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- Making Annapolis Work, Brian Katulis and
Mara Rudman
- Security and Climate Change, Peter Ogden
and John Podesta
- Debating the Iraq Strategy, Brian Katulis
- The Broader Perspective in Iraq, Brian
Katulis
- Middle
East Bulletin's Complete
Annapolis Conference Coverage
- Iran and the IAEA, Joseph
Cirincione
- Counterinsurgency in
Afghanistan, Lawrence
Korb
- The Surge and Iraq, P.J. Crowley
- Bottom Up in Iraq, Brian Katulis
- Bush and nuclear policy, Joseph
Cirincione
- Pakistan and the war on terror,
P.J. Crowley
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Brian
Katulis and Mara Rudman, "Making Annapolis Work: Middle East Summit
Requires Follow Up," CAP Article, November 26, 2007
Representatives from nearly 50 countries and international
organizations will gather tomorrow in Annapolis in the most inclusive
official international gathering on Middle East peace in years.
President Bush, Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert, and Palestinian
Authority President and PLO Chairman Mahmoud Abbas will open the
session with speeches and then participate in a working lunch hosted by
U.S. Secretary of State Rice. Three afternoon sessions are planned for
Tuesday on economic development, institutional reform, and capacity
building, and a comprehensive peace, with follow-up meetings between
President Bush and the Israeli and Palestinian leaders in Washington on
Wednesday.
Click here
to read the full article.
Peter
Ogden and John Podesta, "Security Implications of Climate Change," Washington Quarterly,
November 26, 2007
In terms of the effects of climate change, the future is becoming in-
creasingly clear. The expected greenhouse gas emissions scenario
developed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
portends a world in which people and nations will be threatened by
massive food and water shortages, devastating natural disasters, and
deadly disease outbreaks. No foreseeable political or technological
solution will enable us to avert many of these climatic impacts even
if, for instance, the United States were in the near future to enter
into an international carbon cap-and-trade system. Mean- while, a
technological breakthrough that would lead to a decisive, near-term
reduction in the concentration of carbon dioxide (CO 2) in the
atmosphere remains far away.
Click here
to read the full article.
Brian
Katulis, "Back to Baghdad," Debate on Iraq, Los Angeles Times, November
12-16
No one can dispute that the numbers of deaths of both Iraqi civilians
and American soldiers are down from their highest level. Nevertheless,
overall levels of violence remain dangerously high — 2007 is the
deadliest year for our troops since President Bush began this
unnecessary war of choice in 2003.
These declines may simply be the dust settling from the latest phase in
Iraq's struggles for power. As the most recent National Intelligence
Estimate noted, declines in violence — particularly in Baghdad
— are in large part due to population displacements. In other
words, sectarian cleansing continued even while U.S. troop numbers
reached their highest levels since the invasion. Independent refugee
organizations like the International Organization for Migration and the
Iraqi Red Crescent Society report that the number of Iraqis displaced
by the conflict doubled since the start of the surge, adding to
millions already pushed out of their homes from 2003 to 2006.
Click here
to read the full debate.
Brian Katulis, "The Iraq Debate: Looking at the Broader
Perspective," Abu Aardvark Blog, November 16, 2007
The history of the Middle East is filled with outside powers who
tried to control events and forces inside the region that they did not
fully understand. The experiences of the Roman, Ottoman,
and British
empires in the Middle East offer important lessons for those who offer
well-intentioned strategies aimed at tinkering with volatile internal
power balances and dealing with actors that have strategies marked in
decades, rather than months.
Recent involvement by the United States in
the region - including
support for the Shah of Iran in the 1970s, the military engagement in
Lebanon in the 1980s, and efforts to boost Iraq's Saddam Hussein versus
Iran in the 1980s - demonstrate how the law of unintended consequences
rules the day and unanticipated blowback can come back to haunt
us.
The current engagement in Iraq presents similar risks and difficult
choices for U.S. security. It is in this historical context that one
should evaluate any argument that makes a case for maintaining an
extended U.S. troop presence in Iraq.
Click here to read the full entry.
Middle
East Bulletin’s Complete
Annapolis Conference Coverage
Israeli and Palestinian leaders met Tuesday in Annapolis, Maryland for
the first time in seven years. Hosted by the United States
and joined by over forty delegations from the Arab world and the
international community, the two parties pledged to have a peace
settlement by the end of 2008.
All this week, the Middle East Bulletin offers in-depth analysis of the
conference and what it means for the future of the peace process and
U.S. national security. Readers can also trace the conference
from announcement to fruition by browsing previous editions of the
bulletin in the website archives.
To read the bulletin, click here.
CSPAN-
Joseph Cirincione comments on the Iranian nuclear program and the
latest IAEA report. "Iran is sort of playing out the clock. The
question is do you trust Iran?"
Asia
Times- Lawrence Korb discusses the United States' mission in
Afghanistan. "This is where the attacks came from. This is where
al-Qaeda central has reconstituted itself. I've rarely ever seen such a
botched opportunity. Now, hopefully, it's not too late."
Washington
Post-
P.J. Crowley comments on the surge and measuring progress in
Iraq.
"The White House tends to focus on the military situation and ignore
the political situation. Remember, the surge is a tactic, and
while a
discrete tactic may be working better than expected, the overall
strategic position has not fundamentally changed."
American
Prospect- Brian Katulis states that "the current policy of
supporting 'bottom up' security initiatives means that the U.S.
military is actually cooperating with sectarian cleansers and in some
cases serial murderers."
Bill Press Show- Joseph
Cirincione discusses the missile shield, nuclear proliferation and
other topics. “Bush is building a system that doesn’t yet
work against a threat that doesn’t yet exist.”
Newsday-
P.J. Crowley argues that "the war on terror is to some extent a battle
of narratives. The extremists' narrative is that we are at war
with Islam and are propping up illegitimate governments. The last thing
we can afford is to do things that support their narrative."
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NEW Center for American Progress You Tube Channel!
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here.
Turmoil in
Pakistan: Implications for U.S. Security
November 30, 2007
9:00-10:30 am
Recent developments in Pakistan are deeply
troubling to U.S. interests in the country and the region. In declaring
emergency rule on November 3, President General Pervez Musharraf
suspended the constitution, detained many leading opposition
politicians, and jailed thousands of protesting lawyers and human
rights workers. While he has announced that elections will occur on
January 8, he has given no clear indication as to when the security
crackdown will end.
The Center for American Progress will convene a
panel to explore the situation in Pakistan and the prospects for
civilian, democratic rule. The panelists will offer their valuable
insights on the multiple challenges facing U.S. national security,
including the growing terrorist threat, the international mission in
Afghanistan, and the security of Pakistan's nuclear weapons program.
Featured Panelists:
Senator Tom Daschle, Distinguished Senior
Fellow, Center for American Progress
Robert Grenier, Managing Director, Kroll Inc.
and former CIA Chief of Station, Islamabad
Robert Hathaway, Director, Asia Program,
Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars
Moderated by:
Lawrence Korb, Senior Fellow, Center for
American Progress
Click here
for more information.
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