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This Week
  • The Case for Leadership, Will Straw, Matt Browne, Sabina Dewan, and Nina Hachigian
  • Should We Be Grateful to China for Buying U.S. Treasuries?, Scott Lilly
  • Can You Hear Congo Now?, John Prendergast
  • What Leaders Should Focus on at the G20,  Will Straw and Sabina Dewan
  • Mr. Obama in London, Spencer Boyer and Archana Menon
  • Next Likely Step for Terror Networks is More Attacks in the Heart of Pakistan, Brian Katulis and Peter Juul
  • An Analysis of Possibilities, Ziad Majed
  • A Standoff in Central Baghdad, Brian Katulis
  • Building the G20, the Right Way, Nina Hachigian
  • Will the Real Obama Middle East Strategy Please Stand Up?, Brian Katulis
  • Obama's European Listening Tour, Rudy deLeon and Spencer Boyer
  • Coalition Building Play-by-Play, Ben Caspit
  • Seven Reasons Why We Need to Engage in Afghanistan, Center for American Progress
  • Early Thoughts on Obama's Legacy in Africa, Colin Thomas-Jensen
Expert Commentary
  • Conflict Minerals in Congo, John Norris
  • European Allies' Reluctance Remains, P.J. Crowley
  • A Sustainable Security for Pakistan, Brian Katulis
This Week
Will Straw, Matt Browne, Sabina Dewan, and Nina Hachigian, "The Case for Leadership: Strengthening the Group of 20 to Tackle Key Global Crises," Center for American Progress, March 31, 2009
We believe President Obama should propose at the very beginning of the London Summit that he and other leaders agree to permanently establish a G-20 leaders forum to ensure that whatever is agreed upon at the London summit is implemented effectively to deal with the world’s immediate crises. The members of this forum would initially be the current leaders of the G-20 countries, but the forum would have a built-in mechanism to allow for flexibility in the future.

Click here to read the full report.

Scott Lilly, "Should We Be Grateful to China for Buying U.S. Treasuries?," Center for American Progress, April 1, 2009
The current economic relationship between the United States and China is perilous for both countries. The nature of that peril is quite different than is commonly perceived. China’s large and rapidly growing stash of U.S. treasuries is only part of much larger debt issue that is driven by trade deficits rather than the size or direction of U.S. fiscal policy. In fact, there is little evidence to support a significant connection between budget deficits and trade deficits given U.S. experience over the past 18 years.

Click here to read the full report.

John Prendergast, "Can You Hear Congo Now?," Enough Project, April 1, 2009
The time has come to expose a sinister reality: Our insatiable demand for electronics products such as cell phones and laptops is helping fuel waves of sexual violence in a place that most of us will never go, affecting people most of us will never meet. The Democratic Republic of the Congo is the scene of the deadliest conflict globally since World War II. There are few other conflicts in the world where the link between our consumer appetites and mass human suffering is so direct.

Click here to read the full report.

Will Straw and Sabina Dewan, "What President Obama and Other Leaders Should Focus on at the G20," Center for American Progress, April 1, 2009
The second meeting of the G20 leaders in London on Thursday provides an opportunity for key global leaders to agree on a set of tangible measures to break the downward economic spiral of shrinking growth, falling trade, rising unemployment, and declining wages. For President Barack Obama, who represents the world’s largest economy, the upcoming summit allows him to lead America toward a more cooperative, multilateral, and effective approach to addressing global economic challenges causing real pain for people around the world.

Click here to read the full article.

Spencer Boyer and Archana Menon, "Mr. Obama in London," The Root, April 1, 2009
If there were ever a time for the average American to pay close attention to a president’s trip to an international summit, this would be it. Hopefully, this week’s G-20 summit in London will help to turn around the ailing global economy, but also, it may remind the American people—understandably preoccupied with domestic economic woes—that we’re all in this economic mess together.

Click here to read the full article.

Brian Katulis and Peter Juul, "The Next Likely Step for Terror Networks is More Attacks in the Heart of Pakistan," Center for American Progress, March 31, 2009
As more American troops head to Afghanistan to shore up the effort there, Pakistan is unfortunately likely to see more terrorist attacks in its urban centers. For example, Punjab—the province in which Lahore resides—can be expected to come under particular pressure given the roots domestic militant groups such as Lashkar-e-Taiba and Lashkar-e-Jhangvi have there. The flow of militants from the Afghanistan border areas to “settled” areas of Pakistan, especially Punjab, will likely increase as pressure from added U.S. troops and more frequent Predator missile strikes necessitates a flow away from the Afghan front. The Pakistani government is apparently willing to give up large swaths of territory outside the tribal regions to militants, and there is no reason for the militants not to challenge a Pakistani government they would rationally see as weak—especially facing a renewed American push across the border.

Click here to read the full article.

[T]his will be the first election, probably in modern Lebanese history, that is between two blocs, two alliances. These alliances will be present in all electoral districts in Lebanon. One alliance is called the March 8 alliance ... On the other side there is the March 14 alliance, and of course March 8 and March 14 are the two days of the two demonstrations: one that was in favor of the Syrian presence in Lebanon and the second was opposed to that presence and hegemony after the assassination of Rafik Hariri.  ... [T]he battle that will really determine which camp will be the majority in the next parliament will happen in four or five districts: Jbeil/Byblos, Kesrwan, Metn, Baabda, Zahle, and the first district of Beirut, Achrafieh. 
 
Click here to read the full interview.
Brian Katulis, "A Standoff in Central Baghdad," Center for American Progress, March 30, 2009
The standoff between two U.S. “allies” this weekend in the heart of Baghdad is a harbinger of things to come in Iraq. The showdown between Iraq’s central government security forces and members of Sunni militias, known as "Awakenings," had nothing to do with the size of the U.S. troop presence in Iraq and almost everything to do with enduring tensions in Iraq—multiple struggles for power between competing Iraqi factions.

Click here to read the full article.

Nina Hachigian, "Building the G20, the Right Way," The Guardian Comment is Free, March 30, 2009
The what of the G20 summit is critical, but so is the how will travel to London this week. There, we must all hope, this group will overcome its differences and agree to coordinated stimulus measures that break the fall of the global economy; beat back the wave of beggar-thy-neighbour trade policies; ensure that low carbon strategies animate the global economic recovery; find a way to assist the developing world; revamp the roles of the . Along with eight prime ministers, eleven other presidents, one chancellor, one king and a smattering of international organisation leaders, President Barack ObamaInternational Monetary Fund and World Bank; and hammer out principles - or, even better, a new architecture – for banking and financial regulation so this kind of financial disaster cannot happen again.

Click here to read the full article.
See also: Nina Hachigian at the Good blog on what to expect at the G20.

Brian Katulis, "Will the Real Obama Middle East Strategy Please Stand Up?," Foreign Policy's Abu Aardvark blog, March 27, 2009
I posted several times on several topics on my Gulf trip here - on the role of the Gulf on many fronts of U.S. policy, the military arms spending spree in the region, the regional movement towards nuclear energy, and views on Afghanistan in Muslim-majority countries -- but the one overriding question that inquiring minds wanted to know the answer to on our trip was: what is the Obama administration's strategy for the Middle East and South Asia?

Click here to read the full article.

Rudy deLeon and Spencer Boyer, "Obama's European Listening Tour," The Guardian Comment is Free, March 26, 2009
At the 45th Munich conference on security policy in February, vice-president Joe Biden reminded America's European allies that the United States is ready to listen again. Referring to President Barack Obama's strategic review of US policy in Afghanistan and Pakistan in advance of Nato's 60th anniversary summit, Biden noted: "We seek ideas and input from you and all of our partners." This is welcome news. The US hurt its leadership position over the past several years by refusing to hear what the world was telling us. But in order for the transatlantic security relationship to be one between full partners again, the US will need some help.

Click here to read the full article.

Ben Caspit, "A Play-by-Play of Coalition Building: What it Means," Middle East Bulletin interview, March 26, 2009
Netanyahu of 2009 is not the Netanyahu of 1996. He is 60 today, and then he was 47. He is more experienced, a little calmer and he knows he won't get a third chance. ... [T]he thing that scares Netanyahu the most, horrifies him, is what will happen with the U.S. government. This is why he paid so much to have Labor in the government. He wanted Labor to back him on his first visit to Washington rather than go there as the head of a narrow right-wing government. This is why he is now considering appointing Alon Pinkas as Israel's ambassador to Washington. The other name being raised is Dore Gold, which is bad news. But Pinkas, not a classic supporter of Netanyahu, who is close to Ehud Olmert, Ehud Barak and Shimon Peres, a person who knows the U.S. system and the Democratic Party, signals how important relations with the United States are to Netanyahu.
 
Click here to read the full interview.

"Seven Reasons Why We Need to Engage in Afghanistan," Center for American Progress, March 26, 2009
Afghanistan was a forgotten front for too long under the Bush administration. Yet a sustained effort in the country is crucial to keeping the United States and its allies safe and to restoring stability to the entire region. A new sustainable security approach to operations in Afghanistan that combines defense, diplomacy, and development can combat Al Qaeda and the Taliban and build Afghan government capacity and legitimacy. We must reengage in Afghanistan, and here’s why.

Click here to read the full article.

Colin Thomas-Jensen, "Early Thoughts on Obama's Legacy in Africa," Huffington Post, March 23, 2009
As the son of an African, President Obama could have a truly transformative effect on the lives of ordinary Africans. His administration will of course work assiduously to address urgent crises in Sudan, DRC, Somalia, Zimbabwe, and elsewhere. However, given the extraordinary popularity that President Obama already enjoys in Africa, the Obama administration is in a position to press for meaningful progress toward more democratic and transparent governance. If the administration seizes this opportunity, President Obama's legacy will be to have positioned Africa in the mainstream of U.S. foreign policy by replacing recycled and hollow platitudes about governance, democracy, development, and stability with nuanced policies to improve the everyday lives of people across the continent.

Click here to read the full article.

Expert Commentary

Fortune -  Enough Project director John Norris calls for greater awareness of the prevalence of "conflict minerals": "The consumer electronics industry is the largest end user of the minerals that are fueling the fighting in eastern Congo.... These companies have an obligation to ensure they are not financing armed groups by demanding more information and better behavior from their suppliers."

Reuters - Senior Fellow P.J. Crowley expects a reluctance from European allies to commit more resources to the Afghan conflict during President Obama's visit to the G20 and NATO summits this week: "Because he is popular and he isn't George W. Bush, European leaders are going to have an interest in this being seen as a successful first encounter... [but this] doesn't necessarily solve the problem that Afghanistan is a very complex situation."

Ask the Expert - Senior Fellow Brian Katulis says that the U.S. must look at Pakistan as a challenge that requires the full range of U.S. powers: "I think Pakistan is probably the best test case of this because there is no way that the U.S. is going to have a very large military presence on the ground in Pakistan. So we need to look at how we can work politically, diplomatically, and economically to help the country stabilize itself."

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Event Resources

A New Way Forward in Afghanistan
April 3, 2009
11:00 AM - 12:00 PM

The Center for American Progress will host an event to discuss the implications of the Obama administration's strategy for Afghanistan and the region, announced on March 27, and the release of the Center's own Afghanistan strategy, “Sustainable Security in Afghanistan: Crafting an Effective and Responsible Strategy for the Forgotten Front.” Bearing in mind the vital U.S interests in the country and South Asia, the report concludes that the United States must attempt to build a national representative government that is able to govern, defend, and sustain itself.

Please join the Center for American Progress for a discussion on these issues.

Featured Panelists:
Minister Ali Jalali, Former Afghan Interior Minister; Distinguished Professor, National Defense University
Dr. Frederick W. Kagan, Resident Scholar, American Enterprise Institute
Fred Kaplan, "War Stories" columnist, Slate Magazine

Moderated by:
Lawrence Korb, Senior Fellow, Center for American Progress

For more information and to RSVP, click here.

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