Center for American Progress

Stabilizing and Strengthening State Funding for Public Higher Education After the Big Beautiful Bill
Report

Stabilizing and Strengthening State Funding for Public Higher Education After the Big Beautiful Bill

Despite steep federal funding cuts in the Big Beautiful Bill, states can continue to support public higher education by creating progressive state tax revenue streams and strengthening rainy day funds to support postsecondary student success and degree completion.

In this article
A hand raising a graduation cap
A graduating student raises a cap during a graduation ceremony in Los Angeles, June 2024. (Getty/Eric Thayer)

Introduction and summary

The One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed into law by President Donald Trump in July 2025, cuts $186 billion in federal spending on nutrition assistance and more than $1 trillion in health care spending over the next decade, shifting a greater share of the costs for these programs to the states.1 The state budgetary challenges that will likely result from this legislation will threaten public higher education funding, which is particularly vulnerable to cuts because it is largely discretionary spending and is often viewed as having an alternate funding mechanism—tuition and fees.2 In 2025, higher education was the third-largest area of expenditures for state general funds—and therefore the third-largest source of state discretionary spending—at about 9 percent, following K-12 spending at 34 percent and Medicaid spending at 20 percent.3

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However, decreased operating support and increased prices for students and families have consequences, as they affect student loan-borrowing levels, educational quality, and overall rates of degree attainment in the states. For example, following the Great Recession, overall state funding for higher education declined significantly for several years as states sought to balance budgets amid decreased tax revenue.4 From 2008 to 2012, state higher education appropriations declined 23 percent on average nationwide, from $10,714 to $8,213 per full-time equivalent (FTE) student when adjusted for inflation.5 Meanwhile, public colleges and universities increased tuition to make up for the lost revenue from state appropriations. As a result, the average tuition paid per FTE student increased 18 percent nationally, from $5,949 to $7,040 in constant dollars, over the same time period.6

State and local funding levels directly influence student outcomes, particularly for students attending public two-year colleges (community colleges). When state appropriations decline, four-year institutions tend to raise tuition or attempt to enroll more international and out-of-state students who pay higher out-of-jurisdiction tuition and fees.7 By contrast, community colleges, which are more limited in their ability to increase revenues, are more likely to respond by decreasing expenditures on instruction and student services.8

On the positive side, in the four-year sector, increases in state appropriations lead to lower student loan-borrowing levels.9 In addition, research from the Federal Reserve shows that, for community college students, more robust state funding leads to higher rates of degree completion and transfer to four-year institutions.10 It also leads to reduced student loan borrowing and a lower likelihood of default and delinquency.11 Moreover, studies have found that increased state appropriations positively affect enrollment and the number of degrees awarded at both the two- and four-year levels.12 Maintaining and bolstering state and local funding can help make bachelor’s degrees more affordable, ensure community college students have the resources they need to succeed and graduate, and ensure states’ workforces have the skills needed to fill in-demand jobs.

While it is well-known that those who earn a college degree outearn their peers with a high school diploma over their working careers—to the tune of $400,000 for an associate degree and $1.2 million for a bachelor’s degree, on average—the wider societal impacts of degree attainment receive less attention. States derive significant benefits from investing in their postsecondary education systems: These graduates are skilled workers who join the workforce, contribute to a higher tax base, and grow state and local economies.13 About 8 in 10 graduates of community colleges and 7 in 10 graduates of public four-year universities stayed in-state after graduation.14 One study found that an average of one additional year of schooling past high school in a state increased real gross domestic product (GDP) per capita 17.4 percent and real wages per capita 17.8 percent.15

Other studies have found a positive causal relationship between educational attainment and GDP, both in U.S. states and globally.16 Some researchers posit a “virtuous cycle” of growth by which an increased supply of educated workers attracts employers, particularly those that require skilled workers.17 Increased investments in university-based research, in particular, foster innovation and work as drivers of economic growth.18 In addition, more highly educated workers contribute to increased state tax revenues (due to their higher earnings than those of workers without a college degree), decreased state spending on public welfare programs, and increased spending in the local economy.19 Finally, colleges and universities themselves are engines of economic output, employing more than 4 million people nationwide and increasing demand for local goods and services.20

State and local governments are operating under significant economic and budgetary uncertainty right now, with the impacts of federal policy changes such as higher tariffs and reduced federal spending on health care and nutrition assistance threatening to create funding gaps for important state programs, including public higher education.21 The Big Beautiful Bill (BBB) will cut tens of billions of dollars from nutrition assistance programs and more than $1 trillion in health care spending to offset tax cuts for the wealthy. For the first time, states will be required to shoulder significant portions of the costs of benefits for residents of their states, as well as to take on larger portions of administrative costs.22 Perhaps most challengingly of all, these costs to states will vary over time, dependent on the fluctuation of so-called error rates in the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), creating greater uncertainty and instability in state budgets.23

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The tax cuts in the BBB disproportionately benefit the highest earners and the most profitable businesses.24 Given the potentially devastating fiscal challenges these cuts may cause, states should consider ways to raise tax revenue from these same groups to avoid disruptions in essential state services and foster continued growth. Increased revenue can ensure that public higher education systems remain engines of economic mobility, offering high-quality, affordable postsecondary education and workforce training to students from all backgrounds.

The role of state and local funding in postsecondary education

State and local appropriations are the most important source of revenue for public colleges and universities, accounting for about 21 percent of total revenue for four-year institutions and nearly half—47 percent—for two-year institutions on average in 2024.25 (Two-year institutions, or community colleges, are particularly reliant on local appropriations, which in 2024 accounted for 20 percent of total revenue for community colleges but just 1.4 percent of revenue for four-year institutions).26 Taken together, local and state appropriations exceeded even the revenue generated from tuition and fees (19 percent at four-year institutions and 12 percent at two-year institutions).27 According to the State Higher Education Executive Officers Association (SHEEO), state and local funding for higher education accounted for nearly $140 billion in fiscal year 2024, supporting 18.4 million full- and part-time students, both undergraduate and graduate, across two- and four-year institutions.28

A majority of state and local funding for higher education comes from appropriations generated by tax revenue (92.9 percent), with smaller shares coming from nontax sources such as state lotteries (4 percent) and state-funded endowment earnings (1.2 percent).29 Most of that funding is provided directly to institutions for general operating expenses (78.6 percent), while smaller amounts go to agricultural and medical research (10.1 percent) and student financial aid (10.7 percent).30

Local appropriations for community colleges

Local appropriations, which account for 21 percent of revenues for community colleges, are an important revenue source for the two-year sector.31 One 2024 analysis found that property taxes were far and away the most common form of local funding for community colleges, with more than 3,018 localities using this method between 2016 and 2021.32 Sales (716), hotels (418), other real estate (408), business (352), and motor vehicle (326) taxes were the next most common types of local taxes.33 In designing local property tax policies to increase support for public education, states and localities should ensure these structures include mechanisms to equalize support across higher- and lower-resource communities, such as distributing the funds equally statewide or using state funding to supplement funds for low-income districts, to ensure these taxes have equitable impacts and do not regressively burden low-income families.34

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In 2024, state and local funding provided an average of $11,683 in education appropriations per FTE student nationwide.35 Appropriations varied significantly, from $4,629 in New Hampshire to $21,109 in Wyoming.36 When adjusted for inflation, this total level of support is almost exactly equal to levels 25 years ago ($11,685 per FTE student in constant dollars in 1999), following periods of decline during economic recessions—2001 to 2004 and 2009 to 2012—and a gradual recovery since 2012.37 Local appropriations for postsecondary education almost exclusively supported two-year institutions ($3,712 per FTE student compared with $32 per FTE student at four-year institutions), bringing the total level of state and local support for community colleges to $10,899, compared with $12,986 for four-year public institutions.38

Uneven state fiscal capacity and public funding for postsecondary education

States’ capacity to raise revenue to support their higher education sectors varies significantly, depending on factors such as the level and distribution of wealth and income of their residents, the number and size of their businesses, their natural resources, and the size of their populations.39 Factors such as these affect states’ tax bases, offering some states greater resources than others to draw upon for funding public services, including education.

The following table and figure compare a state’s higher education funding with its fiscal capacity (defined as the state’s total taxable resources), considering per-student levels of support relative to the size of a state’s tax base. The first column of Table 1 shows average state and local funding for public postsecondary education and research (institutional operating expenses, student financial aid, and research funding) per student for fiscal years 2018 to 2022.40 This metric includes funding for research and medical schools, since research is both an integrated aspect of an institution’s educational quality and a key driver of the postsecondary sector’s economic impact. The second column represents “state effort,” measured in this report as the ratio of state and local funding for postsecondary education and research to state fiscal capacity, or total taxable resources.41 (See the Methodology section at the end of this report for a full description of the calculations and metrics included in Table 1 and Figure 2.)

At one end of the spectrum, New Mexico, Wyoming, and Hawaii rank highly in both postsecondary education funding and state effort. Hawaii and New Mexico both had high effective tax rates, at 11.4 percent and 9.4 percent on average, respectively, over fiscal years 2018 to 2022. (see Appendix B for additional data on effective tax rates and the share of tax revenues allocated to higher education by state)42 New Mexico also allocates a significant share of its tax revenue to higher education, at 10.3 percent, relative to the U.S. average of 5.5 percent.43 While Wyoming has a low effective tax rate (6 percent), it allocates the highest share of its tax revenue to postsecondary education nationally, at 13 percent.44

By contrast, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Vermont, Colorado, Rhode Island, and Delaware rank low on both funding levels and funding effort. While Vermont, Rhode Island, and Pennsylvania all have effective tax rates above the U.S. average of 7.7 percent (10.4 percent, 8.3 percent, and 8 percent, respectively), they allocate low shares of their tax revenue to higher education—each ranging from 2 percent to 3 percent.45 Colorado, Delaware, and New Hampshire have effective tax rates below the U.S. average (between about 6 percent and 7 percent) and allocate low shares of this revenue to higher education (between 2 percent and 4 percent).46 Policymakers in these states should bolster funding for their public higher education systems to ensure students have access to affordable, high-quality postsecondary education and that state economies benefit from investments in workforces and regional communities.

Notably, in FY 2024, Massachusetts began to appropriate revenues generated by a new progressive tax policy that helps fund higher education (the Fair Share Amendment, discussed below). Consequently, Massachusetts saw its ranking relative to other states in per-student education and research funding increase from 17th (for the 2018–2022 average) to seventh in 2024, highlighting the effectiveness of such policies.47

Figure 2 indexes the figures in Table 1 to the U.S. average, indicating the percentage above or below the national average for each state on both measures. Currently, there is no established legal or universal definition of funding adequacy in higher education, and debates about the need and nature of such benchmarks are ongoing.48 In the absence of definite thresholds, these national benchmarks can serve as useful guideposts to give state legislators a general sense of how their state’s postsecondary education funding level compares with those of other states in light of varying state fiscal capacities.

The four quadrants of Figure 2 represent four different groups of states that are either high on both effort and support (top right), low on support but high on effort (top left), low on both support and effort (bottom left), or high on support but low on effort (bottom right). Thirteen states fall into the high support-high effort quadrant, nine states fall into the low support-high effort quadrant, 21 states fall into the low support-low effort quadrant, and seven states and the District of Columbia fall into the high support-low effort quadrant.

The 21 states in the bottom left quadrant represent those with the greatest opportunity for state policymakers to bolster state support for higher education, as they fall below both the U.S. average in state and local funding per student and the level of funding provided in relation to the size of the state’s tax base. These states (in order of funding effort, starting with the lowest) are: New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Colorado, Vermont, Rhode Island, Delaware, New Jersey, Washington, Missouri, Ohio, Virginia, Florida, Iowa, Minnesota, South Dakota, Oregon, Montana, Indiana, South Carolina, Oklahoma, and Michigan. These states range widely in fiscal capacity, from Oklahoma, which ranks 44th in taxable resources per capita, to Washington state, which ranks fourth.49 (see Appendix for additional data on taxable resources per capita by state)

By contrast, states that fall below the national average in funding levels but provide an outsize share of higher education funding relative to the size of their economy (top left quadrant) may be candidates for increased federal funding to help close gaps in need and outcomes between wealthier and less wealthy states. These nine states (in order of funding effort, starting from highest to lowest) include Mississippi, Alabama, West Virginia, Utah, Kansas, Wisconsin, Kentucky, Louisiana, and Arizona. Mississippi and Alabama are notable for having state funding effort levels 71 percent and 49 percent above the national average, respectively, despite ranking 50th and 48th in taxable resources per capita nationally.

Although there are strong correlations between funding and outcomes in higher education, funding levels alone do not tell the full story or account for all differences in outcomes, particularly in the vastly different economic and social contexts found in different states.50 Nevertheless, increased state and local funding for higher education has generally been shown to reduce the student debt burden for four-year college students, promote success and completion among community college students, and raise overall state attainment, as described in the introduction of this report. State legislators must assess their states’ education funding needs relative to other priorities and identify the areas within higher education systems that require additional support to meet their state’s education and workforce training needs.

Progressive state tax models to increase support for higher education

Most state and local tax systems are regressive, imposing greater relative tax burdens on low- and middle-income families than on wealthy households.51 The Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy (ITEP) reports that 44 states have tax structures that exacerbate income inequality.52 On average, the lowest-income quintile has an effective state and local tax rate of 11.4 percent, while the middle 20 percent has an effective rate of 10.5 percent and the top 1 percent has an effective rate of 7.2 percent.53 Those states that rely most heavily on sales and excise taxes, have a flat income tax, or lack an income tax typically are the most regressive.54 Progressive state tax policies that increase tax rates for the highest earners and the most profitable businesses can help generate revenue for public services such as education without increasing the burden on low- and middle-income families.

The examples below highlight progressive state tax policies that raise state revenue for public education by taxing the highest earners, the wealthiest individuals, and the most profitable businesses. They can serve as models for states seeking to increase public support for higher education, particularly amid budgetary challenges in the years ahead.

Massachusetts: A constitutional amendment that established a ‘millionaire’s tax’ for public higher education and transportation

The Fair Share Amendment, which raises funds for public transportation and higher education through a 4 percent surtax on incomes exceeding $1 million, was approved by Massachusetts voters in 2022 following a multiyear grassroots campaign.55 The initiative began as a citizen-initiated process, one of two methods available in Massachusetts for passing a constitutional amendment. This process requires a petition to collect about 75,000 signatures that is approved by 25 percent of state legislators in two legislative sessions before appearing on a statewide ballot.56 The process failed in June 2018, when a state court struck the proposal from the ballot on the grounds that it did not meet the constitution’s requirements that any multipart proposal address closely related issues.57 Ultimately, the proposal advanced through the legislative amendment process, receiving support from 50 percent of the legislature in two consecutive sessions (2019 and 2021), and was subsequently affirmed by voters in November 2022.58

The Fair Share Amendment tax, implemented as a surtax, applies to all forms of income, including capital gains and unincorporated business income.59 The revenue generated from this policy is statutorily reserved for investments in public education and transportation, including “affordable public colleges and universities.”60 The policy generated $2.4 billion in FY 2024 and $3 billion in FY 2025.61 In FY 2024, 23 percent of appropriated funds from this policy supported higher education, while in FY 2025, this share was 19 percent.62

Enrollment in Massachusetts community colleges grew almost 2.5 times the national average in 2024 after the state invested millions of dollars in free community college programs.

From fiscal years 2024 to 2026, the Massachusetts state legislature appropriated $732 million in state funding for public higher education programs from Fair Share Amendment revenues, including $367 million for student financial aid and scholarships, $223 million to offer free community college, $53 million for capital improvements, $43 million for institutional operations, $31 million for student support services, and $16 million for university endowments.63 These appropriations accounted for 45 percent, 47 percent, and 53 percent of the state higher education budgets in fiscal years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively. (see Figure 4)64 The additional surtax revenues allowed for a 64 percent year-over-year increase in higher education funding between fiscal years 2023 and 2024, the first year the investments were available, and have quickly grown to account for a significant share of state funding for higher education.65 Community college enrollment increased by 14 percent in 2024, almost 2.5 times the national average of 5.8 percent.66 These investments also support training for more than 6,000 workers in high-demand fields, including 2,300 in nursing and allied health professions, 600 in computer and information sciences, 1,600 in business and management, and 1,500 in other disciplines.67

The expansion of Massachusetts’ need-based financial aid program covers the full cost of attendance at public two- and four-year institutions for students eligible for Pell Grants and reduces tuition and fee costs for students from middle-income families (with annual incomes of approximately $85,000 to $100,000) by one-half.68 This funding benefited more than 34,000 Massachusetts students, allowing Pell Grant recipients to graduate debt free and saving students from middle-income families nearly $4,000 per year on average.69

Massachusetts lawmakers set aside specific funds for the Fair Share Amendment revenues to ensure transparency and sustainability in their use. Revenues from the surtax are deposited in an Education and Transportation (E&T) fund, subject to an annual spending cap.70 Eighty-five percent of revenues that exceed this level are deposited into a fund that supports one-time capital expenditures, while the remaining 15 percent are deposited into a reserve fund.71 These budgetary mechanisms ensure Fair Share dollars are put toward their intended use, balance short- and long-term goals, and have a reserve fund to draw upon during recessionary or low-revenue periods.

Colorado: Reducing income tax deductions to pay for school meals

In November 2025, a ballot initiative was passed in Colorado that raised taxes on high-earning families through a slightly different mechanism.72 Proposition MM reduced the cap on certain state income tax deductions for taxpayers earning $300,000 or more annually.73 By reducing the maximum deduction claimed from $12,000 to $1,000 for single filers and $16,000 to $2,000 for joint filers, the program will generate up to $95 million in additional revenue for the state’s Healthy School Meals for All (HSMA) Program.74 After fully funding the program plus a reserve of 35 percent, any additional funding that is generated by Proposition MM will be used for the state share of the federal Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program.75

This program ensures universal free school meals are available to public school, charter school, and state residential facility students. Research shows that this policy increases academic achievement, student health and well-being, and reduces barriers and stigma that sometimes discourage income-eligible students from participating.76 Some Colorado school districts have reported up to a 30 percent increase in students eating meals in the school cafeterias as a result.77 Additionally, such policies reduce administrative burdens for schools and eliminate the issue of unpaid meal balances.78

These benefits will cost an estimated $327 for high-income single filers and $574 for high-income joint filers annually.79 According to ITEP, Colorado has the 39th most regressive tax system in the country, where the top 1 percent of households (with incomes of more than $850,000 annually) pay 7 percent of their income in taxes and the next 4 percent of households (with incomes of more than $334,000) pay 7.6 percent.80 By contrast, households in the bottom quintile (earning less than $28,000) pay 8.3 percent of their income and middle-class families in the third quintile (earning $52,000 to $95,000) pay 9.9 percent.81 The relatively small additional cost to the highest earners in the state provides basic necessities to elementary and secondary school students, bolstering their well-being and academic achievement.

Washington: A capital gains tax to fund child care and K-12 schools

Because state courts have interpreted Washington state’s constitution to ban a broad-based income tax, Washington has long had one of the most regressive tax structures in the United States.82 According to ITEP, the state’s lowest earners pay more than three times the share of their incomes compared with the top 1 percent of earners.83

In 2022, Washington enacted a capital gains tax aimed at high-income individuals. Capital gains refer to profits generated from the sale of assets—typically stocks, bonds, and real estate. In May 2021, the state legislature passed S.B. 5096, which imposed a 7 percent tax on capital gains in excess of $250,000.84 This tax applies to profits from capital asset investments that are held for more than one year, including investment income but excluding retirement accounts, real estate, and small-business sales.85 In 2025, the state legislature approved an additional 2.9 percent tax on long-term capital gains exceeding $1 million, raising the top marginal rate for the capital gains tax to 9.9 percent.86 Revenues from Washington’s capital gains tax are allocated for education expenditures and school construction.87 The first $500 million is deposited into the state’s Education Legacy Trust Account, which funds public schools, child care, and early childhood education.88 Any revenue above this threshold is dedicated to school construction.

In the first two years since the enactment of this tax, public education in Washington has benefited from robust additional investments, including:89

  • $240 million to expand eligibility and lower out-of-pocket costs for child care programs for low-income families.
  • $101 million to provide access to prekindergarten for more than 4,000 additional children.
  • $29 million for specialized child care services for children with specific needs.
  • 171 individual infrastructure projects to build new schools, modernize or renovate existing facilities, improve heating and ventilation, or improve building safety, as a few examples.90

The revenue from the 7 percent tax totaled $840 million in 2022, its first year; $419 million in 2023; and $561 million in 2024.91 These figures vary considerably due to market volatility, illustrating one drawback of this policy—it is cyclical, as it fluctuates with the stock market, providing less revenue in years when it may be needed most and potentially creating challenges for state budget planning. However, as discussed in the recommendations below, states can use budgeting practices such as reserve funds to set aside some revenues during especially high-revenue years for use during lower-revenue years, helping manage these fluctuations.

Oregon: A corporate tax to support early childhood education and K-12 student success

In 2019, the Oregon State Legislature enacted the Student Success Act, establishing a state “corporate activity tax” on businesses to raise dedicated revenue for state education programs.92 This tax applies to gross receipts, or total revenues, exceeding $1 million (with some deductions), and equals $250 plus 0.57 percent of the commercial activity of more than $1 million.93 It allows businesses to subtract 35 percent of labor costs or other cost inputs in calculating the taxable amount of gross receipts.94 A share of the revenues are deposited into the State School Fund (SFF), including a required $40 million for high-cost needs for students with disabilities.95 Similar to the Massachusetts Fair Share Amendment, revenues from this tax are deposited into a “separate and distinct” fund in the state treasury, the Fund for Student Success.96 About 50 percent of the funds remaining after the deposit into the SFF are sent directly to support K-12 schools; 20 percent are used for early learning for children from birth through age 5; and 30 percent are used for various other statewide K-12 education initiatives, such as school meals and summer school programs.97

From 2020 to 2024, the corporate activity tax generated $1.2 billion on average annually.98 For the 2023–2025 biennium, $531 million went to early education programs and $1.7 billion went to K-12 initiatives, representing 40 percent of the budget for Oregon’s Department of Early Learning and Care and 28 percent of the budget for the Department of Education, which administers K-12 education programs, respectively.99 An additional $702 million was deposited into the SFF, representing 5 percent of the $15.3 billion in total funds made available from the SFF in the budget those years.100 These funds have enabled an expansion of free school meals to nearly 200 more schools, bringing the share of Oregon students with access to school nutrition programs to 3 in 4.101 They also funded summer school programs for an additional 40 Title I schools in the state, providing additional learning and enrichment opportunities to students from the highest-needs schools.102

In early learning, the largest allocations supported Oregon’s comprehensive family assistance program from the prenatal stage through age 5 ($194 million), high-quality preschool for low-income families ($148 million), and early intervention and early childhood special education services ($115 million) over the course of the 2023–2025 biennium.103 These funds were projected to serve at least 15,000 children birth through age 5 annually.104

While Oregon’s corporate activity tax generated much-needed revenue from business activity to support early childhood and K-12 education, an even more equitable model would tax corporate profits rather than revenues. There is evidence that taxes on gross receipts are at least partially passed on to consumers, and therefore function more like a hidden sales tax, while taxes on corporate profits tend to be more progressive.105

Limitations in state constitutions on adopting new tax laws

Numerous state constitutions contain limitations on how states can raise tax revenue from their residents. These include total bans on certain types of taxes, restrictions on whether tax brackets can be structured in a progressive way, requirements that new tax laws receive a supermajority of votes in the legislature, or limits on the amount of tax revenue that can be raised or on the amount of public funds that can be spent. While these limitations do not foreclose the possibility of enacting new progressive tax policies, they are hurdles that policymakers and advocates should be aware of as they seek to bolster public funding for education and other initiatives.

Florida, Texas, Nevada, and Tennessee have constitutional bans on individual income taxes.106 The Washington State Constitution includes a “uniformity clause” that requires that “all taxes shall be uniform upon the same class of property,” which the state judiciary has interpreted to ban a graduated income tax.107 The state court upheld the 2022 capital gains tax on the grounds that it is an excise tax, not an income tax.108 This policy is a strong example of successfully implementing a progressive new tax structure in a state with strong limitations on the legislature’s power to levy taxes.

Sixteen states impose supermajority requirements to enact new tax laws, mandating approval by two-thirds, three-quarters, or three-fifths of the legislature to amend tax statutes.109 In three states, the requirement applies to specific types of taxes (such as property or income taxes), whereas in the remaining 13 states, it applies to all tax types.110 Despite this higher legislative bar to pass new tax laws, states with supermajority requirements levy taxes at “nearly identical” rates as states without them, according to the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities.111 These legislative hurdles present several challenges, from potentially exacerbating the negative economic effects of recessions by forcing lawmakers to implement spending cuts instead of targeted tax increases, to entrenching wasteful or inequitable tax exemptions, to increasing the cost of state capital investments such as school construction. States constrained in their ability to raise tax revenue often receive lower bond ratings and as a result incur higher interest rates.112

Finally, many states impose limitations on the amount of revenue that can be generated through taxation or spent by the state government. As of 2020, the Tax Policy Center reported that 24 states had expenditure limits, 19 had revenue limits, and 12 had both.113 These policies typically set caps on the growth of revenues or expenditures annually in either absolute dollar amounts or percentage increases, frequently setting them to the annual rate of personal income growth.114 Some of these limits are constitutional, while others are statutory.115 Like supermajority requirements that limit the adoption of new tax laws, tax and expenditure limits can have harmful consequences such as forcing states to rely on local taxes or fines and fees that burden the lowest-income residents.116 These policies can also raise borrowing costs for state-funded projects because states with limited ability to raise revenues are less attractive to lenders.117

Recommendations: 5 strategies to stabilize and sustain state funding for public higher education

Higher education, often referred to as the “balance wheel” of state budgets, is particularly vulnerable to cuts during economic downturns.118 These cuts often result in higher tuition and fees, increased student borrowing, fewer community college graduates, and overall declines in educational attainment. The potential downstream effects may include slower economic growth, fewer skilled graduates, and a reduced tax base. To prevent the state divestment in the postsecondary sector seen during previous recessions, state policymakers should consider the following strategies to stabilize and sustain state funding for public higher education.119

1. Develop budget stabilization funds for education to prevent recessionary declines in state support

Budget stabilization funds (BSFs), or rainy day funds, set aside revenue in a separate fund to be used during periods of lower tax revenue, such as recessions.120 These funds have been shown to bolster state coffers and dampen the effect of downturns.121 All 50 states have BSFs for their general revenues, and some have BSFs for specific expenditures, including Medicaid and education.122 State legislators should explore using this mechanism to increase and stabilize state funding for public education, including higher education, thereby preventing reduction in support for students and families during periods of heightened need.

2. Raise additional revenue by introducing more progressive tax structures

New types of taxes or modifications to existing tax structures that draw more from upper-income brackets, such as those outlined in this report, can help generate additional revenue for the institutions that provide broad access to postsecondary education and training while ensuring the cost burden does not fall upon those who can least afford to pay. Like in Massachusetts, Colorado, Washington, and Oregon, state legislatures can employ revenue-raising strategies such as increasing marginal income taxes for the highest brackets, reducing or eliminating credits and deductions that primarily benefit individuals with very high incomes, increasing taxes on capital gains and other types of income derived from wealth, and increasing taxes on large businesses. States can build equitable and robust capital gains tax structures by including other types of passive returns on wealth, such as dividends, interest, and passive business income, an approach recently taken in Minnesota.123

For corporate taxes, mandatory worldwide combined reporting (WWCR) is the gold standard to equitably and comprehensively tax business profits.124 Tax cut legislation enacted by the Trump administrations in 2017 and 2025 restricted the reporting and taxation of foreign income by multinational corporations.125 Implementing WWCR would address corporate tax avoidance by ensuring that assets or income shifted to lower-tax jurisdictions abroad are fairly taxed. Such policies would drive revenue for states and create level competitive environments for domestic small businesses, which may struggle to compete with multinational corporations that engage in offshore profit-shifting most.126 Analysis by ITEP finds that adopting WWCR would increase state income tax revenues by 14 percent and add $18.7 billion per year to state budgets.127

The 34 states without policies requiring supermajorities of the legislature to enact tax laws, in particular, should consider new progressive strategies to raise tax revenue before the impacts of the BBB fully manifest.128 These lower barriers make it more feasible to develop and implement tax policies that support the range of needs of the states’ residents, from health care to food security to education.

3. Provide dedicated funding for public education, including higher education, by establishing separate education trust funds within state treasuries

Alabama is one state that has an education trust fund, which sets aside separate funds for K-12 education in the state treasury. This mechanism may be one reason Alabama ranks highly on the state effort measure in its higher education funding, despite being a lower-income state and slightly below the average in funding per student. (see Figure 2)129 Several of the other state examples surveyed in this report, including Massachusetts, Washington, and Oregon, directed tax revenues from the new tax policies into separate funds for education. This budgetary mechanism promotes transparency and ensures the funds are used for their intended purpose.

4. State policymakers should jointly study and set benchmarks for higher education funding adequacy

Forming an interstate commission or working group to develop a framework that aligns funding models with educational needs is necessary to inform a national understanding of funding adequacy. The commission could account for differences in state economies and educational systems in the funding adequacy framework, creating a flexible system that creates standards for states to aspire to while accounting for the range of differences across states. Such an analysis may consider differing state education and employment goals and establish recommendations for allocating state funds accordingly. While most states set strategic goals for education outcomes such as degree attainment rates, determining the resource levels necessary to reach these targets is a greater challenge.130 The K-12 education system has more established methods of determining funding adequacy, which may include cost function analysis, the judgment of expert panels, and estimating the costs of evidence-based practices.131 States such as Illinois, Virginia, and Texas have undertaken such efforts to estimate adequacy levels for higher education institutions.132

Sharing resources and best practices across states would be invaluable to furthering policymakers’ understanding of adequacy. In the absence of a nuanced adequacy analysis, benchmarking can be a helpful alternative, in which a reasonable benchmark such as the median funding levels of a comparison group (such as other institutions within the state or region, a set of peer institutions, or an aspirational set of targets) can serve as an indicator of underfunding.

5. Advocacy groups in states allowing for ballot initiatives can pursue grassroots efforts to bolster public funding for education

Twenty-six states and the District of Columbia have democratic processes that allow residents to propose new statutes or constitutional amendments.133 These processes generally require that residents gather a certain number of petition signatures to place a proposal for a new law or constitutional amendment on the ballot during the next election.134 Fifteen states allow citizen-initiated processes for statutes, amendments, and vetoes, while six allow for statute and veto referendums only, two allow for amendment initiatives only, and two allow for veto referendums only.135

In the examples of new progressive taxes for education cited in this report, two states—Massachusetts and Colorado—enacted them through ballot initiatives. Both required grassroots support as well as an organized, motivated group of advocates to advance the campaigns. In Colorado, a group called Keep Kids Fed raised more than $800,000 to build support for the ballot initiative.136 Education funding proposals are strong contenders for potential ballot initiatives, as a majority of Americans support stable or increased funding for public education because students and families experience both its benefits and its shortcomings firsthand.137

Conclusion

Historically, states have reduced investment in higher education during recessionary periods, cuts that have come at a high cost. These funding cuts not only negatively affect student outcomes, but they also have ripple effects of economic harm, including underinvestment in postsecondary education, slower job creation, and a weakened broader economic recovery.138

States can drive revenue growth and stabilize appropriations for higher education by defining and meeting their adequacy requirements, adopting new progressive tax structures, and utilizing budgetary mechanisms such as trust funds and stabilization funds to prevent divestment in the education sector. Grassroots groups can advance supportive policies for higher education through ballot initiatives, several of which have achieved success in recent years. State and local funding are load-bearing pillars of the American public higher education system, and strategies to sustain and strengthen these resources will benefit students, families, communities, and the broader economy.

Acknowledgments

The author would like to thank Corey Husak, Viviann Anguiano, Bobby Kogan, David Bergeron, Alex Cogan, Paige Shoemaker DeMio, Casey Peeks, and Lily Roberts at the Center for American Progress and Carl Davis from the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy for their reviews of and feedback on this report. The author also thanks Madison Weiss and Jazmine Amoako for their fact-checking and Evan Yi for additional support.

Methodology

Table 1

“Education and research appropriations per student” were found by adding the variables “Education Appropriations Excluding Federal Stimulus,” “Agriculture and Extension Appropriations,” “Medical School Appropriations,” “Research Appropriations,” and “Four-Year Medical Financial Aid” from the State Higher Education Executive Officers Association’s “State Higher Education Finance: FY 2024” report data.139 This metric seeks to combine state appropriations for higher education and research. While it includes “Medical School Appropriations” to capture state funding provided for medical education and research, it does not include “Hospital Appropriations,” which can also be used for general operating expenses for hospitals and public service patient care. “Gross FTE Enrollment,” which includes medical students, is used to calculate the level of funding per student. This approach seeks to avoid the potentially distorting impacts of state spending on hospital operations in states with public universities with large hospital systems while still including state support for medical education and research.

This metric was then adjusted for regional price parity (RPP) and the ratio of two- and four-year students enrolled in public institutions in the state. These adjustments account for price differences across states to recognize that high-cost states must allocate more dollars to achieve the same level of support. They also account for the differing mix of two- and four-year students enrolled in the state, as four-year institutions generally require greater resources. The enrollment mix adjustment for the District of Columbia was not available for FY 2018 and FY 2019, so the adjustment from FY 2020 was used. The RPP adjustment comes from the Bureau of Economic Analysis,140 and the enrollment mix adjustment comes from the FY 2024 “State Higher Education Finance” report from the State Higher Education Executive Officers Association. It is done in nominal dollars.

“State effort” in this table is defined as “education and research appropriations as a share of taxable state product.” It seeks to convey the amount a state dedicates to higher education and research as a share of its economic output. While funding levels per student convey an absolute level of support, this metric puts support in relation to the resources available to the state. States with higher effective tax rates and that dedicate higher shares of their tax revenue to higher education will be higher on this metric. Total taxable resources (TTR) are taxable gross state product plus other taxable income that is not captured by gross state product, such as income earned by commuters who work in the state but live in another state. For a full methodology of TTR, see U.S. Department of the Treasury, “Total Taxable Resources.”141

Both metrics were averaged over the five-year period from 2018 to 2022 to avoid choosing a single year in which a state’s funding or effort may be an outlier for any variety of reasons. It also captures both years before and after the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Notably, the state effort calculation uses the unadjusted figure for education and research appropriations. This is because this calculation is a ratio that essentially represents an in-state comparison between a state’s funding level and its fiscal capacity (which is not adjusted for RPP). Similarly, the enrollment mix is not accounted for in this figure, because it seeks to understand the amount of funding relative to fiscal capacity in a broad way without accounting for policy choices around the nature of the state’s higher education system.

Finally, the level of funding per student in Illinois has been adjusted to account for the share of funding that is going to fund the state pension system. Since 2008, Illinois rapidly increased state appropriations and in recent years remains an outlier, with levels nearly twice the U.S. average. The level of annual funding used to fund pensions, which averaged 36 percent from fiscal years 2018 to 2022, has been excluded in this table. (Data on the share of state appropriations going toward pensions were provided as a courtesy by the State Higher Education Officers Association and are available from the author upon request.142

Figure 2

Figure 2 uses the two columns in Table 1, “State and local funding per student” (horizontal axis) and “State funding effort,” defined as education and research appropriations as a share of the state’s taxable state product (vertical axis). Each point represents a state. The graph takes each of these measures and benchmarks them to the U.S. average, with the aligning point on each axis representing the percentage above or below the U.S. average for that state. For example, Mississippi’s education and research appropriations are approximately 7.1 percent below the U.S. average, but its state effort is very high, at 104 percent above the U.S. average.

Appendices

Endnotes

  1. Micah Johnson and Andrea Ducas, “$1 Trillion in Medicaid Cuts—$1 Trillion in Tax Giveaways for the Richest 1 Percent: The One Big ‘Beautiful’ Bill’s Budget Math,” Center for American Progress, July 3, 2025, available at https://www.americanprogress.org/article/1-trillion-in-medicaid-cuts-1-trillion-in-tax-giveaways-for-the-richest-1-percent-the-one-big-beautiful-bills-budget-math/; Amelia Coffey and Heather Hahn, “SNAP Cuts in One Big Beautiful Bill Act Leave Almost 3 Million Young Adults Vulnerable to Losing Nutrition Assistance,” Urban Institute, August 6, 2025, available at https://www.urban.org/urban-wire/snap-cuts-one-big-beautiful-bill-act-leave-almost-3-million-young-adults-vulnerable.
  2. National Education Association, “State Funding Update: The Fiscal and Political Crossroads Facing Public Higher Education” (Washington: 2025), available at https://www.nea.org/resource-library/higher-ed-state-funding-report.
  3. National Association of State Budget Officers, “2025 State Expenditure Report” (Washington: 2025), p. 12, available at https://higherlogicdownload.s3.amazonaws.com/NASBO/9d2d2db1-c943-4f1b-b750-0fca152d64c2/UploadedImages/SER%20Archive/2025_SER/2025_NASBO_State_Expenditure_Report_S.pdf.
  4. Michael Mitchell, Michael Leachman, and Kathryn Masterson, “A Lost Decade in Higher Education Funding,” Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, August 23, 2017, available at https://www.cbpp.org/research/state-budget-and-tax/a-lost-decade-in-higher-education-funding.
  5. State Higher Education Executive Officers Association, “State Higher Education Finance: FY 2024” (Boulder, CO: 2025), Figure 2.1, available at http://shef.sheeo.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/SHEEO_SHEF_FY24_Report.pdf.
  6. Ibid.
  7. Elizabeth Redden, “State Shortfalls and Foreign Students,” Inside Higher Ed, January 2, 2017, available at https://www.insidehighered.com/news/2017/01/03/study-looks-link-between-international-enrollment-increases-and-state-appropriation; Ozan Jaquette and Bradley R. Curs, “Creating the Out-of-State University: Do Public Universities Increase Nonresident Freshman Enrollment in Response to Declining State Appropriations?”, Research in Higher Education 56 (6) (2015): 535–565, available at https://eric.ed.gov/?id=EJ1071962.
  8. Kristen Cummings and others, “Investigating the Impacts of State Higher Education Appropriations and Financial Aid” (Boulder, CO: State Higher Education Executive Officers Association, 2021), available at https://sheeo.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/SHEEO_ImpactAppropationsFinancialAid.pdf.
  9. Rajashri Chakrabarti, Nicole Gorton, and Michael F. Lovenheim, “State Investment in Higher Education: Effects on Human Capital Formation, Student Debt, and Long-Term Financial Outcomes of Students” (New York: Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 2022), available at https://www.newyorkfed.org/research/staff_reports/sr941.
  10. Ibid.
  11. Ibid.
  12. Tomas Monarrex, Fernando Hernandez, and Maci Rainer, “The Impact of State Higher Education Finance on Educational Attainment” (Washington: Urban Institute, 2021), available at https://www.urban.org/sites/default/files/publication/104518/impact-of-state-higher-education-finance-on-attainment_2.pdf.
  13. Association of Public and Land-grant Universities, “How do college graduates benefit society at large?”, available at https://www.aplu.org/our-work/4-policy-and-advocacy/publicuvalues/societal-benefits/ (last accessed April 2026).
  14. Brad Hershbein, “Brain Drain or Brain Gain? Where University Alumni Locate” (Kalamazoo, MI: W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research, 2024), available at https://www.upjohn.org/brain-drain-or-brain-gain-where-university-alumni-locate.
  15. Ross DeVol and others, “A Matter of Degrees: The Effect of Educational Attainment on Regional Economic Prosperity” (Santa Monica, CA: Milken Institute, 2013), available at https://milkeninstitute.org/sites/default/files/reports-pdf/Matter-of-Degrees-FR.pdf.
  16. Hemin Wang, “Relationship between higher education level and GDP per capita of different American States,” Financial Engineering and Risk Management 6 (11) (2023), available at http://166.62.7.99/assets/default/article/2023/11/29/article_1701254357.pdf; Jian Li and others, “How popularising higher education affects economic growth and poverty alleviation: empirical evidence from 38 countries,” Humanities and Social Sciences Communications 11 (520) (2024), available at https://www.nature.com/articles/s41599-024-03013-5.
  17. Selig Center for Economic Growth at the University of Georgia, “The Power of Potential” (Athens, GA: 2019), available at https://www.terry.uga.edu/wp-content/uploads/The-Power-of-Potential-BMGF.pdf.
  18. Philippe Aghoin and others, “The Causal Impact of Education on Economic Growth: Evidence from U.S.”, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 2009, available at https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/2009_spring_bpea_aghion_etal.pdf.
  19. Philip A. Trostel, “The Fiscal Impacts of College Attainment,” Research in Higher Education 51 (3) (2010): 220–247, available at https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/40606359.pdf; James Dean Ward, Benjamin Weintraut, and Elizabeth Davidson Pisacreta, “It’s complicated: The relationship between postsecondary attainment and state finances” (New York: Ithaka S+R, 2021), available at https://www.luminafoundation.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/it-s-complicated.pdf; Jonathan Rothwell, “What colleges do for local economies: A direct measure based on consumption” (Washington: Brookings Institution, 2015), available at https://www.brookings.edu/articles/what-colleges-do-for-local-economies-a-direct-measure-based-on-consumption/.
  20. National Center for Education Statistics, “Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System: Human Resources component final data (fall 2002 – 2023) and provisional data (fall 2024),” available at https://nces.ed.gov/ipeds/trendgenerator/app/answer/5/30 (last accessed April 2026); Anna Valero and John Van Reenen, “The economic impact of universities: Evidence from across the globe,” Economics of Education Review 68 (2019): 53–67, available at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econedurev.2018.09.001; Dante Chinney, “Universities As Economic Powerhouses for Communities,” American Communities Project, June 5, 2025, available at https://www.americancommunities.org/universities-as-economic-powerhouses-for-communities/.
  21. Liz Farmer, “States Tread Carefully With Budgets as Gaps and Revenue Uncertainty Loom,” The Pew Charitable Trusts, July 10, 2025, available at https://www.pew.org/en/research-and-analysis/articles/2025/07/10/states-tread-carefully-with-budgets-as-gaps-and-revenue-uncertainty-loom; Justin Theal and Joanna Biernacka-Lievestro, “States Consider Effects of Rising Federal Tariffs,” The Pew Charitable Trusts, October 8, 2025, available at https://www.pew.org/en/research-and-analysis/articles/2025/10/08/states-consider-effects-of-rising-federal-tariffs?tt_line_mk=impworldgsp&tt_line_label=impworldgsp; F. King Alexander and Stephen Katsinas, “Public Higher Ed Ain’t Seen Nothing Yet,” Inside Higher Ed, February 25, 2025, available at https://www.insidehighered.com/opinion/views/2025/02/25/public-higher-ed-should-prepare-medicaid-cuts-opinion.
  22. Kyle Ross, “Shifting SNAP Costs to States Would Make Future Recessions Worse,” Center for American Progress, April 14, 2025, available at https://www.americanprogress.org/article/shifting-snap-costs-to-states-would-make-future-recessions-worse/.
  23. Ibid.
  24. Corey Husak, “7 Ways the Big Beautiful Bill Cuts Taxes for the Rich,” Center for American Progress, November 20, 2025, available at https://www.americanprogress.org/article/7-ways-the-big-beautiful-bill-cuts-taxes-for-the-rich/.
  25. Author’s calculations based on National Center for Education Statistics, “Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System: Finance component, 2024,” available at https://nces.ed.gov/ipeds/trendgenerator/app/build-table/6/13?cid=5&rid=25 (last accessed April 2026). Total revenues exclude sales and services of hospitals. Revenues that were not available (N/A) were treated as zero.
  26. Ibid.
  27. Ibid.
  28. State Higher Education Executive Officers Association, “State Higher Education Finance: FY 2024”; National Center for Education Statistics, “Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System: 12-month Enrollment component provisional data (2023-24),” available at https://nces.ed.gov/ipeds/trendgenerator/app/answer/2/2?f=4%3D1 (last accessed April 2026).
  29. State Higher Education Executive Officers Association, “State Higher Education Finance, 2024,” Table 1.1. State tax appropriations were 82.3 percent in 2024, while local tax appropriations were 10.6 percent. “Non-tax support” is primarily from state lotteries.
  30. State Higher Education Officers Association, “State Higher Education Finance: FY 2024,” Table 1.3.
  31. Author’s calculations based on National Center for Education Statistics, “Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System: Finance component, 2024,” available at https://nces.ed.gov/ipeds/trendgenerator/app/build-table/6/13?cid=5&rid=25 (last accessed April 2026); Eric Syverson and Gerardo Silva-Padrón, “Request for Information” (Denver: Education Commission of the States, 2021), available at https://www.ecs.org/wp-content/uploads/State-Information-Request_Local-Funding-for-Community-Colleges.pdf.
  32. Author’s calculations based on National Center for Education Statistics, “Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System: Finance component, 2024.”
  33. Zyrashae Smith-Onyewu and others, “The Landscape of Local Funding Sources for Community Colleges in the United States” (Higher Education Policy Initiative, 2024), available at https://static1.squarespace.com/static/5d9f9fae6a122515ee074363/t/66fd6ca5da7dbf0250cdc637/1727884454158/Policy+Brief_Local+Funding+Sources_Gates+Foundation_formatted.pdf.
  34. Marcella Bombardieri, “Tapping Local Support To Strengthen Community Colleges” (Washington: Center for American Progress, 2020), available at https://www.americanprogress.org/article/tapping-local-support-strengthen-community-colleges/.
  35. State Higher Education Officers Association, “State Higher Education Finance: FY 2024,” Figure 2.3. This metric differs slightly from the figures provided in Table 1, because Table 1 includes state funding for research conducted by public institutions of higher education in addition to education appropriations.
  36. Ibid., Fig 3.2. While Illinois had the highest public higher education appropriations per FTE student in 2024 at $25,529, this amount represents state efforts to “address its historically underfunded state retirement pension system,” and roughly one-third of its education funding per FTE student was used for this purpose. See ibid., p. 30, for further information on state funding in Illinois.
  37. Ibid., Figure 2.1.
  38. Ibid., p. 8.
  39. Joseph Johns, “State and Local Tax Collections Per Capita by State, 2025,” Tax Foundation, May 13, 2025, available at https://taxfoundation.org/data/all/state/state-local-tax-collections-per-capita/.
  40. This metric does not include appropriations for the operation of hospitals, since hospitals are an auxiliary enterprise that supports but is not central to the educational mission of the institution. It is adjusted for regional price parity and the mix of students enrolled at two- vs. four-year institutions for each state. See the Methodology section for a complete description of the variables used in this analysis. Author’s calculations based on State Higher Education Executive Officers Association, “State Higher Education Finance: 2024 Report Data,” available at https://shef.sheeo.org/past-shef-reports/ (last accessed April 2026).
  41. The state’s fiscal capacity is represented by the state’s total taxable resources, a measure calculated by the U.S. Department of the Treasury every year to quantify each state’s capacity to raise revenue for public services. TTR includes metrics such as the gross state product (the economic output of a state’s industries), income earned from out-of-state sources, transfers from the federal government, and capital gains. See U.S. Department of the Treasury, “Total Taxable Resources,” available at https://home.treasury.gov/policy-issues/economic-policy/total-taxable-resources (last accessed April 2026); U.S. Department of the Treasury, “Treasury Methodology for Estimating Total Taxable Resources (TTR)” (Washington: 2002), available at https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/226/nmpubsum.pdf. Author’s calculations based on State Higher Education Executive Officers Association, “State Higher Education Finance: State effort and capacity data” from 2024 State Higher Education Finance (SHEF) report, available at https://shef.sheeo.org/past-shef-reports/ (last accessed April 2026).
  42. Author’s calculations based on State Higher Education Executive Officers Association, “State Higher Education Finance: 2024 Report Data”; State Higher Education Executive Officers Association, “State Higher Education Finance: State effort and capacity data,” available at https://shef.sheeo.org/past-shef-reports/ (last accessed April 2026).
  43. Ibid.
  44. Ibid.
  45. Ibid.
  46. Ibid.
  47. Ibid.
  48. Anthony P. Carnevale and others, “Educational Adequacy in the Twenty-First Century” (New York: The Century Foundation, 2018), available at https://tcf.org/content/report/educational-adequacy-twenty-first-century/#easy-footnote-bottom-1-25584; Advance Illinois and others, “Adequacy in Higher Education Funding Convening Summary” (2022), available at https://static1.squarespace.com/static/600f23f8f34cf13b28ba7d64/t/63e6d40a6d3c5a6d63cce934/1676071947972/Adequacy+in+Higher+Education+Funding+Convening_+White+Paper_2023.pdf; Amberly Dziesinsk and others, “A framework for conceptualizing and analyzing equity and adequacy in postsecondary funding models” (Madison, WI: University of Wisconsin-Madison, 2025), available at https://sstar.wisc.edu/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/SSTARAdequacyEquity_7-24-25_Final2.pdf.
  49. Author’s calculations based on State Higher Education Executive Officers Association, “State Higher Education Finance: 2024 Report Data”; State Higher Education Executive Officers Association, “State Higher Education Finance: State effort and capacity data.”
  50. Tristan Stein and Arianna Fano, “State Funding’s Influence on College Completion,” Bipartisan Policy Center, December 16, 2024, available at https://bipartisanpolicy.org/explainer/state-fundings-influence-on-college-completion/.
  51. Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy, “Who Pays? 7th Edition” (Washington: 2024), available at https://itep.org/whopays-7th-edition/.
  52. Ibid.
  53. Ibid.
  54. Ibid.
  55. Christopher Czepiel, “FY 2024 Budget Recommendation: Fair Share Investments in Education & Transportation” (Springfield, MA: Office of the Governor of the Commonwealth of Massachusetts), available at https://budget.digital.mass.gov/govbudget/fy24/budbriefpdf/fy24_bb03_fair_share_investments_in_education_transportation.pdf (last accessed April 2026); Adam Reilley, “Push for millionaires’ tax in Massachusetts ramps up,” WGBH.org, May 11, 2022, available at https://www.wgbh.org/news/politics/2022-05-11/push-for-millionaires-tax-in-massachusetts-ramps-up.
  56. Commonwealth of Massachusetts, “The initiative petition process,” available at https://www.mass.gov/info-details/the-initiative-petition-process (last accessed April 2026).
  57. Massachusetts Municipal Association, “SJC strikes Fair Share Amendment from November ballot,” June 18, 2018, available at https://www.mma.org/sjc-strikes-fair-share-amendment-from-november-ballot/.
  58. EY, “Massachusetts voters approve ballot measure on ‘millionaires’ tax,” November 21, 2022, available at https://taxnews.ey.com/news/2022-1750-massachusetts-voters-approve-ballot-measure-on-millionaires-tax#:~:text=On%20November%208%2C%202022%2C%2052%25%20of%20voters,on%20individual%20taxable%20income%20over%20$1%20million.
  59. Massachusetts Taxpayers Foundation, “Ballot Question #1: What it Does and Doesn’t Do,” available at https://masstaxpayers.org/sites/default/files/publications/2022-09/Question%201%20-%20What%20it%20Does%20and%20Doesn%27t%20Do%20.pdf (last accessed April 2026).
  60. Massachusetts Budget and Policy Center, “What is the Fair Share Amendment?”, available at https://massbudget.org/fairshare/ (last accessed April 2026).
  61. Commonwealth of Massachusetts Executive Office of Administration and Finance, “Delivering on Fair Share: Impact Report,” available at https://www.mass.gov/info-details/delivering-on-fair-share-impact-report (last accessed April 2026).
  62. Jessica Troe, “Two Years of Fair Share Funding at Work,” Massachusetts Budget and Policy Center, October 7, 2024, available at https://massbudget.org/2024/10/07/two-years-fsa/#:~:text=The%20amendment%20imposes%20an%20additional%20tax%20on,Operational%20Grant%20Fund**%20*%20**MBTA%20Capital%20Investments.
  63. Author’s calculations based on Commonwealth of Massachusetts, “Budget summary fiscal year 2024 enacted,” available at https://budget.digital.mass.gov/summary/fy24/enacted/education/higher-education/?tab=historical-budget (last accessed April 2026); Commonwealth of Massachusetts, “Budget summary fiscal year 2025 enacted,” available at https://budget.digital.mass.gov/summary/fy25/enacted/education/higher-education/?tab=historical-budget (last accessed April 2026); Commonwealth of Massachusetts, “Budget summary fiscal year 2026 enacted,” available at https://budget.digital.mass.gov/summary/fy26/enacted/education/higher-education/?tab=historical-budget (last accessed April 2026).
  64. Ibid.
  65. Ibid.
  66. Office of Gov. Maura Healey and Lt. Gov. Kim Driscoll, “Healey-Driscoll Administration Reports Increased Enrollment in Community Colleges and Four-Year Public Colleges,” Press release, October 22, 2024, available at https://www.mass.gov/news/healey-driscoll-administration-reports-increased-enrollment-in-community-colleges-and-four-year-public-colleges; Laura Dawson Ullrich, “Fall 2024 College Enrollment: New Data Tell a Different Story,” February 13, 2025, available at https://www.richmondfed.org/region_communities/regional_data_analysis/community_college_survey/community_college_insights/2025/college_enrollment_new_data_different_story.
  67. Commonwealth of Massachusetts Executive Office of Administration and Finance, “Fair Share is developing the workforce our economy needs,” available at https://www.mass.gov/info-details/fair-share-is-developing-the-workforce-our-economy-needs (last accessed April 2026).
  68. Office of Gov. Maura Healey and Lt. Gov. Kim Driscoll, “Healey-Driscoll Administration’s College Financial Aid Expansion Saved Massachusetts Students $110 Million,” Press release, June 5, 2025, available at https://www.mass.gov/news/healey-driscoll-administrations-college-financial-aid-expansion-saved-massachusetts-students-110-million.
  69. Ibid.
  70. Jason Wright, “Three Funds, One Purpose: Implementing Fair Share,” Massachusetts Budget and Policy Center, August 23, 2023, available at https://massbudget.org/2023/08/23/fsa-three-funds-one-purpose/.
  71. Ibid.
  72. Washington Post staff, “Colorado Prop MM results 2025,” The Washington Post, November 5, 2025, available at https://www.washingtonpost.com/elections/results/2025/11/04/colorado-prop-mm-results/.
  73. Ballotpedia, “Colorado Proposition MM, Reduce State Income Tax Deductions and Allocate Revenue to School Meals and SNAP Measure (2025),” available at https://ballotpedia.org/Colorado_Proposition_MM,_Reduce_State_Income_Tax_Deductions_and_Allocate_Revenue_to_School_Meals_and_SNAP_Measure_%282025%29 (last accessed April 2026).
  74. Ibid.
  75. Washington Post staff, “Colorado Prop MM results 2025.”
  76. Colorado Department of Education, “Healthy School Meals for All,” available at https://ed.cde.state.co.us/nutrition/nutrition-programs/healthy-school-meals-for-all-program (last accessed April 2026); Emily Gutierrez, “Changes to SNAP Could Reduce Student Access to Free School Meals,” Urban Institute, May 20, 2025, available at https://www.urban.org/research/publication/changes-snap-could-reduce-student-access-free-school-meals#:~:text=Research%20shows%20that%20providing%20free,6/11/2025.
  77. Bente Birkeland, “Proposition MM: Increase taxes for free school meals and food assistance, explained,” CPR News, October 10, 2025, available at https://www.cpr.org/2025/10/10/vg-2025-proposition-mm-explained/.
  78. California Food Policy Advocates, “The Benefits of Universal Free School Meals,” available at https://nourishca.org/ChildNutrition/ChildNutrition_Legislation/SB138-Universal-Free-Meals-Benefits.pdf (last accessed April 2026).
  79. Ballotpedia, “Colorado Proposition MM, Reduce State Income Tax Deductions and Allocate Revenue to School Meals and SNAP Measure (2025).”
  80. ITEP Staff, “Colorado: Who Pays? 7th Edition” (Washington: Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy, 2024), available at https://itep.org/colorado-who-pays-7th-edition/#:~:text=ITEP%20Tax%20Inequality%20Index,the%20lowest%20overall%20tax%20rates.
  81. Ibid.
  82. Jerry Cornfield, “Washington state Democrats look at imposing income tax on higher earners,” Washington State Standard, October 30, 2025, available at https://washingtonstatestandard.com/2025/10/30/washington-state-democrats-look-at-imposing-income-tax-on-higher-earners/; Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy, “Who Pays? 7th Edition.”
  83. ITEP Staff, “Washington: Who Pays? 7th Edition” (Washington: Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy, 2024), available at https://itep.org/washington-who-pays-7th-edition/; ITEP Staff, “Florida: Who Pays? 7th Edition” (Washington: Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy, 2024), available at https://itep.org/florida-who-pays-7th-edition/.
  84. ClifftonLarsonAllen, “Washington State Capital Gains Tax Held to Be Constitutional,” May 2, 2023, available at https://www.claconnect.com/en/resources/articles/2021/washington-state-enacts-capital-gains-tax-beginning-january-1-2022; Washington S.B. 5096 (2021), LegiScan, available at https://legiscan.com/WA/bill/SB5096/2021.
  85. Kelly Taylor, “Washington Approves Capital Gains Tax Increase for 2025: Who Pays?”, Kiplinger, May 27, 2025, available at https://www.kiplinger.com/taxes/new-washington-capital-gains-tax-increases.
  86. Perkins Coie, “Washington Tax Changes 2025: Capital Gains, Estate Tax Increases, and Wealth Tax Update,” June 2, 2025, available at https://perkinscoie.com/insights/update/washington-tax-changes-2025-capital-gains-estate-tax-increases-and-wealth-tax.
  87. Washington State Budget and Policy Center, “Washington state’s capital gains tax boosts investments in kids from Omak to Ocean Shores,” available at https://budgetandpolicy.org/resources-tools/2024/08/Capital-Gains-Spend-Analysis-BPC_8-2024.pdf (last accessed April 2026).
  88. Jerry Cornfield, “State hauls in nearly $900M from first year of capital gains tax,” Washington State Standard, November 15, 2023, available at https://washingtonstatestandard.com/briefs/state-hauls-in-nearly-900m-from-first-year-of-capital-gains-tax/#:~:text=Under%20the%20law%2C%20the%20first,transactions%20through%20retirement%20savings%20accounts; Start Early Washington, “The Education Legacy Trust Account, Capital Gains and Early Learning in Washington State” (Chicago: 2024), available at https://www.startearly.org/app/uploads/2024/07/ELTA-Capital-Gains-and-Early-Learning-in-WA-07.24.24-1.pdf. The $500 million deposit into the state’s Education Legacy Trust account was benchmarked to inflation, increasing to $524 million in FY 2024 and $537 million in FY 2025.
  89. Washington State Budget and Policy Center, “Washington state’s capital gains tax boosts investments in kids from Omak to Ocean Shores.”
  90. Ibid.; Seattle Public Schools, “Recently Completed Summer Projects,” available athttps://www.seattleschools.org/departments/capital-projects-and-planning/school-construction/projects/recent-completed-projects/recent-summer-projects/#:~:text=Some%20recent%20summer%20projects%20include:%20*%20**Play,*%20Built%20forms%20for%20tennis%20court%20drainage (last accessed April 2026).
  91. Washington State Department of Revenue, “Tax Year 2024 initial capital gains collections exceed $560.6 million,” Press release, June 5, 2025, available at https://dor.wa.gov/about/news-releases/2025/tax-year-2024-initial-capital-gains-collections-exceed-5606-million.
  92. Oregon Department of Revenue, “Oregon Corporate Activity Tax Statistics: Characteristics of CAT Taxpayers: 2025 Edition: CAT Receipts Fiscal Year 2023-24 and CAT returns Tax Year 2022” (Salem, OR: 2025), available at https://www.oregon.gov/dor/programs/gov-research/Documents/Edition%202025%20Oregon%20Corporate%20Activity%20Tax%20Statistics%20150-106-010%20Secured.pdf.
  93. Ibid., p. 5.
  94. Ibid.
  95. State of Oregon Legislative Fiscal Office, “2023-25 Legislatively Adopted Budget: Detailed Analysis” (Salem, OR: 2024), p. 24, available at https://digitalcollections.library.oregon.gov/nodes/view/178927.
  96. Ibid.
  97. Ibid.; Oregon Education Association, “Student Success Act,” available at https://oregoned.org/schools-students-deserve/student-success/student-success-act#:~:text=The%20law%20requires%20school%20districts,navigating%20poverty%2C%20homelessness%2C%20and%20foster (last accessed April 2026).
  98. Author’s calculations based on Oregon Department of Revenue, “Oregon Corporate Activity Tax Statistics,” Exhibit 3.
  99. Author’s calculations based on State of Oregon Legislative Fiscal Office, “2023-2025 Legislatively Adopted Budget: Detailed Analysis.”
  100. Ibid., p. 24.
  101. American Heart Association, “Oregon Expands Free School Meals to Students Facing Hunger,” Press release, August 7, 2023, available at https://newsroom.heart.org/local-news/oregon-expands-free-school-meals-to-students-facing-hunger#:~:text=Oregon%20is%20expanding%20access%20to%20free%20school,additional%20schools%20offer%20free%20breakfast%20and%20lunch.
  102. Oregon Department of Education, “2023-2025 SSA Programs – Grant in Aid (Administered by ODE),” available at https://www.oregon.gov/ode/StudentSuccess/Documents/23-%2025%20SSA%20Programs%20-%20Grant%20in%20Aid%20(Administered%20by%20ODE)%20(4).pdf (last accessed April 2026).
  103. Oregon Department of Early Learning and Care, “Oregon Prenatal to Kindergarten,” available at https://www.oregon.gov/delc/programs/pages/head-start-opk.aspx (last accessed April 2026); Oregon Department of Early Learning and Care, “Student Success Act 2023-2025 Program Funding,” available at https://www.oregon.gov/ode/StudentSuccess/Documents/W00068679_ODE_SSA%20Program%20Funding%20Infographic_04-2024%20v2.pdf (last accessed April 2026).
  104. Oregon Department of Education, “Early Learning in the Student Success Act,” available at https://www.oregon.gov/ode/StudentSuccess/Documents/ODE_ELD_SSA%20Infographic_2019-Final.pdf (last accessed April 2026).
  105. Tax Policy Center, “How do state and local general sales and gross receipts taxes work?”, available at https://taxpolicycenter.org/briefing-book/how-do-state-and-local-general-sales-and-gross-receipts-taxes-work#:~:text=What%20are%20gross%20receipts%20taxes,receipts%20tax%20on%20some%20industries (last accessed April 2026).
  106. CSG South, “How have states that removed income tax diversified their revenue?” (Lexington, KY: 2025), available at https://csgsouth.org/wp-content/uploads/QofM_May-1.pdf; State of Nevada, “Constitution of the State of Nevada: Section 1. Uniform and equal rate of assessment and taxation; valuation of property; exceptions and exemptions; inheritance and personal income taxes prohibited,” available at https://www.leg.state.nv.us/const/nvconst.html#Art10 (last accessed April 2026); Nina Cardona, “State Income Tax Ban Approved By Tennessee Voters,” WPLN, November 5, 2014, available at https://wpln.org/post/state-income-tax-ban-approved-tennessee-voters/
  107. Washington State Department of Revenue, “Chapter 5: Principal Constraints,” available at https://dor.wa.gov/sites/default/files/2022-02/Chapter_5.pdf (last accessed April 2026).
  108. Callie A. Castillo and others, “Capital Gains Tax Ruled to be an Excise Tax on the Privilege of Selling Assets — But There is a Silver Lining,” Ballard Spahr, March 24, 2023, available at https://www.ballardspahr.com/insights/alerts-and-articles/2023/lp/capital-gains-tax-ruled-to-be-an-excise-tax-on-the-privilege-of-selling-assets.
  109. National Conference of State Legislatures, “How to Raise a Tax,” Press release, April 22, 2025, available at https://www.ncsl.org/fiscal/how-to-raise-a-tax.
  110. Ibid.
  111. Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, “State Supermajority Rules to Raise Revenues,” available at https://www.cbpp.org/research/state-budget-and-tax/state-supermajority-rules-to-raise-revenues (last accessed April 2026).
  112. Ibid.
  113. Tax Policy Center, “What are tax and expenditure limits?”, available at https://taxpolicycenter.org/briefing-book/what-are-tax-and-expenditure-limits (last accessed April 2026).
  114. Kim Rueben and Megan Randall, “Tax and Expenditure Limits” (Washington: Urban Institute, 2017), available at https://www.urban.org/sites/default/files/publication/94926/tax-and-expenditure-limits_4.pdf.
  115. U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, “State Tax and Expenditure Limits,” Press release, April 27, 2021, available at https://www.bea.gov/sites/default/files/2021-04/state-tax-and-expenditure-limits-april-2021.pdf.
  116. Bernie Gallagher, “State Limits on Revenues and Budgets Stifle Democracy,” Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, June 27, 2023, available at https://www.cbpp.org/blog/state-limits-on-revenues-and-budgets-stifle-democracy.
  117. Public Policy Institute of California, “Fiscal Rules and Bond Yields: Do Tax Limits Raise the State’s Borrowing Costs?” (San Francisco: 1999), available at https://www.ppic.org/wp-content/uploads/content/pubs/rb/RB_1299JPRB.pdf.
  118. Emily Katz Sayag, “How SNAP and Medicaid Changes Will Impact State Education Budgets,” National Conference of State Legislatures, October 3, 2025, available at https://www.ncsl.org/state-legislatures-news/details/how-snap-and-medicaid-changes-will-impact-state-education-budgets.
  119. Bipartisan Policy Center, “Higher Education Funding Takes a Hit During Recessions. But It Doesn’t Have To.” (Washington: 2020), available at https://bipartisanpolicy.org/article/higher-education-funding-takes-a-hit-during-recessions-but-it-doesnt-have-to/.
  120. Kim Reuben and Megan Randall, “Budget Stabilization Funds” (Washington: Urban Institute, 2017), available at https://www.urban.org/sites/default/files/publication/94901/budget-stabilization-funds_2.pdf.
  121. Ibid.; Qiushi Wang and others, “The fiscal effects of U.S. State budget stabilization funds (BSFs): evidence from a meta-analysis,” International Public Management Journal 25 (6) (2022), available at https://doi.org/10.1080/10967494.2021.1976331.
  122. Kathryn White, “States Saving for a Rainy Day,” National Association of State Budget Officers, January 3, 2019, available at https://community.nasbo.org/budgetblogs/blogs/kathryn-white/2019/01/03/states-saving-for-a-rainy-day#:~:text=For%20fiscal%201984%2C%20the%20first,states%27%20rainy%20day%20fund%20structures; Tax Policy Center, “What are state rainy day funds and how do they work?”, available at https://taxpolicycenter.org/briefing-book/what-are-state-rainy-day-funds-and-how-do-they-work (last accessed April 2026).
  123. Sarah Austin and Carl Davis, “The Wealth Proceeds Tax: A Simple Way for States to Tax the Wealthy” (Washington: Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy, 2025), available at https://itep.org/wealth-proceeds-tax-net-investment-income-tax/.
  124. Carl Davis and others, “A Revenue Analysis of Worldwide Combined Reporting in the States” (Washington: Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy, 2025), available at https://itep.org/worldwide-combined-reporting-state-corporate-taxes/.
  125. Tax Policy Center, “How did the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act change business taxes?”, available at https://taxpolicycenter.org/briefing-book/how-did-tax-cuts-and-jobs-act-change-business-taxes (last accessed April 2026); Husak, “7 Ways the Big Beautiful Bill Cuts Taxes for the Rich.”
  126. MOTL Accounting, “How Offshore Tax Havens Affect Small Businesses,” available at https://motlaccounting.com/how-offshore-tax-havens-affect-small-businesses/#:~:text=The%20U.S.%20Public%20Interest%20Research,behavior%20is%20sure%20to%20continue (last accessed April 2026).
  127. Davis and others, “A Revenue Analysis of Worldwide Combined Reporting in the States.”
  128. National Conference of State Legislatures, “How to Raise a Tax.”
  129. Alabama Policy Institute, “Education Trust Fund Budget,” available at https://alabamapolicy.org/education-trust-fund-budget/ (last accessed April 2026).
  130. Strategy Labs, “States with Higher Education Attainment Goals” (Spokane, WA: 2024), available at https://luminafoundation.org/stronger-nation/report/static/States_with_Higher_Education_Attainment_Goals.pdf; Richard D. Kahlenberg, “Policy Strategies for Pursuing Adequate Funding of Community Colleges,” (New York: The Century Foundation, 2018), available at https://tcf.org/content/report/policy-strategies-pursuing-adequate-funding-community-colleges/.
  131. Dziesinsk and others, “A framework for conceptualizing and analyzing equity and adequacy in postsecondary funding models.”
  132. Ibid.
  133. Movement Advancement Project, “Direct Citizen Initiative States,” available at https://www.lgbtmap.org/democracy-maps/direct_citizen_initiative_states (last accessed April 2026); Ballotpedia, “States with initiative or referendum,” available at https://ballotpedia.org/States_with_initiative_or_referendum (last accessed April 2026).
  134. Ballotpedia, “States with initiative or referendum.”
  135. Ibid.
  136. Marianne Goodland, “Colorado voters OK tax hike to raise more money for school meals,” Colorado Politics, November 4, 2025, available at https://www.coloradopolitics.com/2025/11/04/colorado-voters-ok-tax-hike-to-raise-more-money-for-school-meals/; Yes on LL and MM, “About,” available at https://www.yesonllandmm.com/ (last accessed April 2026).
  137. All4Ed, “OpinionatED: Voters’ Views on Education in 2024,” available at https://all4ed.org/publication/voters-views-on-education-in-2024/ (last accessed April 2026).
  138. Phil Oliff and others, “Recent Deep State Higher Education Cuts May Harm Students and the Economy for Years to Come” (Washington: Center on Budget and Policy Priorities, 2013), available at https://www.cbpp.org/research/recent-deep-state-higher-education-cuts-may-harm-students-and-the-economy-for-years-to#:~:text=and%20Michael%20Leachman-,Recent%20Deep%20State%20Higher%20Education%20Cuts%20May%20Harm%20Students%20and,spending%20per%20student%20in%20half.
  139. State Higher Education Executive Officers Association, “State Higher Education Finance: 2024 Report Data”; “State Higher Education Finance: State effort and capacity data.”
  140. U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, “Regional Price Parities by State and Metro Area,” available at https://www.bea.gov/data/prices-inflation/regional-price-parities-state-and-metro-area (last accessed April 2026).
  141. U.S. Department of the Treasury, “Total Taxable Resources,” available at https://home.treasury.gov/policy-issues/economic-policy/total-taxable-resources (last accessed April 2026).
  142. See also State Higher Education Officers Association, “State Spotlight: Illinois,” available at https://shef.sheeo.org/state_spotlight/illinois/ (last accessed March 2026).

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