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This Week
  • Learning to Listen in Iraq, Brian Katulis and Emily Hogin
  • Understanding the Terrorist Threat, Brian Katulis and Peter Juul
  • Anxiety and Recommitment in Russia's Neighborhood, Samuel Charap
  • Fighting Over Fighter Jets: Obama, Gates and the F-22, Lawrence Korb and Krisila Benson
  • Seizing the Opportunity for Progress, Said Jawad
  • Real Economic Development in Afghanistan: Women Rug Weavers Create Hope, Connie Duckworth
  • Abyei: Sudan's Next Test, Colin Thomas-Jensen and Maggie Fick
  • The Iranian Conundrum, Peter Juul
  • No Grand U.S.-Russia Bargain, Samuel Charap
  • The Evolving Situation in Iran, Karim Sadjadpour
Expert Commentary
  • Going to Congress Risks Broader Authority for Detention Than What the Administration Seeks, Ken Gude
  • Closing Guantanamo, Ken Gude
This Week

Brian Katulis and Emily Hogin, "Learning to Listen in Iraq," Center for American Progress, July 22, 2009
Prime Minister Maliki is meeting President Obama this week as a strong, popular leader of an increasingly independent nation, but his government is a long way from making the political compromises that will resolve Iraq’s internal divisions. The United States has a role to play in reconciliation through its diplomatic mission, but the success of that mission depends on America’s ability to listen and offer concrete assistance without dictating a political solution.

Click here to read the full article.

Brian Katulis and Peter Juul, "Understanding the Terrorist Threat," Center for American Progress, July 21, 2009
When Secretary of Defense Robert Gates introduced the idea of a Pakistan counterinsurgency fund earlier this spring, we noted that the counterinsurgency effort itself was incomplete at best and that a broader strategy was needed. Unfortunately, the defense authorization bill now before the Senate doesn’t require a strategic plan for implementing the Pakistan Counterinsurgency Fund before the funds are released—a flaw that still needs fixing.

Click here to read the full article.

Samuel Charap, "Anxiety and Recommitment in Russia's Neighborhood," Center for American Progress, July 21, 2009
An unusual episode in international politics took place last week, days before Vice President Joe Biden embarked on his trip to Ukraine and Georgia this Monday. Several former politicians and other prominent figures from Eastern and Central Europe, including former Polish President and Nobel Peace Prize winner Lech Walesa and former Czech President and Playwright Vaclav Havel, issued an open letter to the Obama administration in the wake of President Barack Obama’s trip to Moscow. The letter essentially represents a plea not to be forgotten by the administration in its foreign policy as it “resets” its relationship with Russia. They write: “We see that Central and Eastern European countries are no longer at the heart of American foreign policy. As the new Obama administration sets its foreign-policy priorities, our region is one part of the world that Americans have largely stopped worrying about.”

Click here to read the full article.

Lawrence Korb and Krisila Benson, "Fighting Over Fighter Jets: Obama, Gates and the F-22," Huffington Post, July 21, 2009
The Senate is locked in a heated debate on the future of the F-22, the Air Force's 5th generation fighter plane. It is the most advanced air-to-air combat fighter plane in the world, and at $350 million per plane, it is also the most expensive. President Obama is threatening a veto if any additional F-22s wind up in the Defense Authorization bill, leaving both sides of the issue locked in hand-to-hand combat trying to eek out the necessary votes. This has become an entirely politicized debate when what we need is thoughtful analysis based on risk assessment and the overall best interest of U.S. national security.

Click here to read the full article.

Said Jawad, "Seizing the Opportunity for Progress," Middle East Bulletin interview, July 21, 2009
There is a history of our relations with some of our neighbors, which is unfortunately complicated, but today’s reality is that Afghanistan, Pakistan and many countries around Afghanistan are suffering from the same threat, which is terrorism and extremism. So we are asking our friends and neighbors in the region not to use terrorism and extremism as a tool of foreign policy and to realize that these are the real enemy of Afghanistan and the region, and work with the Afghan government, the United States and NATO countries in a more sincere way ... There are also other threats that are binding Afghanistan with other neighbors, such as Iran, for instance—mainly narcotics and lawlessness. So there are many other opportunities and threats that force Afghanistan and its neighbors to work closely, to capitalize on the opportunities and to fight against the threat collectively.

Click here to read the full interview.

Connie Duckworth, "Real Economic Development in Afghanistan: Women Rug Weavers Create Hope," Center for American Progress interview, July 21, 2009
A successful woman-run rug business has been operating for the last five years in Afghanistan. Arzu Rugs currently employs 600 people and provides direct economic support to almost four times that many. Arzu means “hope” in Dari. In addition to the well-paying jobs created by the rug-weaving work, the company funnels its profits back to the community in the form of medical care, education, and social services that touch the lives of an estimated 100,000 Afghans.

Click here to read the full interview.

Colin Thomas-Jensen and Maggie Fick, "Abyei: Sudan's Next Test," Enough Project, July 20, 2009
The countdown has begun in Sudan. This week’s legal decision on the boundaries of Abyei—an oil-rich, contested region along the disputed North-South border within Sudan—is the first major test of recent commitments made in Washington by the two parties to Sudan’s Comprehensive Peace Agreement, or CPA. Although senior representatives of the ruling National Congress Party, or NCP, and the Sudan People’s Liberation Movement, or SPLM, have committed themselves to accept the ruling, how each side responds is a crucial litmus test of each side’s will to implement the CPA, and, by extension, a barometer for the efficacy of the Obama administration’s engagement on Sudan.

Click here to read the full report.

Peter Juul, "The Iranian Conundrum," Center for American Progress, July 17, 2009
Iranian opposition leader Mir Hussein Mousavi made his first public appearance today in nearly a month, while crowds of protestors apparently chanted “death to Russia”—a reference to Russia’s quick congratulations to incumbent President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and subsequent hosting of him at a summit in that country. The continuing protests in Iran over that country’s rigged June 12 presidential election will continue to influence Tehran’s foreign policy, and consequently U.S. overtures to the Iranian regime about the country’s nuclear program and its relations with Iraq.

Click here to read the full article.

Samuel Charap, "No Grand U.S.-Russia Bargain," The Guardian Comment is Free, July 17, 2009

The reviews of President Barack Obama's Moscow trip are in – and they are distinctly lukewarm. Those who see a lack of breakthroughs at the summit point out that the two sides did not resolve the most difficult issues in the relationship, in particular US plans to install components of a missile defence shield in Poland and the Czech Republic and possible Nato membership for Ukraine and Georgia. The Kremlin objects to both vehemently. But these issues were never going to be resolved at the summit – and for good reason.

Click here to read the full article.

Karim Sadjadpour, "The Evolving Situation in Iran," Middle East Bulletin interview, July 16, 2009
In terms of the political costs, I would argue that over the last four weeks the legitimacy of the Ahmadinejad government has decreased rather than increased. Meaning, as time has passed more people have questioned the legitimacy of the elections rather than endorsed the results. This scale of repression is not only politically costly for the regime but it's also financially costly. To have, essentially, martial law—tens of thousands of basij militia and Revolutionary Guards patrolling the streets of major cities in Iran—and to have thousands of people in prisons throughout the country, and to constantly be filtering the internet and jamming satellite broadcasts from abroad is very expensive.

Click here to read the full interview.

Expert Commentary

The World - Ken Gude says the postponement of the administration's detainee task force report, while a sign of the difficult questions it is grappling with, does not represent a shift in the administration's stated goal of closing Guantanamo: "It is clear, despite what has been kind of a sluggish process so far, that the administration is firmly commited to closing Guantanamo and reforming U.S. detention policy. That hasn't changed, regardless of what timeline they may now be working on."

Washington Independent - Ken Gude says the question of going to Congress to secure new legislation on detention policy may end up with a greater concentration of executive power than that sought by the administration: "if they go to Congress, what will inevitably emerge is a broad preventive detention system regardless of what the Obama administration wants. If they rely on [existing Authorization for the Use of Military Force] authority, then it can be much more narrow."

General Odom

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Event Resources

Ukraine in Crisis
July 22, 2009, 10:00 AM -11:30 AM

On July 20, Vice President Joe Biden arrived in Kyiv for talks with the Ukrainian political leadership. Ukraine remains mired in a deepening political crisis with seemingly intractable conflicts in the parliament and between the executive and the legislature paralyzing governance. The country is also gearing up for presidential elections in January 2010.

Please join the Center for American Progress for a special event featuring Volodymyr Lytvyn, speaker of the Verkhovna Rada (Parliament) of Ukraine and leader of the Volodymyr Lytvyn Bloc. Lytvyn, who announced last week that he will be participating in the upcoming presidential elections, has been in the highest echelons of Ukrainian politics for over a decade and brings a unique perspective to bear on the problems facing his country. In his talk, Lytvyn will offer his thoughts on Ukraine's domestic political situation, its relations with the United States under the Obama administration, and its ties with Russia in the context of the "reset" in U.S.-Russia relations.

To RSVP and for more information on speakers at this event, please click here.

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