.S. population.52 Latinos of Mexican heritage account for two-thirds of the Latino population in the United States—that is, there are approximately 35.3 million Mexican Americans.53 Mexican Americans thus have a vital role to play in nurturing relations between the two countries and societies, but that nurturing role should not be the sole province of Mexican Americans, as the relationship touches all Americans.
Engage with elected Mexican counterparts
Elected officials—at all levels of government—have a special responsibility to ensure that they understand the nature of the U.S.-Mexico relationship and how it affects their constituents. Firsthand understanding is particularly vital at a time when so much vitriol and misinformation taint the common perceptions of the bilateral relationship.
Recent years have seen a growing recognition of the importance of personal engagement from state and local leaders. In 2016, three U.S. governors traveled to Mexico on official business, including Republican Govs. Scott Walker of Wisconsin and Chris Christie of New Jersey.54 So too did the mayors of several major U.S. cities, including those of Los Angeles, Chicago, and New York.55 In October 2015, for the first time ever, the U.S. National Governors Association hosted counterparts from across Mexico and Canada in a Summit of North American Governors and Premiers.56
Engagement in the bilateral relationship by sitting members of the U.S. Congress has lagged behind the growing activity of state and local officials. In 2016, only a handful of members of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives made an official visit to Mexico, with a similarly low number seen in 2015. The level of activity of the U.S.-Mexico Interparliamentary Group, which includes members of the U.S. and Mexican congresses and is the formal vehicle for the two bodies to interact, has ebbed and flowed since its creation in 1961.57 The U.S.-Mexico Friendship Caucus, established in 2003, has failed to gain traction and pales in comparison in terms of size and activity level to caucuses dedicated to other key U.S. bilateral relationships.
To ensure that key actors gain sufficient firsthand knowledge regarding the realities of the U.S.-Mexico bilateral relationship:
- Members of the U.S. Congress should prioritize traveling to Mexico before visiting any other country, and those who have already visited Mexico should aim to visit “deeper Mexico”—or the parts of Mexico away from the U.S.-Mexico border or Mexico City—to gain a broader understanding of Mexico and its realities
- Governors, particularly those governors from states for whom Mexico is a top trading partner, should similarly prioritize traveling to Mexico before visiting any other country and seek opportunities to engage with deeper Mexico
- The National Governors Association, along with its counterparts, should commit to a biannual summit with Mexican and Canadian governors and premiers
- Bipartisan leaders on Capitol Hill should set up a U.S.-Mexico Task Force to provide a forum to better understand the key dynamics shaping the bilateral relationship and to interact with experts from both the United States and Mexico to shape public policies to enhance the relationship going forward
Encourage deeper understanding
Caricatures of any country, Mexico included, are easier to advance when people do not have firsthand experience in and with that country.
Despite the familial and heritage ties that bind millions of Americans to Mexico and the vacation habits that tie millions more to Mexico’s Caribbean and Pacific resorts,58 there has long been a failure in bringing Americans and Mexicans—particularly members of younger generations in each country—together in a systematic fashion.
Since the end of World War II, efforts to cultivate international relationships and knowledge among emerging U.S. leaders have focused almost exclusively on trans-Atlantic relations. In recent years, those efforts have added a trans-Pacific element. Individual countries—Israel, Japan, and Taiwan, for example—have invested heavily in fostering relationships with emerging U.S. foreign policy leaders. Almost no effort, however, has been undertaken to forge cross-border relationships and knowledge with the United States’ most important partner—Mexico.
Similarly, despite being neighbors, the movement of students between the United States and Mexico has long lagged compared with other destinations for international study abroad. For the 2014-15 academic year, for example, only 4,712 students, or 1.5 percent of the total U.S. college and university students studying abroad, studied in Mexico, and only 16,733 Mexican students, or 1.6 percent of the total of international college and university students, studied in the United States.59 In contrast, more than 120,000 U.S. students, representing nearly 40 percent of the total of those studying abroad, studied in Europe, and more than 320,000 Chinese students came to the United States to study in that same academic year.60 The U.S. and Mexican federal governments have launched efforts to markedly increase student exchange numbers through both the 100,000 Strong in the Americas and the Proyecta 100,000 programs and the work of the U.S.-Mexico Bilateral Forum on Higher Education, Innovation, and Research.61 To significantly move the needle, however, government efforts will require serious commitment from nongovernmental actors, including academic institutions and the private sector that benefits directly from the binational development of human capital.
To deepen understanding, particularly among younger Americans and their Mexican counterparts, and to preserve and strengthen the U.S.-Mexico bilateral relationship:
- Civil society actors must commit to increasing the flow of leadership exchange programs between the United States and Mexico to bring together emerging leaders from across a wide range of sectors to engage on issues central to the shared future of the United States and Mexico
- S. academic institutions—both four- and two-year institutions of postsecondary education—need to invest in creating partnerships with counterpart institutions in Mexico to promote the movement of students between the two countries
- Private-sector actors on both sides of the border need to invest in educational and other exchanges between the two countries
Connect civil society to advance transparency, accountability, and the rule of law
Although enhanced exchanges between civil society actors in the United States and Mexico can provide the benefits explained above for both countries and for the task of preserving and strengthening the bilateral relationship, there are specific areas in which enhanced cooperation can yield additional tangible benefits on both sides of the border. One such area is advancing transparency, accountability, and the rule of law.
The extent of the Mexican American community and its ties back to family and friends in Mexico provides an exceptional opportunity for cooperation between civil society in Mexico and the United States. In fact, effective cooperation networks have long existed. Hometown associations, or HTAs, for example, have long allowed the Mexican diaspora in the United States to maintain political, economic, and social ties with its communities of origin.62 More recent efforts have supplemented the work of HTAs. Since 2010, the Mexican American Leadership Initiative of the U.S.-Mexico Foundation has allowed Mexican American leaders to engage in meaningful dialogue and work with communities in Mexico to strengthen Mexican society and empower communities to actively participate in their own community development.63 These networks, among others, highlight what can be done when civil society on both sides of the border come together in common cause.
Efforts to enhance transparency, accountability, and the rule of law in Mexico are another area where this cooperation could benefit both countries.
For much of its history, Mexico’s inadequate rule of law affected only Mexico—creating and maintaining an internal culture of corruption,64 crime, and violence—but with consequences not only for Mexico but also for the United States. The ineffectiveness of Mexico’s rule-of-law institutions, for example, is considered the most problematic factor for doing business in Mexico.65 Weak public and private institutions enable a lack of competitiveness and contribute to inadequate labor and environmental protections.66
In recent years, however, Mexico has begun to take important steps to address its rule-of-law shortcomings. It is in the midst of a transition from an accusatorial system of justice to an adversarial system—a process that the U.S. government is supporting through the Mérida Initiative.67 In 2016, the Mexican government passed a series of state-of-the-art anti-corruption measures, together known as the National Anticorruption System, or its Spanish acronym SNA. A network of nongovernmental organizations, think tanks, and universities based in Mexico City68 played a key role in advocating for the design and adoption of the SNA. The SNA’s creation implied a complex set of constitutional reforms and amendments to secondary legislation69 to establish and/or revamp coordination mechanisms across all levels of government to prevent, detect, investigate, and prosecute public-sector corruption more effectively under the watchful eye of civil society, which will preside over the SNA’s governing body.
Another key reform is the creation of a new, more independent Fiscalía General de la República, or FGR, replacing Mexico’s Attorney General’s Office—Procuraduría General de la República, or PGR—which was plagued by inefficiency and a lack of independence. The development of the FGR has been marked by growing civic participation, particularly through social media,70 as civil society organizations, academics, entrepreneurs, artists, and other members of Mexican society have launched a campaign called “For a Fiscalía That Works” to demand a public dialogue on this transition.71
The development of the FGR, along with the establishment of the SNA—particularly given the key role that civil society has played in its formation—provides a unique opportunity for cross-border, civil society engagement on transparency, accountability, and the rule of law.
To that end:
- U.S. nongovernmental organizations engaged on issues of transparency, accountability, and the rule of law both domestically and globally should enhance their outreach to Mexican counterparts, as improvements on these issues in Mexico will have significant positive domestic and global impacts on advancing their agenda in the United States and around the world
- U.S.-based Latino organizations, particularly those rooted in the Mexican American community, should expand their outreach to Mexican civil society groups, as the experiences of Mexican Americans in the United States can provide a useful set of reference points for their Mexican counterparts
Preserving and strengthening the U.S.-Mexico bilateral relationship through sustainable cooperation will help advance core U.S. national interests around the globe; nativism and nationalism will not. The dynamism and complexity of the U.S.-Mexico relationship, however, require state and nonstate actors—from both countries—to engage on a constructive basis to deepen the relationship and benefit hundreds of millions of individuals in the United States, Mexico, and beyond. It is essential that policymakers in the Trump administration look beyond harsh rhetoric and instead embrace and build on a U.S.-Mexico relationship that is in perhaps the best shape it has ever been.
* Correction, February 1, 2017: This report has been corrected to clarify that more than $1.5 billion in goods and services crosses the U.S.-Mexico border every day.
About the authors
Dan Restrepo is a Senior Fellow at the Center for American Progress. For nearly six years and through two presidential campaigns, Restrepo served as the principal adviser to former President Barack Obama on issues related to Latin America, the Caribbean, and Canada, serving as special assistant to the president and senior director for Western Hemisphere affairs at the National Security Council from March 2009 to July 2012 and as an adviser to and surrogate for Obama for America during the 2008 and 2012 campaigns. Previously, Restrepo created and directed The Americas Project—focused on Latin America and on the role of Hispanics in the United States, their future, and the implications for public policy—at the Center. First joining the Center shortly after it was established, Restrepo also helped stand up its government and external relations department and served as deputy counsel. Restrepo served as a judicial clerk to Judge Anthony J. Scirica of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 3rd Circuit. Restrepo also worked for Rep. Lee H. Hamilton (D-IN) on the staff of the House Foreign Affairs Committee in the mid-1990s.
Michael Werz is a Senior Fellow at the Center. His work as a member of the National Security and International Policy team focuses on the nexus of climate change, migration, and security and emerging societies, especially Turkey and Mexico. He has been a senior transatlantic fellow at the German Marshall Fund, working on trans-Atlantic foreign policy and the European Union. He has held appointments as a public policy scholar at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars in Washington, D.C., and as a John F. Kennedy Memorial Fellow at Harvard’s Minda de Gunzburg Center for European Studies.
Joel Martinez is the Mexico Research Associate on the National Security and International Policy team at the Center. He received his master’s degree from the School of Global Policy & Strategy at the University of California, San Diego, where he focused on international politics and economic development within Latin America. He previously interned with the Washington Office on Latin America and graduated with a bachelor’s degree in Latin American and Latino studies from the University of California, Santa Cruz.
The authors thank the Sam Walton Fund of the Walton Family Foundation for the donation to the National Security and International Policy team’s Mexico Program, as well as the Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas, or CIDE, for its contribution to the program. The views and opinions expressed in this report are those of the Center for American Progress and the authors and do not necessarily reflect the position of the Sam Walton Fund or CIDE. The Center for American Progress produces independent research and policy ideas driven by solutions that we believe will create a more equitable and just world.
- Clare Ribando Seelke, “Mexico: Background and U.S. Relations” (Washington: Congressional Research Service, 2016), available at https://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/row/R42917.pdf.
- M. Angeles Villarreal and Ian F. Fergursson, “The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)” (Washington: Congressional Research Service, 2016), available at https://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/row/R42965.pdf.
- Robert Koopman and others, “Give Credit Where Credit Is Due: Tracing Value Added in Global Production Chains.” Working Paper 16426 (National Bureau of Economic Research, 2010), p. 8, available at http://www.nber.org/papers/w16426.pdf.
- Ribando Seelke, “Mexico: Background and U.S. Relations.”
- John Teke and Waleed Navarro, “Nonimmigrant Admissions to the United States: 2015” (Washington: Office of Immigration Statistics, 2016), available at https://www.dhs.gov/sites/default/files/publications/Nonimmigrant_Admissions_2015.pdf.
- U.S. Travel Association, “U.S. Travel Answer Sheet: Facts About a Leading American Industry That’s More Than Just Fun,” available at https://www.ustravel.org/system/files/Media%20Root/Document/US_Travel_AnswerSheet_2015.pdf (last accessed December 2016).
- Pew Research Center, “Modern Immigration Wave Brings 59 Million to U.S., Driving Population Growth and Change Through 2065: Views of Immigration’s Impact on U.S. Society Mixed” (2015), available at http://www.pewhispanic.org/files/2015/09/2015-09-28_modern-immigration-wave_REPORT.pdf.
- Ana Gonzalez-Barrera, “More Mexicans Leaving Than Coming to the U.S.” (Washington: Pew Research Center, 2015), available at http://www.pewhispanic.org/2015/11/19/more-mexicans-leaving-than-coming-to-the-u-s/.
- Adam Taylor, “Mexico has its own immigration problem: American retirees,” The Washington Post, November 21, 2014, available at https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2014/11/21/mexico-has-its-own-immigration-problem-american-retirees/?utm_term=.7bfd8a02b6ff.
- Luisita Lopez Torregrosa, “My Mexico City Is Everyone’s Now,” The New York Times, December 28, 2016, available at http://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/28/travel/mexico-city-culture-childhood-new-awakening.html.
- U.S. Department of State, “Merida Initiative,” available at https://www.state.gov/j/inl/merida/ (last accessed December 2016).
- Clare Ribando Seelke and Kristin Finklea, “U.S.-Mexican Security Cooperation: The Mérida Initiative and Beyond” (Washington: Congressional Research Service, 2016), available at https://www.fas.org/sgp/crs/row/R41349.pdf.
- For approaches on how best to address the dislocations created by globalization and automatization, see Kevin DeGood, Christian Weller, and Andrew Schwartz, “An Infrastructure Plan for America: How Investing in Infrastructure Will Lay the Foundation for Prosperity, Advance Environmental Goals, and Rebuild the Middle Class” (Washington: Center for American Progress, 2016), available at https://americanprogress.org/issues/economy/reports/2016/07/14/141157/an-infrastructure-plan-for-america/; Harry Stein, “Budgeting for Public Investments and Economic Growth” (Washington: Center for American Progress, 2016), available at https://americanprogress.org/issues/economy/reports/2016/09/14/143064/budgeting-for-public-investments-and-economic-growth/.
- Jens Manuel Krogstad, Jeffrey S. Passel, and D’Vera Cohn, “5 facts about illegal immigration in the U.S.”, Fact Tank, November 3, 2016, available at http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/11/03/5-facts-about-illegal-immigration-in-the-u-s/.
- Marc R. Rosenblum and Kate Brick, “U.S. Immigration Policy and Mexican/Central American Migration Flows: Then and Now” (Washington: Migration Policy Institute, 2011), available at http://www.migrationpolicy.org/research/RMSG-us-immigration-policy-mexican-central-american-migration-flows.
- Gonzalez-Barrera, “More Mexicans Leaving Than Coming to the U.S.”
- Pew Research Center, “Modern Immigration Wave Brings 59 Million to U.S., Driving Population Growth and Change Through 2065.”
- Pew Research Center, “Attitudes about Aging: A Global Perspective” (2014), available at http://www.pewglobal.org/files/2014/01/Pew-Research-Center-Global-Aging-Report-FINAL-January-30-20141.pdf.
- Jeffrey S. Passel and D’Vera Cohn, “Overall Number of U.S. Unauthorized Immigrants Holds Steady Since 2009” (Washington: Pew Research Center, 2016), available at http://assets.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/7/2016/09/31170303/PH_2016.09.20_Unauthorized_FINAL.pdf.
- According to data from the Secretaria de Gobernación. See Unidad de Política Migratoria, “Boletín Mensual de Estadísticas Migratorias” (2015), available at http://www.gobernacion.gob.mx/work/models/SEGOB/CEM/PDF/Estadisticas/Boletines_Estadisticos/2015/Boletin_2015.pdf.
- Kirk Semple, “U.S. to Step Up Deportations of Haitians Amid Surge at Border,” The New York Times, September 22, 2016, available at http://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/23/world/americas/haiti-migrants-earthquake.html.
- Jens Manuel Krogstad, “Surge in Cuban immigration to U.S. continues into 2016,” Fact Tank, January 13, 2017, available at http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/08/05/cuban-immigration-to-u-s-surges-as-relations-warm/.
- Jacqueline Charles, “New migration: Haitians carve a dangerous 7,000-mile path to the U.S.”, Miami Herald, September 24, 2016, available at http://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/americas/haiti/article103920086.html.
- Jorge G. Castaneda, “Mexico Doesn’t Have to Appease Trump. It Can Fight Back.”, The New York Times, November 22, 2016, available at https://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/22/opinion/mexico-can-stand-up-to-trump.html.
- Although some advocate providing Mexico with budget support to expand its refugee processing capability, Mexico likely has adequate resources to fund a much-needed expansion of its Comisión Mexicana de Ayuda a Refugiados, or COMAR, which is responsible, among other things, for the efficient and expeditious recognition of refugee status, protection, and assistance to the refugee population, as well as for studying the problems and needs faced by refugees with the purpose of finding solutions to them. Until recently, 80 percent of tourist entry fees collected by the Mexican government were directed, by law, to fund the government’s migration authorities. In 2007, that percentage was lowered to 20 percent. A restoration, and perhaps even a partial restoration, would provide adequate funding for the Instituto Nacional de Migración and COMAR and help Mexico manage what is not just a U.S.-related challenge but also a challenge that has very real consequences for Mexico. For more information, see Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, “OECD Tourism Trends and Policies 2014” (2014), available at http://www.mlit.go.jp/kankocho/naratourismstatisticsweek/statistical/pdf/2014_OECD_Tourism_Trends.pdf.
- For specifics on how the United States and Mexico can work together to promote citizen security and equitable economic growth across their Northern Triangle neighbors, see Dan Restrepo and Silva Mathema, “A Medium- and Long-Term Plan to Address the Central American Refugee Situation” (Washington: Center for American Progress, 2016), available at https://americanprogress.org/issues/immigration/reports/2016/05/05/136920/a-medium-and-long-term-plan-to-address-the-central-american-refugee-situation/.
- Michael Finnegan, “’It’s going to be a big, fat, beautiful wall!’: Trump’s words make his California climb an even steeper trek,” Los Angeles Times, June 3, 2016, available at http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-trump-california-campaign-20160602-snap-story.html.
- Glenn Kessler, “Trump’s dubious claim that his border wall would cost $8 billion,” The Washington Post, February 11, 2016, available at https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/fact-checker/wp/2016/02/11/trumps-dubious-claim-that-his-border-wall-would-cost-8-billion/?utm_term=.5621532ba93d.
- Jonathan Sullivan, “What would Trump’s wall mean for wildlife?”, BBC News, September 1, 2016, available at http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-37200583.
- Office of the Press Secretary, “Fact Sheet: United States-Mexico Relations,” Press release, July 22, 2016, available at https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2016/07/22/fact-sheet-united-states-mexico-relations.
- Sandra Dibble, “For regular crossers of the U.S.-Mexico border, waiting is part of the routine,” Los Angeles Times, July 16, 2016, available at http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me-border-wait-20160714-snap-story.html.
- For more information on Cross Border Xpress, a privately operated international port of entry connecting San Diego with Tijuana International Airport, see CBX, “About Cross Border Xpress,” available at https://www.crossborderxpress.com/about (last accessed December 2016).
- Office of the Vice President, “Joint Statement: 2016 U.S.-Mexico HLED,” Press release, February 25, 2016, available at https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2016/02/25/joint-statement-2016-us-mexico-high-level-economic-dialogue.
- U.S. Department of Homeland Security, “21st Century Border: A Comprehensive Response & Commitment,” October 27, 2016, available at https://www.dhs.gov/21st-century-border-comprehensive-response-commitment.
- Christopher Wilson, “The North American Development Bank: After 20 Years, Time to Expand,” Forbes, May 21, 2014, available at http://www.forbes.com/sites/themexicoinstitute/2014/05/21/the-north-american-development-bank-after-20-years-time-to-expand/#318725bd50f1.
- For one approach to enhanced North American Development Bank lending and its multiplier effects for enhanced border infrastructure investment, see George W. Bush Institute, “Investing in North American Competitiveness” (2016), available at http://gwbcenter.imgix.net/Resources/GWBI-KeyInvestmentsInNorthAmerica.pdf.
- For more information on Mexico’s trade agreements, see Pro México, “Trade agreements,” available at http://www.promexico.gob.mx/en/mx/tratados-comerciales (last accessed December 2016).
- Mexico’s Ministry of the Economy Trade and NAFTA Office, “NAFTA Works: A Monthly Newsletter on NAFTA and Related Products” (2009), available at http://www.naftamexico.net/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/01-Jan09.pdf.
- For more information on the Pacific Alliance, see The Pacific Alliance, “What Is the Pacific Alliance?”, available at https://alianzapacifico.net/en/que-es-la-alianza/#antecedentes (last accessed December 2016).
- The Economist, “Mexico’s president: The year of leading from behind,” November 23, 2013, available at http://www.economist.com/news/americas/21590492-proof-breathless-programme-reform-aimed-trustbusting-will-be-fine-print.
- International Monetary Fund, “Fighting the Global Crisis: Annual Report 2009” (2009), available at https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/ar/2009/eng/pdf/ar09_eng.pdf.
- Reuters, “In historic U-turn, Mexico to join U.N. peacekeeping missions,” September 24, 2014, available at http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mexico-un-peacekeeping-idUSKCN0HJ2EI20140924.
- Office of the Press Secretary, “Trilateral Announcement Between Mexico, the United States, and Canada on Nuclear Security,” Press release, April 13, 2010, available at https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/trilateral-announcement-between-mexico-united-states-and-canada-nuclear-security.
- Specifically, the Leaders’ Summit on Refugees, September 20, 2016. For more information, see U.S. Department of State, “Leaders’ Summit on Refugees,” available at http://www.state.gov/p/io/c71574.htm (last accessed December 2016).
- Office of the Vice President, “FACT SHEET: U.S.-Mexico High Level Economic Dialogue,” Press release, September 20, 2013, available at https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2013/09/20/fact-sheet-us-mexico-high-level-economic-dialogue.
- U.S. Department of State Office of the Spokesperson, “Joint Statement of the Merida Initiative High-Level Consultative Group on Bilateral Cooperation Against Transnational Criminal Organizations,” Press release, September 18, 2012, available at https://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2012/09/197908.htm.
- Jens Manuel Krogstad, “10 facts for National Hispanic Heritage Month,” Fact Tank, September 15, 2016, available at http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/09/15/facts-for-national-hispanic-heritage-month/.
- AP Wire Service, “Gov. Scott Walker in Mexico for weeklong trade mission,” FOX6 News, June 13, 2016, available at http://fox6now.com/2016/06/13/gov-scott-walker-in-mexico-for-weeklong-trade-mission/.
- Jason McGahan, “Garcetti in Mexico: We Will Build Bridges, Not Walls,” LA Weekly, December 2, 2016, available at http://www.laweekly.com/news/garcetti-in-mexico-we-will-build-bridges-not-walls-7671237; Chicago Tribune staff, “Morning Spin: Emanuel heads to Mexico City for climate summit,” Chicago Tribune, December 1, 2016, available at http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/politics/ct-rahm-emanuel-mexico-city-global-warming-20161130-story.html.
- U.S. National Governors Association, “North American Leaders Meet for First-Ever Summit,” Press release, October 31, 2015, available at https://www.nga.org/cms/home/news-room/news-releases/2015–news-releases/col2-content/north-american-leaders-summit.html.
- Office of Sen. Tim Kaine, “Kaine to Chair Mexico Interparliamentary Group,” Press release, March 22, 2013, available at http://www.kaine.senate.gov/press-releases/kaine-to-chair-mexico-interparliamentary-group.
- A total of 7.86 million Americans visited Mexico from January 2016 to October 2016. For more information, see Journey Mexico’s Mexico Travel Blog, “Mexico Tourism: Facts & Statistics 2016,” December 13, 2016, available at http://www.journeymexico.com/blog/mexico-tourism-facts-statistics-2016.
- Institute of International Education, “Open Doors Data: International Students in the U.S.: 2016 ‘Fast Facts’,” available at http://www.iie.org/en/Research-and-Publications/Open-Doors/Data/Fast-Facts#.WG0g7lUrIdV (last accessed December 2016).
- U.S. Department of State Office of the Spokesperson, “Joint U.S.-Mexico Statement on the U.S.-Mexico Bilateral Forum on Higher Education, Innovation, and Research: Connecting Tomorrow’s Leaders Today,” January 6, 2015, available at https://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2015/01/235641.htm.
- Manuel Orozco and Rebecca Rouse, “Migrant Hometown Associations and Opportunities for Development: A Global Perspective” (Washington: Migration Policy Institute, 2007), available at http://www.migrationpolicy.org/article/migrant-hometown-associations-and-opportunities-development-global-perspective.
- U.S.-Mexico Foundation, “The Mexican American Leadership Initiative (MALI),” available at https://www.usmexicofound.org/programs/mexican-american-leadership-initiative-mali/ (last accessed December 2016).
- Luis Rubio, “Corruption and Religion,” Centro de Investigación para el Desarrollo, A.C., June 12, 2016, available at http://cidac.org/eng/corruption-and-religion/.
- World Economic Forum, “Competitive Rankings: Mexico Country Report” (2015), available at http://reports.weforum.org/global-competitiveness-report-2015-2016/economies/#economy=MEX.
- Ribando Seelke and Finklea, “U.S.-Mexican Security Cooperation.”
- Mauricio Merino Huerta, “Mexico: The Fight Against Corruption (A review of ongoing reforms to promote transparency and curtail corruption)” (Washington: Woodrow Wilson Center Mexico Institute, 2015), available at https://www.wilsoncenter.org/sites/default/files/mexico_the_fight_against_corruption.pdf.
- In addition to a constitutional reform passed in May 2015, four new laws were enacted and five more amended to establish the National Anticorruption System, which became operational in 2016. One of the new laws—the Ley General de Responsabilidades Administrativas, popularly known as Ley 3de3—was the result of a bill designed and presented to the Congress of the Union, for the first time in Mexico, by a network of civil society organizations under the technical leadership of the Mexican Institute for Competitiveness and in close coordination with la Confederación Patronal de la República Mexicana, or COPARMEX, a confederation of private-sector companies that used its nationwide network of private-sector affiliates to assist in collecting more than 600,000 signatures supporting its presentation to Congress. See Mexico Daily News, “Coparmex vs congress: businesses are ticked,” May 20, 2016, available at http://mexiconewsdaily.com/news/coparmex-vs-congress-businesses-are-ticked/.
- For an example of civic participation through social media—#FiscalíaQueSirva—see Fiscalía Que Sirva on Facebook at https://es-la.facebook.com/FiscaliaQueSirva/ (last accessed December 2016).
- Ximena Suarez-Enriquez, “Three Key Points about Mexico’s New Fiscalía,” Washington Office on Latin America, October 25, 2016, available at https://www.wola.org/analysis/three-key-points-about-mexicos-new-fiscalia/.
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