Center for American Progress

What City Leaders Say Is Helping Drive Down Gun Violence in Their Communities
Report

What City Leaders Say Is Helping Drive Down Gun Violence in Their Communities

Estimates suggest that 2025 marked another historic year of declining gun violence nationwide since the COVID-era surge. Here is what officials from cities seeing the largest declines in gun violence are saying about how they have improved public safety since 2021.

In this article
A group of people stand gathered at a march to denounce gun violence. A man in the foreground raises his fist in the air.
People gather at a march to denounce gun violence in New York City on June 2, 2022. (Getty/Spencer Platt)

Introduction and summary

Homicide rates have plummeted to record lows: Data from the Real-Time Crime Index (RTCI) and the Council on Criminal Justice predict that, based on an estimated homicide rate as low as 4 homicides per 100,000 residents, 2025 may have been the safest year in the United States in recorded history.1 And based on preliminary estimates of more than a 20 percent decline in the nation’s homicide rate from 2024 to 2025, last year would account for the largest single-year drop in the national homicide rate.2 Researchers and policymakers are now asking what lessons can be learned to make communities even safer.3

This field is hidden when viewing the form

Default Opt Ins

This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form

Variable Opt Ins

This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form

Yet this historic public safety achievement cannot be understood by looking at 2025 data alone. Reporting on year-over-year comparisons of crime data fails to account for the broader trend of a decline in crime that much of the country has been experiencing since 2023.4 Following a peak in gun violence and the nation’s homicide rate in 2021,5 the country experienced large single-year drops in the national murder and gun homicide rates in both 2023 and 2024.6 Despite this historic success, public safety officials understand that these trends cannot be taken for granted. To build on the progress already made, officials at all levels of government are asking what has driven it and, more importantly, which solutions they must continue to invest in to ensure these public safety gains are here to stay.

That nearly every region of the country is sharing in these historic public safety gains7 strongly suggests that much of the decline in gun violence over the past four years can be explained by factors playing out nationally, more so than any one intervention or tactic being employed in a particular city. Undoubtedly, the historic recent success of American cities and communities in driving down gun violence was driven in part by a three-level governmental approach to gun violence prevention. In addition to the interventions cities were implementing at the local level, Congress and many state governments improved gun laws and made historic investments in community programs. At the same time, federal agencies under the Biden administration took more action to crack down on crime guns, gun trafficking, and firearm dealers who break the law.8

Even so, national trends can only explain part of the declines experienced over the past four years, especially for the cities that have seen the steepest declines in gun victimizations since 2021. Center for American Progress analysis of data from the Gun Violence Archives (GVA) finds that from 2021 to 2025, 17 of the 50 most populous cities have seen their gun victimization rate decline by more than 50 percent. These cities are:

  1. San Jose, California
  2. Bakersfield, California
  3. Fresno, California
  4. San Diego, California
  5. Columbus, Ohio
  6. Detroit, Michigan
  7. Oakland, California
  8. Denver, Colorado
  9. Chicago, Illinois
  10. District of Columbia
  11. Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
  12. Aurora, Colorado
  13. Portland, Oregon
  14. New York, New York
  15. Austin, Texas
  16. Baltimore, Maryland
  17. Houston, Texas

Seeing how these cities have outpaced an already historic national decline in gun violence over the previous four years is remarkable and can provide lessons as to which interventions—or combination of interventions—have the greatest potential to drive down, and keep down, gun violence in U.S. cities. The fact that many of the cities topping the list of largest declines have used common tactics and invested in similar initiatives should give policymakers additional confidence that strategies such as investing in community violence intervention (CVI) programs, implementing focused deterrence strategies, improving clearance rates by investing in better investigative tools, and standing up coordinated multi-agency responses to gun violence are making American cities safer.

While it is difficult to disentangle which policies and programs contributed the most to historic crime declines amid broader national trends, the lessons local leaders are learning provide invaluable insights into how to successfully put theory into practice. With the release of CAP’s report “Delivering Accountability: A Plan To Stop Crime in Our Communities,” which highlights many of these same evidence-based approaches to public safety, Baltimore Mayor Brandon Scott (D) explained, “… when we need national voices on reducing violence and reforming police … it should be the folks that actually know—mayors, police chiefs, [and] the people on the front line.”9

This report provides more information on the declines in gun violence and violent crime across the nation and highlights the different strategies city officials say have driven down gun violence in their communities.

Background: Largest declines compared with national averages

Almost universally, communities across America are safer from gun violence and violent crime today than they were in 2021. By December 2025, the nationwide 12-month rolling murder sum was 40.5 percent lower than its peak in September 2021, according to RTCI data.10 While cities often get the most attention when it comes to crime trends, rural American counties also experienced a spike in gun violence during the COVID-19 pandemic and have since seen gun violence come down—though at a slower rate than in large metropolitan counties.11

If the surge in gun violence during the pandemic was driven by factors such as disrupted social services, increased substance and alcohol abuse, and social and economic instability,12 then it stands to reason that this trend should reverse as the worst of the pandemic’s effects continue to fade. Additionally, at the height of the pandemic, the federal government stepped in to provide relief to as many communities as possible to deal with the many interconnected crises. Investments made possible through the American Rescue Plan Act (ARPA) and the Bipartisan Safer Communities Act (BSCA)13—not just in crime prevention programs but also in civil services, youth programs, and community infrastructure—likely helped make communities safer and revitalize them when help was needed most.14 At the same time, federal policy changes empowered federal agencies to crack down on serious gun crimes and illegal gun trafficking.

Key federal policies and actions to address gun trafficking and serious gun crimes, 2021-2025

During and in the wake of the pandemic, federal policies to address gun trafficking and serious gun crimes included:

  • In 2021, the Biden administration instructed the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF) to revoke the license of federal firearm licensed dealers known to be repeat and serious violators of federal compliance laws.15 Subsequently, in fiscal years 2023 and 2024, ATF recorded historic highs in the number of revoked licenses from serious violators.16
  • In 2022, ATF issued a rule to regulate the transaction of gun-making kits, which people use to create “ghost guns”—untraceable guns sold by unlicensed dealers, skirting standard background check laws.17 Evidence from Johns Hopkins shows that the enforcement of this rule change was associated with a sharp decline in the number of untraceable crime guns recovered in Baltimore.18
  • In 2022, the BSCA established federal criminal offenses for straw purchasing and gun trafficking. As a result, more than 1,000 people have been charged for illegal firearm trafficking and straw purchasing since 2022.19
  • In 2023, the Biden administration created the first-ever White House Office of Gun Violence Prevention, which helped implement the BSCA and executive actions related to reducing gun trafficking, supported communities affected by gun violence, and coordinated with state and local partners on other ways to prevent gun violence.20
  • Under the direction of the Biden administration, ATF has also been an essential partner for local law enforcement making connections between gun crimes. In fiscal year 2024, ATF’s National Integrated Ballistic Information Network (NIBIN) generated more than 217,000 leads, which help law enforcement build cases and stop repeat offenders.21

The fact that almost every American community, regardless of size, is now seeing its firearm homicide rate decline suggests these factors playing out across the nation can explain much of the trend—but not all of it.

CAP’s analysis of GVA data shows that 17 of the 50 most populous American cities have seen a more than 50 percent decline in their gun victimization rate from 2021 to 2025. When these cities are removed from the data, the rest of the nation saw a decrease of just less than 30 percent in the annual gun victimization rate from 2021 to 2025. Of these 17 cities, San Jose has seen the largest percentage decline in gun violence victimizations—inclusive of both gun homicides and gun injuries—down 71 percent from the 2021 rate.22 Similarly, these cities, on average, experienced larger declines in their homicide rates compared with the rest of the nation from 2021 to 2025,23 according to CAP analysis of RTCI data.

What makes these cities such a success compared with the rest of the nation is that these declines are more than the product of crime trends regressing to a pre-pandemic level. Fourteen of the 17 cities had lower gun victimizations rates in 2025 than in 2019—before the pandemic-era surge. Meanwhile, of the remaining 33 cities among the 50 most populous which did not experience a gun victimization rate decline of more than 50 percent since 2021, only 16 had lower gun victimization rates in 2025 than in 2019.

Moreover, cities such as Chicago, Baltimore, Detroit, and Philadelphia are experiencing historically low murder rates.24 While the overall crime trends in America suggest that a combination of many factors are making cities and communities safer, the historic progress being achieved in these cities can provide insights into how to deliver lasting public safety benefits above and beyond reversing the trend of 2020 and 2021.

Investing in CVI and community-based responses to gun violence

When implemented successfully, CVI programs have been found to deliver significant reductions in homicides and nonfatal shootings.25 These programs, which take an individual approach to stopping future crime and gun violence through intensive case management, counseling, transitional employment, and other services, have been associated with reductions in shooting injuries by more than 60 percent.26 Every city that has seen at least a 50 percent decline in gun victimizations since 2021 has directly invested in, collaborated with, or leveraged state and federal funding to establish or scale up local CVI programs. At least eleven cities—Bakersfield, Fresno, Oakland, Detroit, Chicago, Philadelphia, Aurora, Portland, New York City, Baltimore, and Houston—have programs that received grants from the Community Violence Intervention Program Initiative, a federal grant program administered by the Office of Justice Programs under the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) since 2022, designed specifically to support the expansion of CVI programs and similar models to reduce gun violence.27 San Jose, San Diego, and Oakland all have community-based gun violence reduction programs that have received grant funding from the California Violence Intervention and Prevention Program.28 Austin, Columbus, and Washington, D.C., each collaborate and partner directly with CVI programs operating in high violence neighborhoods, and in 2025, Denver committed $3.1 million of its city budget to specifically support community violence intervention programs.29

What city leaders are saying about how CVI programs are making their cities safer

  • In Chicago, CVI programs such as the Rapid Employment and Development Initiative, Becoming a Man, and Choose 2 Change have all been evaluated to show significant reductions in either shootings, homicides, or arrests for violent crime among participants.30 New research finds that the Chicago areas that received the highest average quarterly investment in CVI and street outreach programs from 2022 to 2024 experienced the largest public safety gains by the end of 2024,31 earning the trust of city leaders. As evidence of how important CVI programs have become in the city’s public safety strategy, in January 2026, Mayor Brandon Johnson (D) hosted a community safety roundtable bringing Chicago Police Department and CVI leaders together.32 At the convening, Deputy Mayor of Community Safety Garien Gatewood spoke to the importance of their collaboration with CVI groups, saying it has been “incredibly effective [at] addressing local hot spots and community needs while preventing potential violent incidents before they happen.”33
  • Researchers estimate that the five longest operating sites of Baltimore’s Safe Streets program reduced homicides by an average of 32 percent during their first four years.34 In February 2026, Mayor Scott commented on the incredible achievements of one site, saying, “When I was growing up in Park Heights, it was unimaginable that this area could go more than a year without a homicide. Now the site has gone over 365 days without a homicide twice since I took office. This is not a coincidence, and neither are the historic reductions in shootings and homicides we are seeing across Baltimore. They are a testament to what is possible when we invest in community members, partners, and frontline violence interrupters all working together to prevent violence in their own communities.”35
  • In Fresno, the Advance Peace Program was found to decrease the rate of all gun-related crimes by 46 percent two years post-intervention,36 confirming what Fresno Mayor Jerry Dyer (R) was seeing on the ground: “Advance Peace intervention specialists have done some great work out there. I know for a fact they’ve stopped shootings. I know that for a fact.”37

Despite their success and the support they are receiving from local officials, CVI programs are facing a budgetary crisis. In April 2025, the Trump administration terminated approximately $500 million in federal grants supporting more than 550 organizations across 48 states,38 putting the sustainability of these programs in jeopardy. Though the administration has signaled its plans to regrant that money, the funds most likely will not go back to the same organizations who were originally obligated them. For example, the DOJ published new rules39 for the Community Based Violence Intervention and Prevention Initiative (CVIPI) grant program, a Biden-era program which has directed more than $300 million to community-based organizations, local governments, and researchers to support CVI work.40 Under the new DOJ rules, community-based organizations are disqualified from applying for grants directly.41 Additionally, the program’s purpose has been rephrased under the new DOJ rules to explicitly support law enforcement, and grantees are now mandated to comply with immigration enforcement.42

Moreover, the annual $50 million in additional funding appropriated for the CVIPI program by the 2022 Bipartisan Safer Communities Act will sunset at the end of this fiscal year.43 Further exacerbating the budgetary crisis facing CVI programs, funding from the ARPA also must be spent by the end of 2026.44 When ARPA passed in 2021, cities with elevated levels of gun violence were encouraged to use the federal funding it provided to invest in community-based prevention programs, making these funds critical to standing up many CVI programs.45 Facing a lack of reliable federal funding to support CVI initiatives that have been successful, cities are already bracing for the impacts and the possibility of scaling down indispensable programs46—which could jeopardize their hard-fought progress.

Focused deterrence and community-oriented policing strategies

Since 2020, police agencies of all sizes have been experiencing increasing staff shortages, with large agencies—those with 250 or more sworn officers—facing the most pronounced challenges.47 Despite this, many cities have seen violent crime, murder, and gun violence drop precipitously. In part, this is because city leaders, responding to the twin crises of having elevated violence and fewer officers to deploy, have followed the evidence to maximize the crime prevention capabilities of police while mitigating harms. Examples from the cities that have seen the largest declines show how city and law enforcement leaders have embraced evidence-based policing strategies, including focused deterrence, hot spot policing, and community-oriented policing.

Under Mayor Scott, Baltimore launched in 2022 its Group Violence Reduction Strategy (GVRS), which leverages police and community partners to identify the small number of individuals who are driving the majority of violent incidents in the city and flood them with resources and opportunities to divert them from high-risk behaviors.48 In the 18 months following the launch of the GVRS pilot, the initiative was estimated to have reduced homicides and shootings by approximately 25 percent in the focus neighborhood of West Baltimore.49 In 2025, the expanded GVRS strategy helped Baltimore see its fewest number of homicides in nearly 50 years.50 Importantly, by focusing policing efforts on the few individuals responsible for a disproportionate amount of violence and giving them opportunities to desist from those behaviors, this strategy has not led to an overall increase in arrests.51

Similarly, with fewer uniformed officers available to deploy, many cities have responded with new and revitalized strategies to maximize the efforts of their police force. Focusing their attention on areas of concentrated violence—otherwise known as “hot spots”—for example, is associated with the largest effects on violent crime.52 However, leaders behind these renewed strategies are mindful that aggressive and indiscriminate enforcement efforts can bring harm to a community if they are not implemented with precision and a commitment to transparency and improving police legitimacy.53 Accordingly, city leaders are championing a community-oriented approach to policing that promotes positive interactions with residents and aims to build trust with community members.54 In Oakland, for example, every uniformed officer is now required to complete procedural justice training, a curriculum designed to promote fairness, respect, and unbiased decision-making during interactions with citizens.55 Similarly, cities are taking innovative approaches to public safety by hiring and dispatching community responders to low-risk service calls so police are able to focus their attention where most needed.56

What city leaders are saying about how community-focused policing can prevent future gun crimes

  • In partnership with the National Institute for Criminal Justice Reform and the California Partnership for Safe Communities, Portland launched the Portland Ceasefire program in June 2023 as part of its enhanced focused deterrence strategy.57 Speaking on the role of the Ceasefire program in driving down gun violence in Portland, the mayor’s director of community safety, Stephanie Howard, said, “I like to think of the ceasefire program as the connective tissue between our police and our police bureau investigations, and how we match people with resources that the city offers, or that the city even is aware of.”58
  • Leaders from San Jose, which reported a 100 percent clearance rate for murders every year from 2022 through September 2025, attribute part of their success in solving crimes to the trust they have earned from the community.59 In an interview with the publication Governing, Lt. John Barg, commented on their police department’s high clearance rates, saying, “I think it’s a reflection of the support we have from our community.”60 Additionally, Amanda Estantino, a member of San Jose’s homicide division, shared this sentiment and spoke on why she believes the department has earned that trust: “I think because we’re very open to them too. We want to provide an answer to the [victim’s] family, to the public, and to ourselves as to what happened so we can prevent this from occurring again, and to provide justice.”61
  • In 2025, New York City recorded its fewest shooting incidents and shooting victims in history.62 Using the principles of hot spot policing to make the subway system safer, the New York City Police Department (NYPD) used a data-driven approach to shift officers onto “trains and platforms where the vast majority of transit crime” occurs.63 As a result, metro riders are reporting feeling safer, NYPD was able to recover an all-time high of 77 firearms, and 2025 was the safest year on the subway since 2009 (excluding 2020).64 NYPD Commissioner Jessica S. Tisch said of the achievement, “The NYPD drove shooting incidents and shooting victims to the lowest levels in recorded history and delivered the safest year on our subway system …These numbers describe an agency that’s firing on all cylinders: taking down violent gangs, removing thousands of guns off the street, and shattering record-low violent crime numbers.”65

Advanced investigative tools and improving clearance rates

An extensive body of research66 on crime suggests that the certainty of being caught and receiving swift consequences for offenses can have a large effect on deterring future crime. CAP’s “Delivering Accountability: A Plan To Stop Crime in Our Communities” emphasizes the importance of swift and certain consequences by calling on Congress to provide additional federal funding to make crime solving resources and tools more available to local law enforcement.

Modern law enforcement requires modern tools and solutions. Leveraging technology that can be used to solve crimes, such as video cameras, ballistics evidence, and license plate readers, can help detectives and investigators make connections between gun crimes and solve cases more quickly. While nationally the clearance rate for murders, violent crime, and property crime remains woefully low, there were improved clearance rates for all types of crime in 2024 compared with the previous four years.67 Investing in crime gun intelligence tools and crime-solving technology will help deliver justice to victims and prevent future crimes.

Leaders from many of the cities seeing the largest declines in gun victimizations point to improving clearance rates—through better use of technology and new investigative approaches—as a factor in preventing future victimizations.

What city leaders are saying about how improving investigative tools and clearance rates can prevent future gun crimes

  • In 2025, the Fresno Police Department reported a 97 percent clearance rate for murders that occurred in 2023 and 2024.68 In addition to the police department improving community engagement while hiring and retaining more officers, Mayor Dyer credited technologies, including ShotSpotter, license plate readers, and ballistic analysis, as being essential to reducing and solving crimes.69
  • Tampa saw its homicide rate drop 52.8 percent from 2024 to 2025.70 Speaking at CAP, Tampa Mayor Jane Castor (D) spoke about how the city is using leads from the NIBIN71 to connect multiple crimes to a single firearm, saying, “We’ve solved a number of crimes through the NIBIN program. … We really are leaning heavily on technology, doesn’t replace officers, but it is a force multiplier in our community.”72
  • In a November 2025 interview on the “Jeff-alytics” podcast, when asked what he attributed Philadelphia’s decline in homicides and shootings to, District Attorney Larry Krasner included the city’s improved use of video surveillance and ballistics forensics as a major factor: “We have been doing a much better job at using forensics to make sure that we solve crimes. … That has included a whole litany of forensics tools that were really not available before, and also some methodology to try and create catalogs and databases of things that will help us to link ballistic evidence to other ballistic evidence. … It just gives such a nice toolbox to detectives who are trying to solve crimes.”73
  • Detroit has been steadily improving its homicide clearance rate since former Mayor Mike Duggan took office in 2014. According to Mayor Duggan, the homicide clearance rate was less than 30 percent in 2014.74 According to data reported to the FBI, Detroit’s homicide clearance rate was 79 percent in 2025.75 Over that span, Detroit has employed numerous tactics to improve its clearance rate, such as operationalizing a citywide crime gun intelligence center in 2019.76 In 2025, Detroit Police Chief Todd Bettison described how Detroit was using community-based prosecution77 to improve case closures: “Having prosecutors embedded in precincts helps them become much more familiar with the patterns and the individuals involved in criminal activity. It also helps to make sure that our officers are developing cases that will withstand prosecutorial review, which has resulted in a rise in the closure rate of nonfatal shooting cases, in particular.”78

Coordinated violence prevention responses

Although these individual approaches to reducing gun violence can be effective, another emerging trend the most successful cities share is that they have stood up a centralized, coordinated response to bring these various efforts together. Whether through the creation of an office of violence prevention (OVP) or by building multi-agency task forces focused on addressing the impacts and root causes of gun violence, the 17 cities seeing the greatest declines over the past four years all have shown what is possible when law enforcement, public health officials, social service providers, and community-based organizations are all working from the same playbook.

As of March 2026, 15 of the 17 cities that have seen the largest declines have opened an OVP.79 The other two cities—Fresno and Aurora—have both launched multi-agency strategic plans or task forces since January 2023 that promote interagency collaboration to identify high-risk individuals connected with gun violence.80 This “whole-of-government” approach to reducing gun violence often includes convening leaders across law enforcement, community-based organizations, and local public health and human services to promote real-time information sharing and interagency planning to leverage the resources and assets of each coalition partner for violence prevention and intervention.81 

What city leaders are saying about why OVPs and strategic plans are making their cities safer 

  • In August 2025, Portland Police Bureau Chief Bob Day dedicated the city homicide reduction to “… [the] Portland Police Bureau members, as well as the strong partnerships we’ve built with community violence prevention programs, local organizations, and outreach workers across the city. While challenges remain, this milestone demonstrates the power of collaboration in making Portland safer for all.”82 Interim Public Safety Deputy City Administrator Bob Cozzie added, “The numbers are encouraging and show our coordinated efforts are saving lives, but too many in our community are still impacted by violence.”83
  • In September 2024, the Center for American Progress interviewed Juan Avila, chief operating officer at Garden Pathways in Bakersfield, who spoke about the success of Bakersfield’s Gun Violence Reduction Strategy and credited its success to being the first time in the city’s history it had a central office “championing” violence intervention work and ensuring collaboration across governmental and nongovernmental stakeholders.84
  • Since 2023, when the Columbus Office of Violence Prevention was established, CAP analysis of GVA data finds that the annual gun victimization rate has gone down by 56.5 percent.85 Speaking on the importance of creating the city’s first OVP and promoting collaboration to improve public safety, Franklin County Prosecutor Shayla Favor told the Columbus Dispatch, “I remain unwavering in my commitment to real, lasting solutions. This crisis can’t be solved in silos.”86
  • In February 2026, Detroit Mayor Mary Sheffield (D) signed an executive order creating the city’s first Office of Neighborhood and Community Safety to “coordinate and strengthen Detroit’s violence prevention, intervention, community transformation and re-entry efforts.”87 Speaking to the newly created office’s promise, Mayor Sheffield said, “Detroit has shown that when we work together, real progress is possible. Our comprehensive approach to public safety is working but sustaining that progress requires continued partnership and further strengthening the bridge between government and neighborhood leaders. This office is ensuring that every neighborhood has the tools and support it needs to be safe and thrive.”88

State gun laws are improving public safety

Unfortunately, many city leaders do not have control over the gun laws governing their cities. At the behest of the gun lobby, 45 states have passed explicit state firearm preemption laws that prohibit local jurisdictions from passing their own gun safety laws.89 Though not in the control of city leaders, the evidence that strong state gun laws reduce gun deaths and victimizations is overwhelming. Restrictive state gun laws reduce overall gun deaths, gun homicides, and suicides committed with a gun, and states with the strongest gun laws consistently report the lowest rates of gun deaths.90 Furthermore, CAP analysis found that states with the strongest gun laws saw the smallest increases in firearm-related homicide rates during the COVID-19 pandemic.91 Seeing how strong state gun laws can help limit gun deaths and protect against surges in gun violence, it is not surprising that of the 17 cities which saw the largest declines in gun victimizations from 2021 to 2025, all but three cities in states receiving grades—Columbus, Houston, and Austin—are located in states with at least a B- gun law grade in 2025, according to the Giffords Law Center to Prevent Gun Violence.92

Likewise, 11 of the 17 cities which saw the largest declines are located in a state with a grade of A or A-, and 10 of those cities are in states in the top 10 of the Giffords Law Center’s rankings for 2025.93 Noticeably, California, which has five cities on this list, has been ranked number one overall in gun law strength for every year Giffords has evaluated, going back to 2012.94

As researchers have found, stronger gun laws mean more lives saved from gun violence.95 Understanding this, state officials have responded to the public health crisis fueled by guns by passing even stronger gun laws to tackle the growing threats of ghost guns, lax gun industry accountability, and the sale of assault weapons. From 2021 to 2025, six states with cities among the 17 with the largest declines—New York, Colorado, Illinois, Oregon, Michigan, and Pennsylvania—improved their grade by strengthening their existing gun laws.96

For example, Colorado, which improved its grade the most from 2021 to 2025, passed a package of six gun safety bills in 2024.97 The package included laws to expand training requirements for permits to carry concealed handguns in Colorado, to expand the definition of sensitive places where guns cannot be carried, and to improve data collection on firearm sales by requiring financial institutions to code for payments related to firearm purchases. Additionally, with the passage of H.B. 24-1353, Colorado made firearm dealers more accountable by enhancing requirements for permitting, employee training, and improving security.98 As research has shown, passing laws regulating firearm dealers, in combination with Colorado’s existing point of sale background check law, is associated with significant reductions in firearm homicides.99 By passing this suite of laws, in addition to banning rapid-fire conversion devices, regulating ghost guns, and other gun safety bills, legislators in Colorado are making their communities safer.100 Since 2024, Denver’s gun victimization rate has dropped by 33.5 percent and Aurora’s gun victimization rate has dropped by 36.9 percent, according to CAP analysis of GVA data.

Conclusion

It is likely that 2025 will be recorded as one of the safest—if not the safest—year on record in terms of the national homicide rate. In the summer of 2021, this feat would have seemed unthinkable given that the homicide rate was trending higher even before the pandemic-era surge.101 The nation has made transformative progress in the years since 2021, as evidenced by the way Americans are now feeling safer in their neighborhoods and public streets.102 The intervention or set of interventions that deserve the majority of the credit will be hard to fully discern given the complex and interconnected nature of the crisis. However, the fact that the cities that saw the greatest declines in gun violence shared many of the same evidence-based strategies and approaches should still be instructive on how to achieve significant and lasting reductions in gun violence. Given the success of the programs enacted by these states, the only mistake that policymakers could make now would be to stop investing in the very solutions that are working. City leaders are bracing for the impact of expiring ARPA dollars and federal support made possible by the Biden administration, and the Trump administration’s attack on many of these crime prevention programs could spell disaster for cities that have worked tirelessly over the past four years to make their residents safer from gun violence. As CAP calls for in its report on delivering accountability, it is time for Congress and state governments to step up and make the necessary commitments to support the work of local officials. If Americans want to continue to see fewer incidents of gun violence in their communities, Congress must act now to ensure funding is available so these shared strategies can be in the playbook of every city leader.

Endnotes

  1. Ernesto Lopez and Bobby Boxerman, “Crime Trends in U.S. Cities: Year-End 2025 Update” (Washington: Council on Criminal Justice, 2026), available at https://counciloncj.org/crime-trends-in-u-s-cities-year-end-2025-update/; Jeff Asher, “How 2025 Could Feature the Lowest US Murder Rate Ever Recorded,” Jeff-alytics, May 12, 2025, available at https://jasher.substack.com/p/how-2025-could-feature-the-lowest; Jeff Asher, “When Has Murder Been This Low?”, Jeff-alytics, February 16, 2026, available at https://jasher.substack.com/p/when-has-murder-been-this-low.
  2. Jeff Asher, “2025 Year in Review: A Remarkable Drop in Crime,” Jeff-alytics, December 22, 2025, available at https://jasher.substack.com/p/2025-year-in-review-a-remarkable; Lopez and Boxerman, “Crime Trends in U.S. Cities: Year-End 2025 Update.”
  3. The Trace, “Gun Homicides Have Plummeted. What Comes Next?”, February 18, 2026, available to watch at https://www.thetrace.org/event/gun-homicides-have-plummeted-what-comes-next/.
  4. Chandler Hall, Nick Wilson, and Rachael Eisenberg, “Nationwide 2024 Crime Data Demonstrate the Value of Violence Prevention and Local Law Enforcement,” Center for American Progress, August 8, 2025, available at https://www.americanprogress.org/article/nationwide-2024-crime-data-demonstrate-the-value-of-violence-prevention-and-local-law-enforcement/; Asher, “2025 Year in Review: A Remarkable Drop in Crime.”
  5. Asher, “When Has Murder Been This Low?”; Chandler Hall, “COVID-19’s Impact on Gun Violence in America” (Washington: Center for American Progress, 2025), available at https://www.americanprogress.org/article/covid-19s-impact-on-gun-violence-in-america/.
  6. Chandler Hall, “In 2023, Gun Violence Trended Down Across the Country,” Center for American Progress, January 31, 2024, available at https://www.americanprogress.org/article/in-2023-gun-violence-trended-down-across-the-country/; Hall, Wilson, and Eisenberg, “Nationwide 2024 Crime Data Demonstrate the Value of Violence Prevention and Local Law Enforcement.”
  7. Lopez and Boxerman, “Crime Trends in U.S. Cities: Year-End 2025 Update.”
  8. Council on Criminal Justice, “Event Recording: More Guns, Less Murder?”, available at https://counciloncj.org/event-recording-more-guns-less-murder/ (last accessed March 2026).
  9. Neera Tanden and Nick Wilson, “Delivering Accountability: A Plan To Stop Crime in Our Communities” (Washington: Center for American Progress, 2026), available at https://www.americanprogress.org/article/delivering-accountability-a-plan-to-stop-crime-in-our-communities/; Center for American Progress, “Delivering Accountability: Stopping Crime in Our Communities,” YouTube, January 29, 2026, available at https://www.youtube.com/live/Y6xtWErDy9k?t=2710s.
  10. Based on author’s calculations of city agency data from the Real-Time Crime Index, available at https://realtimecrimeindex.com/ (last accessed March 2026).
  11. Chandler Hall, “Gun Violence in Rural America Is the Forgotten Public Health Epidemic” (Washington: Center for American Progress, 2026), available at https://www.americanprogress.org/article/gun-violence-in-rural-america-is-the-forgotten-public-health-epidemic/.
  12. John K. Roman, “Explaining the COVID Violence Spike and the Roaring Crime Decline,” External Processing, May 13, 2025, available at https://johnkroman.substack.com/p/explaining-the-covid-violence-spike; Hall, “COVID-19’s Impact on Gun Violence in America”; Constance McGraw and others, “Examining trends in gun violence injuries before and during the COVID-19 pandemic across six trauma centers,” Trauma Surgery and Acute Care Open 7 (2022), available at https://tsaco.bmj.com/content/tsaco/7/1/e000801.full.pdf.
  13. Akua Amaning, “The American Rescue Plan Has Helped State and Local Governments Invest in Community Safety” (Washington: Center for American Progress, 2022), available at https://www.americanprogress.org/article/the-american-rescue-plan-has-helped-state-and-local-governments-invest-in-community-safety/; Nick Wilson, Chandler Hall, Allison Jordan, “The Bipartisan Safer Communities Act, 1 Year Later” (Washington: Center for American Progress, 2023), available at https://www.americanprogress.org/article/the-bipartisan-safer-communities-act-1-year-later/.
  14. John K. Roman, “The secret is in the sauce, not on the label,” External Processing, February 1, 2026, available at https://johnkroman.substack.com/p/the-secret-is-in-the-sauce-not-on.
  15. Chip Brownlee and Champe Barton, “Trump Administration Ends Zero-Tolerance Policy for Lawbreaking Gun Dealers,” The Trace, April 7, 2025, available at https://www.thetrace.org/2025/04/atf-bondi-gun-store-license-biden-policy/.
  16. Johns Hopkins Center for Gun Violence Solutions, “The Supreme Court Upholds Regulations on Ghost Guns,” March 26, 2025, available at https://publichealth.jhu.edu/center-for-gun-violence-solutions/2025/the-supreme-court-upholds-regulations-on-ghost-guns.
  17. Nick Wilson, “The Trump Administration’s Budget Will Undermine ATF’s Efforts To Prevent Violent Crime” (Washington: Center for American Progress, 2025), available at https://www.americanprogress.org/article/the-trump-administrations-budget-will-undermine-atfs-efforts-to-prevent-violent-crime/.
  18. Everytown for Gun Safety, “What the White House Office of Gun Violence Prevention Has Accomplished In Its First Year,” September 20, 2024, available at https://www.everytown.org/white-house-office-of-gun-violence-prevention-accomplished-first-year/; Chip Brownlee, “The Legacy of the White House Office of Gun Violence Prevention,” The Trace, February 4, 2025, available at https://www.thetrace.org/2025/02/white-house-gun-violence-rob-wilcox/.
  19. Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives, “National Integrated Ballistic Information Network (NIBIN),” available at https://www.atf.gov/firearms/tools-services-law-enforcement/national-integrated-ballistic-information-network-nibin (last accessed March 2026).
  20. In 2021, San Jose was the location of the most lethal mass shooting in the Bay Area, when nine lives were taken in a single mass shooting event. San Jose recorded 39 total firearm homicides in 2021, according to GVA data, meaning this single event made up 23 percent of all firearm homicides that year. See City of San Jose, “San José Mayor Marks One Year Since VTA Rail Yard Tragedy,” Press release, May 26, 2022, available at https://www.sanjoseca.gov/Home/Components/News/News/4148/4699.
  21. Based on author’s calculations of city agency data from the Real-Time Crime Index. Calculations are based on total murders reported by the RTCI from 16 of the 17 cities highlighted; data from Oakland are not included in the RTCI database.
  22. Violet Miller, Kade Heather, and Sophie Sherry, “Chicago records fewest killings since 1965, despite Trump’s campaign against city,” WBEZ Chicago, January 2, 2026, available at https://www.wbez.org/criminal-justice/2026/01/02/chicago-crime-murder-homicide-shooting-president-trump-mayor-johnson; Katie Mettler, “Baltimore has cut homicides by almost 60 percent in five years,” The Washington Post, January 6, 2026, available at https://www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/2026/01/06/baltimore-crime-rates-homicides/; City of Detroit, “Mayor Sheffield joins law enforcement, community partners to announce another historic drop in violent crime in 2025; all categories of major crimes see reductions,” Press release, January 7, 2026, available https://detroitmi.gov/news/mayor-sheffield-joins-law-enforcement-community-partners-announce-another-historic-drop-violent; Ellie Rushing and Jillian Kramer, “Philadelphia records the fewest homicides in nearly 60 years, plus other insights to 2025’s crime,” The Philadelphia Inquirer, January 2, 226, available https://www.inquirer.com/crime/crime-rate-philadelphia-2025-homicides-20260102.html.
  23. Daniel W. Webster, Carla G. Tilchin, and Mitchell L. Doucette, “Estimating the Effects of Safe Streets Baltimore on Gun Violence” (Baltimore, MD: Johns Hopkins Center for Gun Violence Solutions, 2023), available at https://publichealth.jhu.edu/sites/default/files/2023-10/estimating-the-effects-of-safe-streets-baltimore-on-gun-violence-july-2023.pdf.
  24. Nick Wilson, Arnitta R. Holliman, and Chandler Hall, “What Are Community Violence Intervention Programs?”, Center for American Progress, June 25, 2024, available at https://www.americanprogress.org/article/what-are-community-violence-intervention-programs/; Sheyla A. Delgado and others, “The Effects of Cure Violence in the South Bronx and East New York, Brooklyn,” John Jay Research and Evaluation Center, October 2, 2017, available at https://johnjayrec.nyc/2017/10/02/cvinsobronxeastny/.
  25. U.S. Department of Justice Office of Justice Programs, “Community Violence Intervention,” available at https://www.ojp.gov/archive/topics/community-violence-intervention (last accessed February 2026).
  26. California Board of State and Community Corrections, “California Violence Intervention and Prevention Program,” available at https://www.bscc.ca.gov/s_cpgpcalvipgrant/ (last accessed February 2026).
  27. Austin Public Health, “Office of Violence Prevention Programs,” available at https://www.austintexas.gov/page/office-violence-prevention-programs (last accessed February 2026); The City of Columbus, “Violence Prevention Resources,” available at https://www.columbus.gov/Government/Mayors-Office/Initiatives/Violence-Prevention/Violence-Prevention-Resources (last accessed March 2026); DC Office of Neighborhood Safety and Engagement, “Violence Intervention Initiative,” available https://onse.dc.gov/service/violence-intervention-initiative (last accessed February 2026); Giffords Law Center to Prevent Gun Violence, “Denver dedicates $3.1 million to community violence intervention for the first time,” Press release, November 11, 2025, available at https://giffords.org/press-release/2025/11/denver-dedicates-3-1-million-to-community-violence-intervention-for-the-first-time/.
  28. Monica P. Bhatt and others, “Predicting and Preventing Gun Violence: An Experimental Evaluation of READI Chicago” (Springfield, IL: Illinois Department of Corrections, 2023), available at https://idoc.illinois.gov/content/dam/soi/en/web/idoc/reportsandstatistics/documents/READI-Jan2023.pdf; University of Chicago Crime Lab, ”Becoming a Man,” available at https://crimelab.uchicago.edu/projects/becoming-a-man-bam/ (last accessed January 2026); University of Chicago Crime Lab, “Building safer communities: Behavioral science innovations in youth violence prevention” (Chicago: 2024), available at https://crimelab.uchicago.edu/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2024/09/UChicago-Crime-Lab-C2C-Brief-10-2024.pdf.
  29. Center for Neighborhood Engaged Research and Science, “Government Alliance for Safe Communities: 2025 Impact Report” (Chicago, IL: 2026), available at https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/634dd45091db1de63b7112d9/69962959b220dcd5538fd125_GASC%202025%20Impact%20Report.pdf.
  30. City of Chicago Office of the Mayor, “Mayor Brandon Johnson convenes CPD And CVI Leaders For Community Safety Roundtable,” January 14, 2026, available at https://www.chicago.gov/city/en/depts/mayor/press_room/press_releases/2026/january/community-safety-roundtable.html.
  31. Ibid.
  32. Webster, Tilchin, and Doucette, “Estimating the Effects of Safe Streets Baltimore on Gun Violence.”
  33. City of Baltimore, “Safe Streets Park Heights Achieves Over 365 Days with No Homicides,” Press release, February 4, 2026, available at https://www.baltimorecity.gov/mayor/news-media/press-releases/2026-02-04-safe-streets-park-heights-achieves-over-365-days-with-no-homicides.
  34. Xing Gao and others, “Evaluating advance peace in Fresno, California: An interrupted times series analysis of a community-based gun violence intervention,” PLOS One 20 (12) (2025), available at https://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0328780.
  35. Elinor Simek, “Two years after violence intervention program launches in Fresno, gun-related crimes are cut by nearly half,” UC Berkeley Public Health, September 20, 2025, available at https://publichealth.berkeley.edu/articles/spotlight/research/fresno-gun-crimes-cut-by-nearly-half.
  36. Amy Solomon and Betsy Pearl, “DOJ Funding Cuts: More Than 550 Organizations Impacted, New Analysis Finds” (Washington: Council on Criminal Justice, 2025), available at https://counciloncj.org/doj-funding-cuts-more-than-550-organizations-impacted-new-analysis-finds/#1; Amy Solomon and Betsy Pearl, Council on Criminal Justice, “DOJ Funding Update: A Deeper Look at the Cuts” (Washington: Council on Criminal Justice, 2026), available at https://counciloncj.org/doj-funding-update-a-deeper-look-at-the-cuts/.
  37. U.S. Department of Justice Bureau of Justice Assistance, “FY25 Office of Justice Programs Community Based Violence Intervention and Prevention Initiative (CVIPI),” 2025, available at https://www.ojp.gov/funding/docs/bja-2025-172468.pdf.
  38. U.S. Department of Justice Office of Justice Programs, “Community Violence Intervention”; Abené Clayton, “Gun violence prevention groups disqualified from grants built around their work,” The Guardian, October 26, 2025, available at https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/oct/26/gun-violence-prevention-non-profit-grants-disqualified.
  39. Urban Peace Institute, “Concerns Regarding Recent Changes to DOJ CVIPI Funding,” October 24, 2025, available at https://www.urbanpeaceinstitute.org/concerns-regarding-recent-changes-to-doj-cvipi-funding/.
  40. Ibid.
  41. Wilson, Hall, Jordan, “The Bipartisan Safer Communities Act, 1 Year Later.”
  42. Jordyn Taylor, “How Localities are Planning for the End of the American Rescue Plan Act,” National League of Cities, September 24, 2025, available at https://www.nlc.org/article/2025/09/24/how-localities-are-planning-for-the-end-of-the-american-rescue-plan-act/.
  43. Jule Pattison-Gordon, “ARPA Reduced Violence. Local Governments Look to Sustain the Gains,” Governing, June 4, 2025, available at https://www.governing.com/policy/arpa-reduced-violence-local-governments-look-to-sustain-the-gains; Amaning, “The American Rescue Plan Has Helped State and Local Governments Invest in Community Safety”; National Institute for Criminal Justice Reform, “Investing in Community Violence Intervention: Successes and Challenges” (Oakland, CA: 2025), available at https://nicjr.org/files/galleries/Investing_in_CVI_Successes_And_Challenges_%E2%80%93_A_Profile_of_Three_Cities_6_2025-0001.pdf.
  44. Pattison-Gordon, “ARPA Reduced Violence. Local Governments Look to Sustain the Gains.”
  45. Police Executive Research Forum, “Responding to the Staffing Crisis: Innovations in Recruitment and Retention” (Washington: 2023), available at https://www.policeforum.org/assets/RecruitmentRetention.pdf; Police Executive Research Forum, “New PERF survey shows police agencies have turned a corner with staffing challenges,” Press release, April 27, 2024, available at https://www.policeforum.org/staffing2024#:~:text=April%2027%2C%202024-,New%20PERF%20survey%20shows%20police%20agencies%20have%20turned%20a%20corner,it%20was%20in%20January%202020.
  46. City of Baltimore, “Group Violence Reduction Strategy (GVRS),” available at https://www.baltimorecity.gov/monse/gun-violence-intervention/gvrs (last accessed February 2026); Max Kapustin and others, “Analyzing the Impact of Baltimore’s Group Violence Reduction Strategy in the Western District” (Philadelphia, PA: University of Pennsylvania Crime and Justice Policy Lab, 2024), available at https://crimejusticelab.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/GVRS-Baltimore-Evaluation-Public-Summary-vFINAL.pdf.
  47. Ibid.
  48. City of Baltimore, “Mayor Brandon M. Scott Highlights Historic Reductions in Violent Crime in 2025,” Press release, January 5, 2026, available at https://www.baltimorecity.gov/mayor/news-media/press-releases/2026-01-05-mayor-brandon-m-scott-highlights-historic-reductions-in-violent-crime-in-2025.
  49. Kapustin and others, “Analyzing the Impact of Baltimore’s Group Violence Reduction Strategy in the Western District”; Center for American Progress, “Delivering Accountability: Stopping Crime in Our Communities.”
  50. National Research Council of the National Academies, “Fairness and Effectiveness in Policing” (Washington: National Academies Press, 2004), available at https://nap.nationalacademies.org/catalog/10419/fairness-and-effectiveness-in-policing-the-evidence; Anthony A. Braga and others, “Hot spots policing of small geographic areas effects on crime,” Campbell Systematic Reviews 15 (3) (2019), available at https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC8356500/.
  51. Center for American Progress, “Delivering Accountability: Stopping Crime in Our Communities.”
  52. Ibid.
  53. City of Oakland, “Procedural Justice and Police Legitimacy,” available at https://www.oaklandca.gov/Public-Safety-Streets/Police/OPD-Policies-and-Resources/Procedural-Justice-and-Police-Legitimacy (last accessed March 2026); David Weisburd and others, “Does a rising tide lift all boats?: Evidence from a multicity randomized trial of procedural justice in hot spots policing,” Criminology 64 (1) (2025), available at https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1745-9125.70025?af=R.
  54. Allie Preston, Rachael Eisenberg, and Kirby Gaherty, “Expanding the Public Safety Workforce,” (Washington: Center for American Progress, 2025), available https://www.americanprogress.org/article/expanding-the-public-safety-workforce/; Courtney Vaughn, “As Crime and Murder Rates Drop in Portland, Mayor Wheeler Pushes a New Narrative,” Portland Mercury, January 25, 2024, available at https://www.portlandmercury.com/news/2024/01/25/46999948/as-crime-and-murder-rates-drop-in-portland-mayor-wheeler-pushes-a-new-narrative.
  55. City of Portland, “Gun Violence Reduction” available at https://www.portland.gov/wheeler/gun-violence (last accessed February 2026); City of Portland, “About Ceasefire,” available at https://www.portland.gov/community-safety/ceasefire/about-ceasefire (last accessed February 2026).
  56. Vaughn, “As Crime and Murder Rates Drop in Portland, Mayor Wheeler Pushes a New Narrative.”
  57. Robert Salonga, “How San Jose Police Solve So Many Homicides,” Governing, September 2, 2025, available at https://www.governing.com/urban/how-san-jose-police-solve-so-many-homicides.
  58. Ibid.
  59. Ibid.
  60. New York City Police Department, “NYPD Announces Safest Year Ever for Gun Violence with Fewest Shooting Incidents and Shooting Victims in Recorded History,” Press release, January 6, 2026, available at https://www.nyc.gov/site/nypd/news/PR001/nypd-safest-year-ever-gun-violence-fewest-shooting-incidents-shooting.
  61. Governor Katy Hochul, “Safer Streets: Governor Hochul, Mayor Mamdani, Police Commissioner Tisch Announce Crime in New York City Continued to Fall in 2025, New York Remains the Safest Big City in the Nation,” Press release, January 6, 2026, available at https://www.governor.ny.gov/news/safer-streets-governor-hochul-mayor-mamdani-police-commissioner-tisch-announce-crime-new-york.
  62. Ibid.
  63. Ibid.
  64. National Institute of Justice, “Five Things About Deterrence,” June 5, 2016, available at https://nij.ojp.gov/topics/articles/five-things-about-deterrence; Center for Court Innovation and Bureau of Justice Assistance, “Evidence-Based Strategies for Working with Offenders” (Washington: U.S. Department of Justice, 2014), available at https://www.innovatingjustice.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/Evid-Based-Strategies.pdf; Daniel S. Nagin, “Deterrence in the Twenty-First Century,” Crime and Justice in America 42 (1) (2013): 199–263, available at https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/670398.
  65. Jeff Asher, “Actually, Murder Clearance Rates Probably Rose A Good Bit in 2024,” Jeff-alytics, June 30, 2025, available at https://jasher.substack.com/p/actually-murder-clearance-rates-probably.
  66. Anthony W. Haddad, “Fresno Police Report 2024 Violent Crime Drop, Homicides Fall to 30,” GV Wire, January 6, 2025, https://gvwire.com/2025/01/06/fresno-police-report-2024-violent-crime-drop-homicides-fall-to-30/.
  67. Ibid.
  68. Major Cities Chiefs Association, “Violent Crime Survey – National Totals,” February 4, 2026, available at https://majorcitieschiefs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/MCCA-Violent-Crime-Report-2025-and-2024-Year-End.pdf?utm_source=newsletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=newsletter_axiosam&stream=top.
  69. Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives, “National Integrated Ballistic Information Network (NIBIN).”
  70. Center for American Progress, “Delivering Accountability: Stopping Crime in Our Communities.”
  71. AH Datalytics, “Episode 6: Data and the Prosecutor with Philadelphia District Attorney Larry Krasner,” The Jeff-alytics Podcast, November 19, 2025, available at https://www.ahdatalytics.com/jeff-alytics_podcast/.
  72. Christina Hall, “Detroit homicides, shootings, carjackings all declining so far in 2025, Duggan says,” Detroit Free Press, October 6, 2025, available at https://www.freep.com/story/news/local/michigan/detroit/2025/10/06/violent-crime-detroit-decline-2025/86546769007/.
  73. Author’s calculation of data from the FBI Crime Data Explorer, available at https://cde.ucr.cjis.gov/LATEST/webapp/#/pages/explorer/crime/crime-trend (last accessed February 2026).
  74. Alaina De Biasi, “The impact of the Detroit crime gun intelligence center on fatal and nonfatal shooting clearance rates,” Journal of Criminal Justice 94 (2024), available at https://pceinc.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/20240722-%E2%80%93-The-Impact-of-the-Detroit-Crime-Gun-Intelligence-Center.pdf.
  75. Thomas J. Miles, “Does the ‘Community Prosecution’ Strategy Reduce Crime? A Test of Chicago’s Experience,” American Law and Economics Review 16 (1) (2014), available at https://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/24735699.pdf.
  76. City of Detroit, “3rd Quarter numbers show 2025 violent crime in Detroit dropping far beyond historic 2024 results,” Press release, October 6, 2025, available https://detroitmi.gov/news/3rd-quarter-numbers-show-2025-violent-crime-detroit-dropping-far-beyond-historic-2024-results.
  77. Based on offices recognized by the National Office of Violence Prevention Network, available at https://ovpnetwork.org/; California Governor Gavin Newsom, “Governor Newsom awards $107 million to prevent gun violence and improve community safety across state,” Press release, February 19, 2026, available at https://www.gov.ca.gov/2026/02/19/governor-newsom-awards-107-million-to-prevent-gun-violence-and-improve-community-safety-across-state/.
  78. Fresno County Sheriff’s Office, “Targeted Violence Prevention Task Force,” available at https://www.fresnosheriff.org/report-a-crime-online/targeted-violence-prevention-task-force.html (last accessed February 2026); City of Aurora, “SAVE (Standing Against Violence Every Day),” available at https://www.auroragov.org/residents/youth_resources/youth_violence_prevention_program/s_a_v_e___standing_against_violence_every_day_(last accessed February 2026).
  79. National Institute for Criminal Justice Reform, “Office of Violence Prevention Fact Sheet,” May 3, 2024, available at https://ovpnetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/05/OVP-Factsheet-Final-5.3.24.pdf.
  80. City of Portland, “Portland Sees Decline in Violent Crime; Homicides Down 51% in First Half of 2025,” available at https://www.portland.gov/mayor/keith-wilson/news/2025/8/8/portland-sees-decline-violent-crime-homicides-down-51-first-half.
  81. Ibid.
  82. Chander Hall, “2024 Sees Smallest Summer Surge in Gun Violence Rates in 6 Year” (Washington: Center for American Progress, 2024), available at https://www.americanprogress.org/article/2024-sees-smallest-summer-surge-in-gun-violence-rates-in-6-years/.
  83. National Institute for Criminal Justice Reform and the City of Columbus, “Columbus, Ohio: Landscape Analysis” (Columbus, OH: 2024), available at https://www.columbus.gov/files/sharedassets/city/v/1/mayor/initiatives/violence-prevention/columbus-landscape-analysis-for-print-2.pdf.
  84. Sophia Veneziano, “How is central Ohio combatting gun violence? A look at resources available,” The Columbus Dispatch, July 20, 2025, available at https://www.dispatch.com/story/lifestyle/features/2025/07/20/gun-violence-in-columbus-what-community-resources-exist/84027398007/.
  85. City of Detroit, “Mayor Sheffield launches Mayor’s Office of Neighborhood and Community Safety to strengthen violence prevention and community well-being,” Press release, February 23, 2026, available at https://detroitmi.gov/news/mayor-sheffield-launches-mayors-office-neighborhood-and-community-safety-strengthen-violence.
  86. Ibid.
  87. Giffords Law Center to Prevent Gun Violence, “Preemption of Local Laws,” available at https://giffords.org/lawcenter/gun-laws/policy-areas/other-laws-policies/preemption-of-local-laws/ (last accessed February 2026).
  88. Patrick Sharkey and Megan Kang, “The Era of Progress on Gun Mortality: State Gun Regulations and Gun Deaths from 1991 to 2016,” Epidemiology 34 (6) (2023): 786–792, available at https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/37732847/; Giffords Law Center to Prevent Gun Violence, “Annual Gun Law Scorecard,” available at https://giffords.org/lawcenter/resources/scorecard/ (last accessed February 2026).
  89. Hall, “COVID-19’s impact on Gun Violence in America.”
  90. Washington, D.C., does not receive a grade from the Giffords Law Center.
  91. Giffords Law Center to Prevent Gun Violence, “Annual Gun Law Scorecard.”
  92. Ibid.
  93. Sharkey and Kang, “The Era of Progress on Gun Mortality: State Gun Regulations and Gun Deaths from 1991 to 2016.”
  94. Giffords Law Center to Prevent Gun Violence, “Annual Gun Law Scorecard.”
  95. Moms Demand Action for Gun Sense in America, “Everytown, Moms Demand Action, Students Demand Action Applaud Colorado Governor Jared Polis for Signing Into Law Critical Gun Safety Measures to Reduce Gun-Related Crimes,” Press release, May 17, 2024, available at https://momsdemandaction.org/press/everytown-moms-demand-action-students-demand-action-applaud-colorado-governor-jared-polis-for-signing-into-law-critical-gun-safety-measures-to-reduce-gun-related-crimes/.
  96. Firearms Dealer Requirements & Permit, H.B. 24-1353, Colorado General Assembly, 75th assembly, 2nd sess. (2024), available at https://leg.colorado.gov/bills/hb24-1353.
  97. Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives, “Brady State Lists,” available at https://www.atf.gov/rules-and-regulations/laws-alcohol-tobacco-firearms-and-explosives/gun-control-act/brady-law/brady-state-lists (last accessed February 2026); Everytown for Gun Safety, “Gun Laws in Colorado,” available at https://everytownresearch.org/rankings/state/colorado/ (last accessed March 2026); Alexander D. McCourt and others, “Purchaser Licensing, Point-of-Sale Background Check Laws, and Firearm Homicide and Suicide in 4 US States, 1985–2017,” American Journal of Public Health (2020), available at https://ajph.aphapublications.org/doi/10.2105/AJPH.2020.305822.
  98. Semiautomatic Firearms & Rapid-Fire Devices, S.B. 25-003, Colorado General Assembly, 75th assembly, 2nd sess. (2025), available at https://leg.colorado.gov/bills/sb25-003; Unserialized Firearms And Firearm Components, S.B. 23-279, Colorado General Assembly, 75th assembly (2023), available at https://leg.colorado.gov/bills/sb23-279; Colorado Governor Jared Polis, “Governor Polis Signs Laws to Improve Public Safety,” April 10, 2025, available at https://governorsoffice.colorado.gov/governor/news/governor-polis-signs-laws-improve-public-safety.
  99. Hall, “COVID-19’s impact on Gun Violence in America”; Asher, “When Has Murder Been This Low?”
  100. Megan Brenan, “Crime in U.S. Seen as Less Serious for Second Straight Year,” Gallup, October 30, 2025, available at https://news.gallup.com/poll/697124/crime-seen-less-serious-second-straight-year.aspx#:~:text=Americans’%20Improved%20Perceptions%20of%20Crime,call%20local%20crime%20very%20serious.

The positions of American Progress, and our policy experts, are independent, and the findings and conclusions presented are those of American Progress alone. American Progress would like to acknowledge the many generous supporters who make our work possible.

Author

Chandler Hall

Associate Director, Public Safety

Team

Public Safety

Protecting people from crime is one of the government’s most fundamental and urgent responsibilities. However, the current reality is that too many crimes go unsolved and too many victims lack justice. The Center for American Progress is committed to advancing evidence-based policies that keep individuals safe by solving crime when it happens, ensuring swift and certain accountability for those who harm others, and preventing crime in the first place.

This field is hidden when viewing the form

Default Opt Ins

This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form

Variable Opt Ins

This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form
This field is hidden when viewing the form

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.