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This Week
  • Advancing Sustainable Security in South Asia, Brian Katulis
  • Our Faustian Bargains in Afghanistan, Caroline Wadhams, Colin Cookman, and Christina Misunas
  • Jordanian-Israeli Relations, Assaf David
  • The View from Amman, Prince Zeid Ra'ad Al Hussein
  • Impressions from Iraq: Part Three, Lawrence Korb
  • Honoring the Unaccounted and Missing in Action, Rudy deLeon
  • The Changing Climate in India, Andrew Light, Julian Wong, and Sabina Dewan
  • Will Obama Finally Pay Attention to Sudan?, John Prendergast
Expert Commentary
  • Baghdad Blasts Suggest Internal Dissension, Brian Katulis
  • Blasts Do Not Show Signs of Sectarian Conflict, Lawrence Korb
  • U.S.-Turkey Partnership Critical, Michael Werz
  • Obama Statement on Sudan Fills a Policy Vacuum, John Prendergast
This Week

Brian Katulis, "Advancing Sustainable Security in South Asia," Center for American Progress, October 28, 2009
Two key elements are missing at this stage in South Asia policy—a set of clearly defined positive goals for the region and more discussion on India’s important role on regional security dynamics. First, whatever choices President Obama makes at the conclusion of his second policy review on Afghanistan, he should take care to outline a positive vision and a set of goals that explains a viable end state in the region. The American people are open to spending more resources if it achieves tangible results, despite recent warranted skepticism about the war in Afghanistan. President Obama should make the case that America and its allies are working to build a sustainable security framework for South Asia—one that moves beyond the decades of war and violence that have claimed millions of lives and been a source of global instability.

Click here to read the full article.

Caroline Wadhams, Colin Cookman and Christina Misunas, "Our Faustian Bargains in Afghanistan," Center for American Progress, October 28, 2009
The administration appears to be debating between a population-focused, counterinsurgency strategy that views the defeat of the insurgency as a necessary condition for stabilizing Afghanistan, or a counterterrorism strategy that prioritizes targeted special operations raids and remote Predator strikes on members of the international Al Qaeda network over the more locally focused Taliban insurgency. The administration will have to contend with Afghanistan’s entrenched powerbrokers and former warlords, regardless of which approach it pursues. But any strategy must recognize how counterterrorism cooperation with these figures works at cross purposes to the simultaneous efforts to build a state capable of resisting the Taliban insurgency.

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Assaf David, "Jordanian-Israeli Relations," Middle East Bulletin interview, October 28, 2009
There is a dissonance in Jordan—every time Israelis and Palestinians seem to get close to an agreement, even a draft, two contradicting approaches emerge among Jordanian elite. On the one hand, Israeli-Palestinian peace is a Jordanian strategic interest. The way Jordan sees it, the alternative to peace is further deterioration which could lead to Israel's completion of the security barrier and the pushing of the West Bank into the arms of Jordan, similar to what happened in Gaza. On the other hand, the decision makers still cannot seem to convey to the trans-Jordanian elite that one of the implications of an Israeli-Palestinian peace is the settlement of Palestinian refugees permanently in Jordan.

Click here to read the full interview.

Prince Zeid Ra'ad Al Hussein, "The View from Amman," Middle East Bulletin interview, October 27, 2009
When we signed our peace treaty with Israel ... we in Jordan hoped the treaty would not only bring peace to Jordanians and Israelis but also lay a firm foundation for a just and comprehensive peace in our region. ... Unfortunately, today, we have not achieved comprehensive peace. The Arab-Israel conflict remains a source of instability, tensions and hopelessness in the region. So despite our peace treaty with Israel, we cannot live in a peaceful and secure neighborhood as long as the Palestinian-Israeli conflict lingers on. The perpetuation of the conflict affects Jordan and Jordanians and certainly impacts our relations with Israel. Our bilateral relations with Israel do not exist in a vacuum. ...This is not a local conflict; it resonates with 1.57 billion Muslims worldwide; a reality we cannot ignore. We can no longer afford to postpone or delay or wait it out. With the commitment of President Obama to peace, there is a unique opportunity that we all must seize to achieve peace that will ensure security and stability.

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to read the full interview.

Lawrence Korb, "Impressions from Iraq: Part Three," Center for American Progress, October 23, 2009
I flew to Camp Victory in a Blackhawk on October 17, 2009, and then flew around the country in the helicopter over the next four days. The camp is located at Baghdad International Airport and has between 20,000 and 40,000 people (depending on who you ask), including General Ray Odierno, the commander of the Multi-National Force-Iraq, soon to be renamed U.S. Force-Iraq because we are the only military force still in Iraq and essentially have been the only force since we invaded.

Click here to read the full article.

Rudy deLeon, "Honoring the Unaccounted and Missing in Action," Center for American Progress, October 22, 2009
With American forces engaged in two theatres of combat, and with the exceptional sacrifice that is being asked of our service members and their families, it is appropriate that our country remember those unaccounted and missing in action and the families that maintain a respectful and faithful vigil. Those families expect that their country through its government will provide for a full accounting, and use all of the resources of the United States and bring these Americans home.

Click here to read the full speech.

Andrew Light, Julian Wong, and Sabina Dewan, "The Changing Climate in India," Center for American Progress, October 22, 2009
Most of the attention in the lead up to the December United Nations climate change summit in Copenhagen has been focused on the United States and China—the two biggest annual emitters of greenhouse gases. But India may be the country that provides the necessary breakthrough in international negotiations to help developed and developing countries reach an agreement. Indian Minister of State for Environment and Forests Jairam Ramesh is urging the Indian government to commit to action without the promise of financial and technological assistance, and subject its domestic efforts to international scrutiny. And this change of position could not come at a more critical time.

Click here to read the full article.

John Prendergast, "Will Obama Finally Pay Attention to Sudan?," Wall Street Journal, October 21, 2009
For the past seven months, U.S. diplomacy toward Sudan has veered dangerously in the direction of appeasing Sudan's ruling National Congress Party (NCP). Since taking power in a 1989 coup, the NCP has engaged in a systematic assault on the Sudanese people. The use of starvation as a weapon in Southern Sudan and the genocide in Darfur have killed nearly two and a half million people. Omar al-Bashir, the country's president, is the first sitting head of state indicted by the International Criminal Court. Under his rule, the body count continues to climb.

Click here to read the full article.

Expert Commentary

MSNBC - Brian Katulis tells Rachel Maddow that recent massive car bombs in central Baghdad suggest some level of inside cooperation with the attackers: "If there is an objective, it is to send a message to whoever is in power that not everyone recognizes them as being in charge."

Reuters
- Lawrence Korb also interprets the attacks as indicative of internal tensions, but says he does not see signs of sectarian civil war: "They are not attacking Shiia mosques for example.. I think there are a group of Baathists who to put it literally will not be happy unless Saddam Hussein rises from the dead and takes over again."

Today's Zaman - Michael Werz argues that the U.S. partnership with Turkey will hold growing importance as the country's role as a regional power increases:  "Turkey is engaged in developing its foreign and domestic policies for the coming decades. Since this foreign policy and the exercise of Turkish power are tied to a democratic political process, it will have a lot of contact points with US interests and policies in the region."

Ask the Expert - John Prendergast says that the Obama administration's recent policy statements on Sudan fill a "policy vacuum": "We've been waiting for President Obama to deliver a policy statement about what the United States will be doing in Sudan, and in that vacuum while we've been waiting, he sent a special envoy out there whose done a lot of things that frankly concern many of us. And the diplomacy that was undertaken often hurt U.S. objectives regarding peace, rather than helped them. But now, this policy has been issued, it's a very very clear ... there are pressures and there are incentives."

General Odom

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