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This Week
  • Climate Change on the Move, Michael Werz and Kari Manlove
  • Paying for Our Wars, Lawrence Korb
  • Attacks Highlight Uneven Progress in Iraq, Brian Katulis
  • Rape and Murder, Funded by Cell Phones, Sasha Lezhnev and John Prendergast
  • Engagement with Iran: An Assessment of Options, Karim Sadjadpour
  • America is Serious About Climate Action, Andrew Light, Julian Wong, Kari Manlove, and Saya Kitasei
  • The U.N. Convention in Copenhagen 101, Rebecca Lefton, Andrew Light, Kari Manlove, and Daniel Weiss
Expert Commentary
  • China's Shift on Climate Change, Nina Hachigian
  • Making It Work in Afghanistan, Caroline Wadhams
  • Russia's Role in Climate Talks, Samuel Charap
  • Pakistani Anxieties Over Obama Plans, Brian Katulis
  • Lessons from History, Lawrence Korb
This Week

Michael Werz and Kari Manlove, "Climate Change on the Move" Center for American Progress, December 8, 2009
Fast forward to the year 2050. The world’s population will be up to 9 billion people according to the United Nations—an increase of one-third. More than 90 percent of this growth will take place in developing countries. Estimates also predict that 200 million people will be newly mobilized as climate migrants by 2050 due to global warming’s effects. This increased migration will very likely affect global security, which makes it imperative for the United States and other nations to begin formulating responses to climate migration now.

Click here to read the full report.

Lawrence Korb, "Paying for Our Wars," Huffington Post, December 8, 2009
Now that President Obama has decided to send 30,000 more troops to Afghanistan the question of how to pay for this increased level of operations has arisen. In fact the question of how to pay for the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan should have been raised shortly after the attacks of 9-11 when the Bush administration decided to overthrow the regimes in both of those countries.

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Brian Katulis, "Attacks Highlight Uneven Progress in Iraq," Center for American Progress, December 8, 2009
Rejectionist elements in Iraq will probably try to disrupt the uneven progress in Iraq’s political transition as today’s attacks show, but Iraqis have shown an increasing desire and fortitude to move ahead. The unanswered question is whether they will move ahead in a way that addresses or exacerbates unresolved tensions over sharing power. America’s role and leverage will continue to diminish, and Iraq is increasingly standing on its own. Time will tell whether the new Iraq aligns with U.S. interests in the region or not.

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Sasha Lezhnev and John Prendergast, "Rape and Murder, Funded by Cell Phones," CNN Opinion, December 8, 2009
Are the government and company actions taken to date enough to stop the conflict minerals trade from continuing? The answer is no. Electronics companies must invest in a system to certify that the minerals used in their products are verifiably conflict-free. They must work with their suppliers to trace the minerals back to their mines of origin and have independent audits conducted of these supply chains so that we know with verified proof that none has passed through the hands of armed groups.

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Karim Sadjadpour, "Engagement with Iran: An Assessment of Options," Middle East Bulletin interview, December 8, 2009
I think the door of dialogue and engagement will remain open, but the Obama administration will be forced into policies—sanctions and other punitive measures—they would have liked to avoid. In contrast to the Bush administration, I think the Europeans, and even the Russians and Chinese, recognize that since Obama's inauguration last June the United States has made numerous overtures to Iran, made a good-faith diplomatic effort to change the tone and context of the U.S.-Iran relationship, but Tehran was either unable or unwilling to reciprocate. ... For many years now, so many of us have argued that if the U.S. can engage Iran and reintegrate it in the international community and open up its economy, this would foment political reform in Tehran. I think people fail to realize that Khamenei understands that argument very well, in fact he probably agrees with it, and for precisely that reason he's resisted confidence building with the U.S.

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Andrew Light, Julian Wong, Kari Manlove, and Saya Kitasei, "America is Serious About Climate Action," Center for American Progress, December 7, 2009
President Barack Obama and the United States’ leadership in the upcoming U.N. climate change conference in Copenhagen will be instrumental to a successful outcome. The United States is the world’s largest historical and per-capita emitter of greenhouse gases. We cannot hope to meet the goal of limiting increases in global temperatures to 2 degrees Celsius without U.S. participation in a new international convention to limit carbon pollution. Getting to that agreement will require an unprecedented level of international cooperation. Yet the United States’ notable inaction on climate change for eight years under the Bush administration has left a legacy of mistrust.

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Rebecca Lefton, Andrew Light, Kari Manlove, and Daniel Weiss, "The U.N. Convention in Copenhagen 101," Center for American Progress, December 7, 2009
The ingredients for a successful outcome at Copenhagen are all there. We are on track to set the architecture for a legally binding agreement in 2010 by following a two-step Danish proposal supported by President Barack Obama and finalizing an interim agreement at the meeting. Here’s how actions by the Obama administration and international community have moved us toward establishing an international agreement to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and why doing so will help every nation.

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Expert Commentary

The Diplomat - Nina Hachigian analyzes recent Chinese decisions to commit to specific limits on carbon emissions: "I think recognition of its long term interests, plus this intense international political pressure, has been enough to have China take this first important step to agreeing to a goal ... you can’t really have an international deal without that."

Ask the Expert - Caroline Wadhams discusses next steps for the administration's implementation of its new strategy for Afghanistan: "many of the factors that will determine the mission's success are largely outside U.S. control... if President Karzai continues to empower abusive or predatory people within his government, if he is unable to clean up the corruption then it will be very difficult for the international mission to actually move forward."

Washington Post - Samuel Charap describes Russia's role in climate talks as "the elephant in the room that nobody is paying attention to", warning that "if you want an ambitious agreement, then Russia's potential resistance can be extremely damaging".

Stars and Stripes - Brian Katulis says that Pakistani reaction to elements of President Obama's speech on Afghanistan policy has been cautious; despite efforts to build greater trust between the two countries, the relationship is still seen as one where “we send them money and they do what we tell them”.

USA Today - Lawrence Korb argues that President Obama's Afghan strategy takes into account historical lessons: "Setting limited goals, a withdrawal date and getting international support ensures that Afghanistan won't be Obama's Vietnam, or a repeat of Britain and Russia's experiences."


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