2016 and 2020 DAPA-Affected Voters and 2012 Margins of Victory, by State

See also: DAPA Matters by Manuel Pastor, Tom Jawetz, and Lizet Ocampo

DAPA-affected voters—citizen family members who live in the same household as those eligible for Deferred Action for Parents of Americans and Lawful Permanent Residents—will make up sizable and potentially decisive portions of key and emerging battleground state electorates across the United States in the 2016 and 2020 elections.

In this interactive, we estimate the number and growth of DAPA-affected voters in key states across the country. We then compare that number with the margin of victory in each state’s presidential contest in 2012 to illustrate the potential impact that these voters could have in both 2016 and 2020. DAPA-affected voters have a direct, intimate, and personal connection to the DAPA policy specifically and to immigration policy generally.

Manuel Pastor is a professor of sociology and American studies & ethnicity at the University of Southern California. Tom Jawetz is the Vice President of Immigration Policy at the Center for American Progress. Lizet Ocampo is the Associate Director of Immigration at the Center.