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The Authoritarian Playbook in Action: What Global Cases Tell Us About Trump’s 2025 Military Deployments Article
President Donald Trump, alongside Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth and Attorney General Pam Bondi, speaks during a news conference.

The Authoritarian Playbook in Action: What Global Cases Tell Us About Trump’s 2025 Military Deployments

The cases of Canada, South Korea, and Turkey illustrate a dangerous escalatory pattern: When elected leaders rely on the military to resolve domestic challenges, they often accelerate democratic backsliding.

Dan Herman, Robert Benson, Vishal Gogusetti

America’s Role in the World: The Value of Leadership and Alliance Past Event

America’s Role in the World: The Value of Leadership and Alliance

Join us for a conversation with Sen. Chris Murphy (D-CT) as part of CAP’s “What’s Next: Conversations on the Path Forward” series.

Center for American Progress and online via Zoom

How Democracies Defend Themselves Against Authoritarianism Report
A crowd of protestors is gathered holding signs.

How Democracies Defend Themselves Against Authoritarianism

Democracies facing authoritarian threats from within have found ways to push back by strengthening institutions, reinforcing democratic norms, and building popular resistance against encroaching autocracy. Understanding these strategies is vital to learning how to fight back.

Robert Benson

Erdoğan’s Reelection Illustrates the Bleak Future of Turkish Democracy Article
Men drink chai in the street the day after President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan was reelected.

Erdoğan’s Reelection Illustrates the Bleak Future of Turkish Democracy

Turkey saw unprecedented political mobilization, partly because going to the ballot box offered one of the last opportunities to make one’s voice heard. But little changed.

Michael Werz

Opportunities and Challenges in the Eastern Mediterranean: Examining U.S. Interests and Regional Cooperation Testimony

Opportunities and Challenges in the Eastern Mediterranean: Examining U.S. Interests and Regional Cooperation

Alan Makovsky, senior fellow at the Center for American Progress, provided testimony on March 31, 2022, before the House Committee on Foreign Affairs on the United States’ involvement in the Eastern Mediterranean amid Russia’s war in Ukraine.

Alan Makovsky

Flashpoints in U.S.-Turkey Relations in 2021 Report
Turkish soldiers patrol the northern Syrian Kurdish town of Tel Abyad, on the border between Syria and Turkey, on October 23, 2019. (Getty/AFP/Bakr Alkasem)

Flashpoints in U.S.-Turkey Relations in 2021

Turkey’s pursuit of strategic autonomy should be met with firm transactionalism by the Biden administration, and while this stance is unlikely to change President Erdoğan’s unilateral approach, it could help preserve certain institutional ties.

Max Hoffman

The Turkish Diaspora in Europe Report
Members of the Turkish community stand in front of the Oberlandesgericht courthouse with a large Turkish flag, 2018, in Munich. (Getty/Andreas Gebert)

The Turkish Diaspora in Europe

Polling shows that members of Europe’s Turkish and Turkish-Kurdish diaspora value their separate identity; nevertheless, they welcome the opportunities and freedom of life in Europe, even in the face of lingering discrimination.

Max Hoffman, Alan Makovsky, Michael Werz

Interactive: The First 100 Days Interactive
 (Photoillustration: Chester Hawkins)

Interactive: The First 100 Days

This interactive database features nearly 250 recommendations that the next administration can advance, adopt, and implement within the first 100 days to set the country on a path toward a more progressive national security approach.

CAP National Security and International Policy Department

Turkey’s President Erdoğan Is Losing Ground at Home Report
ISTANBUL, TURKEY - JULY 10: A man and a boy gesture in front of a placard depicting Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan and Ottoman Sultan Mehmet II, also known as Mehmet the Conqueror, outside Istanbul's famous Hagia Sophia on July 10, 2020 in Istanbul, Turkey. Turkey's top administrative court ruled to annul a 1934 decree that turned the historic Hagia Sophia into a museum. The controversial ruling opens the way for the structure to be converted back into a mosque after 85 years. President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan handed over the iconic structure’s control to the country’s Religious Affairs Directorate following a court ruling revoking its status as a museum. President Erdogan said that the government will open Istanbul’s Hagia Sophia for worship on July 24.  (Photo by Burak Kara/Getty Images)

Turkey’s President Erdoğan Is Losing Ground at Home

Generational change and shifting attitudes in conservative Turkey could bring fragmentation of the dominant right-wing bloc and, potentially, a new political alignment—prospects that will continue to shape President Erdoğan’s actions at home and abroad.

Max Hoffman

Turkey’s Changing Media Landscape Report
President of Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdoğan answers the questions of press members after performing the Friday prayer at Hazreti Ali Mosque in the Üsküdar district of Istanbul, January 17, 2020. (Getty/Serhat Cagdas)

Turkey’s Changing Media Landscape

Government censorship is rapidly reshaping how Turks get their news, with major implications for Turkish foreign policy, political polarization, and Erdoğan’s rule.

Andrew O’Donohue, Max Hoffman, Alan Makovsky

Turkish Conservatives’ Loyalty to Erdoğan and Views on Potential Successors Article
President of Turkey Recep Tayyip Erdoğan addresses an audience in New York in September 2018. (Getty/Kayhan Ozer/Anadolu Agency)

Turkish Conservatives’ Loyalty to Erdoğan and Views on Potential Successors

While President Erdoğan’s support is not boundless, no potential successor currently appears able to hold together the diverse conservative constituency that dominates Turkish politics.

Max Hoffman

Trump’s Syria Shambles Report
U.S. forces, accompanied by Kurdish YPG fighters, drive armored vehicles near the northern Syrian village of Darbasiyah in April 2017. (Vehicles drive near Syrian village.)

Trump’s Syria Shambles

President Trump’s withdrawal from Syria has thrown the region into chaos, shattered American credibility, and uncovered deep problems with U.S. policy toward Turkey.

Max Hoffman

The State of the Turkish-Kurdish Conflict Report
Kurds clash with the Turkish police as they protest against recent curfews imposed on December 14, 2015, in downtown Diyarbakır. (Getty/AFP/Ilyas Akengin)

The State of the Turkish-Kurdish Conflict

The benefits of rapprochement between the Turkish government and Kurdish militants are clear, but hopes for an easing of tensions rest on shaky political ground.

Max Hoffman

Turkey’s Refugee Dilemma Report
Syrian refugee children draw in their notebooks in a refugee camp in Turkey, August 2017. (Getty/Diego Cupolo)

Turkey’s Refugee Dilemma

Despite Turkish leaders’ frequent insistence that Syrian refugees will return home, privately, they seem to be preparing for the likelihood that most will remain permanently.

Alan Makovsky

A Snapshot of Turkish Public Opinion Toward the European Union Report

A Snapshot of Turkish Public Opinion Toward the European Union

Turkish public opinion is hostile toward the European Union and may limit the potential of Ankara’s recent attempts to reset relations with the Euro bloc.

Max Hoffman

Erdoğan Not Assured of First-Round Victory Article
An election worker shows ballot papers for the Turkish elections at Atatürk International Airport in Istanbul, June 7, 2018. (Yasin Akgul/Getty)

Erdoğan Not Assured of First-Round Victory

A major new poll ahead of Turkish elections shows sharp divisions among Turks about the president’s tenure and the vulnerability of Erdoğan and the government on the economy.

John Halpin, Max Hoffman, Alan Makovsky, 1 More Michael Werz

How New Is Turkey’s ‘New Nationalism’? Article
A pro-Erdoğan supporter holds a Turkish flag during a protest in Istanbul, July 2016. (GettyAris Messinis)

How New Is Turkey’s ‘New Nationalism’?

President Erdoğan has clearly expanded the place of Islam in Turkish society, but today's Turkish nationalism has deep historical roots.

Howard Eissenstat

Turkey’s ‘New Nationalism’ Amid Shifting Politics Report
Turkish National flags and CCTV cameras and spikers seen in the main roundabout of Kumluca.
On Wednesday, 11 October 2017, in Kumluka, Turkey. (Photo by Artur Widak/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

Turkey’s ‘New Nationalism’ Amid Shifting Politics

Security threats and populist leadership have left Turkey in a defensive crouch and driven the emergence of a new, conservative nationalism.

Max Hoffman, Michael Werz, John Halpin

Is Turkey Experiencing a New Nationalism? Report
A photo taken in Ankara, Turkey on December 27, 2017 shows a giant Turkish flag displaying in Anitkabir, the Mausoleum of Mustafa Kemal Ataturk, founder and the first president of modern Turkey, on the 98th anniversary of his arrival in Ankara. Ataturk, the national hero of Turkey and its citizens, had arrived in Ankara on December 27, 1919 during the country's independence war. (Photo by Altan Gocher/NurPhoto via Getty Images)

Is Turkey Experiencing a New Nationalism?

A new CAP study finds broad consensus among Turks about the dimensions of Turkish national identity and the nation's relationship to the rest of the world.

John Halpin, Michael Werz, Alan Makovsky, 1 More Max Hoffman

Potential Turkish Military Move on Afrin Risks Wider War Article
People hang Turkish flags in Sugedigi neighbourhood of Hassa district in Hatay, Turkey, on January 19, 2018. (Getty/Cem Genco/Anadolu Agency)

Potential Turkish Military Move on Afrin Risks Wider War

A Turkish military move on Syrian Kurdish forces in Afrin could spark fighting between Kurdish and Turkish-backed forces across northern Syria, with disastrous ramifications for all parties.

Max Hoffman

Turkey’s Parliament Report

Turkey’s Parliament

There may be some room for meaningful parliamentary action under the vastly expanded executive power of the new Turkish presidential system.

Alan Makovsky

The European Union and Turkey in 2017: Move On or Apart? Report
Turkey's President Recep Tayyip Erdogan speaks during a meeting in Istanbul, Friday, July 21, 2017. Erdogan has accused Germany's government of trying to scare off investments to Turkey with lies, after Germany toughened its stance toward Ankara following the arrest of human rights activists, including a German national.(Presidential Press Service/Pool photo via AP)

The European Union and Turkey in 2017: Move On or Apart?

It is time for the EU to take a hard-line approach when it comes to human rights and democracy within Turkey and, at the same time, more strongly emphasize continued engagement.

Michael Werz

Trends in Turkish Civil Society Report
Supporters of Turkey's pro-secular Republican People's Party (CHP) wave their hands and chant slogans as they gather for a protest in Istanbul, June 15, 2017. (AP/Lefteris Pitarakis)

Trends in Turkish Civil Society

Despite tremendous government pressure, Turkey’s vibrant civil society has the potential to help the country confront deep political and social problems.

Center for American Progress, the Istanbul Policy Center, the Istituto Affari Internazionali

Trump’s Conflicts of Interest in Turkey Article
President Donald Trump shakes hands with Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan during their meeting in the Oval Office of the White House in Washington, May 16, 2017. (AP/Evan Vucci)

Trump’s Conflicts of Interest in Turkey

Trump’s national security adviser may have pushed to delay a key military offensive against the Islamic State because it would upset Turkey, without revealing that he was on Turkey’s payroll throughout the campaign.

John Norris, Carolyn Kenney

Trump’s First 100 Days in the Middle East Report

Trump’s First 100 Days in the Middle East

While President Trump has so far largely held off on his most reckless policy ideas, his first 100 days show both surprising continuity and troubling shifts that could undercut U.S. interests.

Daniel Benaim

Erdoğan’s Proposal for an Empowered Presidency Report
People walk in central Istanbul's Taksim Square, backdropped by a poster of Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan, March 14, 2017. (AP/Lefteris Pitarakis)

Erdoğan’s Proposal for an Empowered Presidency

Turks will vote April 16 in a referendum on proposed constitutional amendments that would greatly enhance the power of the presidency and reinforce Turkey’s democratic decline.

Alan Makovsky

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