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- Limits of an All-Volunteer Army, Lawrence
Korb
- Cassandra’s Conundrum, Joseph
Cirincione
- Have We Turned a Corner in Iraq?, Brian
Katulis
- Stay or Go in Iraq? Brian Katulis
- Nicolas Sarkozy and America, Spencer Boyer
- Weaknesses in Rail Security, P.J. Crowley
- An All-Sudan Solution, Roger Winter and
John Prendergast
- Guard Deployments, Lawrence Korb and Sean
E. Duggan
- Veteran Healthcare By the Numbers, CAP
Article
- Iran and the Costs of Military
Strike, Lawrence Korb
- Political Transition in Iraq,
Brian Katulis
- Bush and Peace in the Middle
East, P.J. Crowley
- Afghanistan: The Forgotten
Front, Caroline Wadhams
- Musharaff and Next Steps in
Pakistan, P.J. Crowley
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Lawrence
Korb, "Broken Contract: The Limits of an All-Volunteer Army," American
Security Project Article, November 7, 2007
One of the lessons of Iraq is that our
nation’s All-Volunteer Army (AVA) has suffered significant
long-term damage waging a long war it was not designed to fight.
When the Nixon administration ended the
draft and switched to the All-Volunteer Force (AVF) in 1973, the
service most affected was the Army. For all practical purposes, in the
period of conscription that lasted from 1948 to 1973, the Army was the
only service that had to rely on the draft to fulfill its manpower
needs. (The Marines had to draft small numbers in the waning years of
Vietnam and the Navy took in conscripts briefly in the mid 1950s.)
Click here
to read the full report.
Joseph
Cirincione, "Cassandra’s Conundrum" The National Interest
Commentary, November 12, 2007
The dangers to our national security are very often hyped, and this
alarmism produces undesirable consequences. And it is not just venal
politicians and ideologues who participate in this threat exaggeration,
but otherwise well-intentioned reporters and, yes, experts. This was
pointed out to me not by a journalist, but by a man who pretends to be
a journalist: Jon Stewart. Interviewing me on his Daily Show
shortly after the hyped-up scare of Jose Padilla’s alleged
“dirty bomb” plot in 2002, he asked about my role in the
media coverage. “For a guy like you”, he said, “is
this like when you see the weatherman and a hurricane is coming, and
the weatherman never really gets to be at the top of the news, but in a
hurricane, he is. And he’s got his big rain slicker on and
saying, ‘It’s a devastating event!’”
Click here
to read the full commentary.
Brian
Katulis "Have We Turned a Corner in Iraq?" Los Angeles Times Debate,
November 12, 2007
No one can dispute that the numbers of deaths of both Iraqi civilians
and American soldiers are down from their highest level. Nevertheless,
overall levels of violence remain dangerously high — 2007 is the
deadliest year for our troops since President Bush began this
unnecessary war of choice in 2003.
These declines may simply be the dust settling from the latest phase in
Iraq's struggles for power. As the most recent National Intelligence
Estimate noted, declines in violence — particularly in Baghdad
— are in large part due to population displacements. In other
words, sectarian cleansing continued even while U.S. troop numbers
reached their highest levels since the invasion. Independent refugee
organizations like the International Organization for Migration and the
Iraqi Red Crescent Society report that the number of Iraqis displaced
by the conflict doubled since the start of the surge, adding to
millions already pushed out of their homes from 2003 to 2006.
Click here
to read the full commentary.
Brian Katulis, "Stay or Go in Iraq?" Los Angeles Times Debate, November
13, 2007
By now, it is clear that President Bush's surge strategy has failed to
meet its fundamental objective: that Iraq's leaders will make
compromises to advance the country's deadlocked political transition.
Iraq's leaders remain stuck in the Green Zone debating some of the same
issues they debated in 2004 and 2005. While the United States maintains
its open-ended troop presence in Iraq, Iraq's leaders have little
incentive to make the power-sharing agreements necessary to stabilize
the country.
The Bush administration's strategy fosters a dangerous culture of
dependency among a number of Iraq's leaders, propping up a
dysfunctional and corrupt Iraqi national government without
fundamentally altering the strategic calculations of Iraq's leadership
to lead to a peaceful resolution of Iraq's struggle for power.
Click here to read the full commentary.
Spencer
Boyer, "Sarkozy and America," Huffington
Post Article, November 8, 2007
French President Nicolas Sarkozy's visit to Washington this week
showcased the new and improved Franco-American relationship, which
began with Sarkozy's election in May. While Sarkozy has already stirred
things up in France through his efforts to jumpstart a sluggish
economy, scrap outdated labor practices, and restrict immigration, he
has also challenged the status quo by making strong Franco-American
relations a top priority again. Gone are the icy stares that
characterized the relationship during the lead up to war in Iraq, with
Sarkozy telling an enthusiastic joint session of Congress on Wednesday
that "America can count on France" again. What's driving this new found
friendship?
Click here
to read the full article.
P.J. Crowley, "Derailed Train Exposes Weaknesses in
Rail Security," CAP Article, November 13, 2007
Last week’s CSX freight derailment in Washington, D.C. offers
dramatic
evidence of why the Bush administration’s existing approach to
rail and
chemical security is inadequate. The consequence of this runaway train
is a serious but manageable environmental challenge, but it is a grim
reminder that we have yet to adequately address one of the
nation’s
most serious homeland security vulnerabilities.
According to news reports, personnel moving
cars around
CSX’s Benning Yard complex failed to properly set a brake,
causing a
freight train loaded with coal to wander across an aging and inactive
bridge that spans the Anacostia River. The bridge gave way and several
rail cars plunged into the water. The rail yard sits within a couple of
miles of the U.S. Capitol, a new baseball stadium, and other critical
infrastructure.
Click here to read the full article.
Roger Winter and John Prendergast, "An All-Sudan
Solution: Linking Darfur and the South," ENOUGH Report, November 14,
2007
The stakes in Sudan in terms of protecting human life may have no equal
throughout the world today. As Darfur continues to churn and burn, the
2005 peace deal that ended a far deadlier war in Southern Sudan is at
risk and in danger of eventual collapse. If it unravels, there will be
no chance for peace in Darfur, and if Darfur continues to deteriorate,
the likelihood increases dramatically of a return to what was—for
20
years—a far more destructive war in the South.
Click here to read the full article.
Lawrence Korb and Sean E. Duggan, "Guard Deployments
Unsustainable," The Seattle Times article,
November 14, 2007
This nation's Army was never intended to fight a long ground war.
But, since October 2001, the Army has been waging counterinsurgency
campaigns in Iraq and Afghanistan with some 200,000 troops constantly
deployed. This raises the question of whether the Army would be able to
handle another operation, for example, in Iran.
In his first news conference since taking
over as chairman of the
Joint Chiefs of Staff, Adm. Michael Mullen claimed that despite the
active Army's massive involvement in Iraq and Afghanistan, the United
States still has the resources to undertake contingency operations like
an attack on Iran, should that become necessary. "There is more than
enough reserve to respond [militarily] if that, in fact, is what the
national leadership wanted to do," Mullen noted.
Click here to read the full article.
"Veteran
Health Care by the Numbers," CAP Report,
November 9, 2007>
Veterans returning from Iraq and Afghanistan
should have access to some of the best health care, facilities, and
doctors that this country has to offer. But too often they face long
waits and inadequate care. Veterans returning to the United States
today suffer high rates of Traumatic Brain Injuries, Post-traumatic
Stress Disorder, and other mental health afflictions, and many return
with debilitating injuries or require amputation.
The transition from the Department of
Defense health system into the Veterans Administration system can be
difficult. There is a long backlog of claims in the VA, and it can take
months for veterans to receive needed treatment and compensation. The
problems discovered earlier this year at Walter Reed Medical Center
indicate a need to fix a system whose infrastructure is outdated and
ill-equipped for the veterans of modern warfare.
Click here
to read the full article.
Associated Press - Lawrence Korb
discusses the costs of a possible military strike against Iran and
cautions against such an action. "The cost (of a military strike)
would far outweigh the
benefits. We learned during the Cold War that
sometimes patience is the best way to go."
Outside the Beltway -
Brian Katulis analyzes recent "successes" in Iraq. “When
you consider that Iraqi leaders are discussing the same issues
today that they were fighting about in 2004, it’s hard to see
that the
surge led to any forward political movement. While the numbers do
seem to have come down on the violence, unfortunately the wheels have
come off on the Iraqi political transition."
Washington Post - P.J. Crowley talks about the
prospect of President Bush brokering a peace deal in the Middle East.
Both Olmert and Abbas are weak at home and the unpopular Bush has
invested much of his presidency in Iraq. He is viewed with deep
mistrust in the Middle East. "Can three weak leaders produce an
enduring peace agreement? The odds are that they will not be able to do
it," said Crowley.
Washington
Journal (C-SPAN) - Caroline Wadhams assesses U.S. strategy and
progress in Afghanistan. "The situation is somewhat grim.
The security has deteriorated
dramatically in Afghanistan
since about 2005. 2007 is the deadliest
year in record since the U.S.
led invasion in 2001."
Hardball
(MSNBC) - P.J. Crowley looks at the next steps the United States
should take in Pakistan. "I think Musharaff has crossed a line here. I
think quietly,
we should be talking with the Pakistani military about engineering a
soft
landing and having Musharaff stepping aside entirely and clear the way
for new
leadership in Pakistan."
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Grace is Gone
November 12, 2007
7:30pm - 10:00pm
There was a time when Stanley Phillips (John Cusack) could see his
entire life clearly. He dreamed of patriotic service and was destined
for a military career. He came close to that dream until it was cut
short simply because of his poor eyesight. Now he's serving customers
at a home supply store while his Sergeant wife is fighting in Iraq.
Equally as awkward at home as he is at work, he's
raising Heidi, their
twelve-year-old daughter and her 8-year-old sister Dawn. Although a
loving father, Stanley is unable to conform to a more affectionate role
and the girls miss their mother deeply.
While tolerating his job and stumbling through
parenting he is abruptly
awakened when tragedy strikes. Ill prepared to deal with it himself, he
is at a complete loss contemplating how to tell his children. Desperate
to delay telling the children they embark on a spontaneous road trip.
Grasping to give them their last moments of innocence, Stanley reveals
a softer side as they travel to Dawn's chosen destination - Enchanted
Gardens Theme Park.
The farther they drive the closer they become yet
Stanley knows he must
face the inevitable task of changing their lives forever.
Please join us for a provocative Q&A session
immediately following the film.
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