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How to Avoid Another War in the Middle East

Author Kelly Magsamen explains the likely outcomes of the Trump administration's recent assassination of Iranian commander Gen. Qassem Soleimani and what actions the United States can take to deter future Iranian aggression.

Killing the Iranian commander Qasem Soleimani may well have been the most consequential foreign policy decision of Donald Trump’s presidency. Its repercussions will be felt for days, months, and even years to come—but what exactly they will be depends on what the Trump administration does next.

The strike has been explained by senior U.S. officials as both an effort to deter future Iranian aggression and an act of preventive defense in the face of an imminent attack. Trump and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo are already out crowing with patriotic tweets reminiscent of the “Mission Accomplished” banners rolled out in the first weeks of the Iraq war. But what was true then in Iraq is true now: the crisis will not end here.

The above excerpt was originally published in Foreign Affairs. Click here to view the full article.

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Authors

Kelly Magsamen

Vice President, National Security and International Policy