States of Change

Discussions on Demographics and Democracy

It is no secret that America’s increasing demographic changes will have far-reaching policy implications at the national and local levels. The States of Change: Demographics and Democracy project — a groundbreaking collaboration between the Center for American Progress (CAP), AEI, and demographer William Frey of the Brookings Institution — is proud to present its first-year results during a public conference led by some of America’s leading political analysts. Project results that will be discussed include a trend analysis of 40 years of national and state-by-state demographic change in the United States —particularly as it has affected the pool of eligible voters — and projections of the racial composition of every state through 2060, both overall and by eligible voters.

Please join CAP, AEI, Frey, and an array of distinguished experts for a series of research presentations and wide-ranging, bipartisan discussions of America’s demographic future and the challenges it will present for political parties and effective governance.

Introduction:
Karlyn Bowman, Senior Fellow and Research Coordinator, American Enterprise Institute
Neera Tanden, President, Center for American Progress

Panel 1:

Shifting Demographics and the 2016 Election
This panel will focus on project findings involving trends in the American electorate, including predictions of electoral composition in 2016.

Presentation:
Ruy Teixeira, Senior Fellow, Center for American Progress
William H. Frey, Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution

Featured panelists:
Matt Barreto, Co-Founder, Latino Decisions
Ron Brownstein, Editorial Director, Atlantic Media
Michael Dimock, President, Pew Research Center

Moderator:
Karlyn Bowman, Senior Fellow and Research Coordinator, American Enterprise Institute

Panel 2
Long-Term Demographic Change and the American Electorate, 1974–2060
This panel will highlight project findings on long-term demographic change, including predictions of the racial composition of the states in the next 45 years.

Presentation:
William H. Frey, Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution
Ruy Teixeira, Senior Fellow, Center for American Progress

Featured panelists:
Alan I. Abramowitz, Alben W. Barkley Professor of Political Science, Emory University
Henry Olsen, Senior Fellow, Ethics and Public Policy Center

Moderator:
Karlyn Bowman, Senior Fellow and Research Coordinator, American Enterprise Institute

Lunchtime discussion:
Demographic Change: How Should the Parties Respond?

Speakers:
Whit Ayres, Founder and President, North Star Opinion Research
Geoff Garin, President, Hart Research Associates

Panel 3:
Implications of Demographic Change: The Future of Government, the Market, and Social Life

Featured panelists:
Elaine Kamarck, Brookings Institution
Reihan Salam, Policy Fellow, National Review Institute
Paul Taylor, Author of The Next America: Boomers, Millennials and the Looming Generational Showdown

Moderator:
Neera Tanden, President, Center for American Progress